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Dow Jones -Hurdles :10209-10315-10350

Double Bottom at 9774-9757 ?

Yesterday spurted by 273 points and closed at 10172 level.

Now ,What to expect ?

 

Just Watch :10209 level

Crossover above this level will take to recent high of 10315-10350 level.

The level of 10412 is Major Hurdle for Bull’s

Three Consecutive close above 10412 wil take to 10630-10703 level.

I will Update about Nasdaq Composite ,S&P500 in afternoon

Updated at 5:37/11th June/Baroda

Common Advice is Ineffective

“Plan the trade, and trade the plan!” is perhaps the most common advice given to traders. As far as advice goes, it’s well meaning, but unfortunately falls well short of addressing the problem most traders actually face. 

Looking at the advice, it has two parts. The first part says you need a plan. No argument there. But the second part, about executing the plan, that’s where the problems appear. Why?

The two parts to the advice ‘plan the trade’ and the ‘trade the plan’ require two very different skill sets. Without understanding the different skills required, it’s highly likely that you will continue to regularly veer from your plan. (more…)

Time – Space – Reality – Oneness – Markets

What do the above all have in common? That’s right, “nonlinear” concepts!

It is interesting that one of the great minds of humanity, Albert Einstein spent his time on “nonlinear” concepts such as “time, space, reality, and oneness.” I find it more interesting that the interdependence of these “nonlinear” concepts is what makes a market tick as well.

As a trader, “timing” your trade within the “market” is based on “reality” in relation to the “oneness” of other traders and your outcome is determined by the “space” or movement of your position.

It is my opinion based on consulting with many traders that most traders incorrectly view the markets from purely a “linear” mindset and instead should view the markets from a “nonlinear” mindset as the markets are “nonlinear” themselves.  This is why rigid logical thinkers or “linear intellectuals” find trading the markets so frustrating.  Since they operate from their logical “linear” “beta” mind state, and become frustrated when market behavior does not do what it “should.” This is also why I feel that successful trading has to be both “art” & “science.”

Think about how you approach the markets and to what degree you are a “linear” vs. a “nonlinear” mindset. Also try and remember a trade or trading day where it seemed effortless and you just “let-go” and flowed with the market. In days like these, I’ll bet logical thinking was secondary to enjoying yourself, and selecting trades based on both your trading “tools” and your “intuition” which represents trading the markets as an “art” & “science.” Compare that to days when you where frustrated because the market did not do what it was suppose to based solely on logical assumptions.

Usually fear and greed are by products of logical thinking. Fear and greed are emotions and “nonlinear” in concept, but created by “linear” thinking. Isn’t it interesting that fear and greed are present in the markets and are “nonlinear” as well. Or is it because fear and greed are “nonlinear” and that they are present in the markets?

Maybe the key to a good trading system should be based on how to measure or determine “nonlinear” market events such as fear and greed. The purpose of this article is to have you look at the markets from a “nonlinear” point of view so that you can perhaps “see” market relationships that where invisible to you before.

Ego & Nervous Traders

There are a whole host of characters who regularly lose money in the market place, and most fall into two catogories:

False Ego Traders

& Nervous Traders The false ego mistakes come from a mixture of false pride and bravado and are the most dangerous mistakes to make. The trader, generally a beginner or intermediate — call him Tader A — gets an opinion in his head about market direction. His analysis may have even been sound, but his opinion keeps him from reading/seeing the signs that a change is occuring in the market he has targeted. He subconsciously see the changes, but false pride is the devil, and blocks the information from making it into his conscious decision making process. The change he needs to see may even be pointed out to him by a fellow trader –Trader B– but Trader A’s false ego blocks this because he knows “I’m smarter than Trader B…In fact I think its a good idea to fade Trader B”.

Trader A is also likely someone who is accustomed to being listened to. He may have been upper management in a company, or even owned the company. “People better listen to me” is how he sees it. He is likely more accustomed to talking rather then listening.

Despite trader A’s previous success’ Mother Market will bring him down quickly. Any early success he has in the market will only make for bigger losses down the road as he gets caught in the spiral of trying to make up for lost money and still make money. He doesn’t just want to get his money back, he wants that and then some. His time is valuable. He is going to make the market pay.

Well we all know how that works out, which is to say we won’t be seeing Trader A around for long. (more…)

25 Golden Rules

#25-3/4. Do as I do – not as I say – but do it without delay! (NB: 13F-HR’s are too late!)  

#25-1/2. The trend is your friend….errrr….ummm…..except when its not.  

#25-1/4. Whatever kind of metaphorical market animal you are (bull, coq, chicken, weasel, whatever), always remember that Pigs Get Slaughtered.

#25. Buy “The Best of Breed” companies…..unless they are priced at levels preceding the moment when Pigs Get Slaughtered, or when the trend is not your friend, or I am saying the opposite of what I am doing.   

#24. NEVER short “Best of Breed” companies…except when Pigs Are Getting Systematically Slaughtered in other “Best of Breed” companies (but don’t get piggy puking out the pigs). 

#23. Cut your losses short and let your winners ride – but not when pigs are getting slaughtered 

#22. No one ever made a dime by panicking … unless apparently you’re following the previous rule #23 which says you should cut your losses short and let your winners ride.

#21. NEVER double-down (except when you have material non-public information and deep pockets) or if you’re Ed Thorp, or if you’re playing at The Martingale Room. 

#20. “Systems” always stop working (Even if they DID actually work at one point). So forget about asking about their “system”: what you really want to know about is their Plans B&C for when it DOES stop working (and why they’re not using them NOW).

#19. Diversify to control risk – except if you are Eddie Lampert

#18. Don’t own too many names – unless you’re Ed Thorp or diversifying to control risk per the above rule 

#17. Invest in what you know – unless you don’t know a whole lot about those things. 

#16. Buy when others are (almost finished being) fearful. 

#15. Buy when there is blood in the streets – but only after it has dried a little bit.  (more…)

Marty Schwartz Interview (1999)

Day Trader Marty Schwartz spent a number of years in what he felt was a dead-end job as a financial analyst. Finally he quit the comfort of the corporate cotton wool and accumulated $100,000 of which he spent $90,000 to buy his seat on the American Stock Exchange in 1979.

Left with just $10,000 of trading capital, he made over $8,000 on his first trade and in his second year of trading he made $600,000 and $1.2 million in his 3rd year.

It’s interesting to note that he never made money trading until he made a plan, which only happened when his wife Audrey told him to make one.

When asked; “what is the most money you have made in one day?” he replied; “several million”. At one point in the early 1980’s, he was making $70,000 per day trading the S&P’s.

Click here to listen to Marty Schwartz being interviewed in 1999 by Dave Allman on Wall Street Uncut.

NOTE: This audio file will only open if you have RealPlayer installed. You can get it free here

Read Marty’s book: “Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street’s Champion Day Trader”

 

10 Trend Commandments

  1. You shall learn from successful trend followers to make big returns in the market.

  2. You shall follow the trend only, and have no guru that you bow down to.
  3. You shall not try to predict the future in vain, but follow the current price trend.
  4. You shall remember the stop loss to keep your capital safe, you shall know your exit before your entry is taken.
  5. Follow your trend following system all the days that you are trading, so that through discipline you will be successful.
  6. You shall not give up on trading because of a draw down.
  7. You shall not change a winning system because it has had a few losing trades.
  8. You shall trade with the principles that have proven to work for successful traders.
  9. You shall keep faith in your trend following even in range bound markets, a trend will begin anew eventually.
  10. You shall not covet fundamentalists valuations, Blue Channels talking heads, newsletter predictions, holy grails, or the false claims of black box systems.

If you want news and entertainment watch BLUE CHANNELS, if you want to learn how to trade & Mint Money then Read www.AnirudhSethiReport.com 

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