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Trading Against the Elephant

Once upon a time, there were six blind men. The blind men wished toknow what an elephant looked like. They took a trip to the forest and with the help of their guide found a tame elephant. The first blind man walked into the broadside of the elephant and bumped his head. He declared that the elephant was like a wall. The second one grabbed the elephant’s tusk and said it felt like a spear. The next blind man felt the trunk of the elephant and was sure that elephants were similar to snakes. The fourth blind man hugged the elephant’s leg and declared the elephant was like a tree. The next one caught the ear and said this is definitely like a fan. The last blind man felt the tail and said this sure feels like a rope. Thus the six blind men all perceived one aspect of the elephant and were each right in their own way, but none of them knew what the whole elephant really looked like.

Oftentimes, the market poses itself as the elephant. There are people who say that predicting the market is like predicting the weather, because you can do well in the short term, but where the market will be in the long run is anybody’s guess. (more…)

Will Rao and FM take a long march into future?

Will Rao join the FM in the walk-back hand-in-hand with each other?
 
Subbarao, the former RBI governor fired some salvos as a parting gift to the current FM last Thursday. That it took him 5 years to take a broadside at the FM on the last working day of his career, shows how little spine the Central Banker had been left with.
 
More importantly, it brings to the open certain disturbing signs that were spoken off in hushed tones but are now visible in the open.  The lobby of students who have read Economics at school and who now run what else-but the national media and newspapers lapped up Rao’s speech.
 
But who’s responsibility was Rao alluding to when he raved and ranted over the North Block interference and pressures. The fact that he highlighted that RBI was manned by the over 50s tribe, which had no knowledge of financial markets and he himself came from the IAS with a bare-bone graduate degree and past designation as Finance Secretary shows how poorly the educated in this country are treated. There is a segment of jobless PhDs who seek pastures overseas and there is the graduate lobby that has to it’s credit the achievement of having passed the IAS entrance exam but except for a 2-3 month training in Simla have not even the smithers of a professional knowledge. These are the people who run the nation’s finances. (more…)
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