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Germany reports 11,409 new coronavirus cases in latest update today

The trend resumes after the ‘Monday effect’ seen yesterday

Germany
This marks a fifth day out of six that new cases surpass the 10,000 mark, with another 42 deaths reported bringing the total on that front to 10,098 persons.
As of yesterday, there are ~106,200 active cases across Germany with 272/412 districts being classified as ‘high risk’ – an increase of 21 districts from the day before.
RKI notes that the number of patients requiring intensive care has more than doubled in the past two weeks, rising from 590 (12/10) to 1,362 (26/10).
However, intensive care beds across the country are about 71% occupied, with 8,403 beds (28%) still available, roughly the same as how things were at the start of October.

 

That said, relative to the situation in mid-July when the virus situation was calmer, there were about 11,000 intensive care beds (34%) available, so you get the picture.
Even if the virus is not directly affecting medical capacity, it is eating into the time and energy of healthcare workers and that may explain the increase in hospitalisations and intensive care treatments for other diseases.
As things go down this road, just be mindful that we could see tighter restrictions be introduced and that may weigh on near-term sentiment for risk and the euro.

BlackRock has downgraded their US Treasury view

BlackRock is the world’s largest asset manager (circa $7.4 trillion in assets under management. last time I looked).

The firm says it has downgraded nominal U.S. Treasuries and upgrading their inflation-linked peers. Citing:
  • Markets are increasingly reflecting a unified Democratic government outcome that may lead to a significant fiscal expansion. This electoral outcome would bring forward the market pricing of the higher inflation regime that we were already reflecting in our strategic asset views. 
Long story even shorter is fiscal expansion under Dem sweep would lead to higher UST yields, lower prices.
As a ps. the outlook for equities is neutral:
BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager (circa $7.4 trillion in assets under management. last time I looked). 

Major indices close lower but off there lowest levels

Dow, S&P, NASDAQ close below their 50 day moving averages

The rise to record Covid cases and the inability to reach a coronavirus stimulus deal has led to a sharp fall in the major indices to start the week.

The good news is that the prices are closing off there lowest levels.  Some highlights include
  • Each of the major indices close below their 50 day moving averages
  • Dow industrial average was down -965 points at its worst level. The NASDAQ index was down -327 points and the S&P index was down -100 points at the lows
  • S&P 500 at its worst day since September 23
  • All 11 sectors of the S&P closed in the red
  • NASDAQ closed lower for the 7th time in 10 days
The final numbers are showing:
  • S&P index -64.45 points or -1.86% at 3400.94
  • NASDAQ index -189.34 points or -1.64% at 11358.93
  • Dow industrial average -649.86 points or -2.29% at 27685.73
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