US inflation data due Wednesday 12 May 2021 – preview

Coming up at 1230 GMT, CPI numbers from the US for April.

Headline

  • expected 0.2%, prior 0.6% m/m
  • expected 3.6%, prior 2.6% y/y
Core – i.e. excluding food and energy
  • expected 0.3%, prior 0.3% m/m
  • expected 2.3%, prior 1.6% y/y
Snippet from Scotia comments on what to expect:
  • Base effects on their own would drive inflation from 2.6% to 3.3% y/y and core from 1.6% to 2.1%. 
  • Supply chain pressures and seasonal influences on month-over-month price changes account for the rest.
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