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Polls show Trump trailing in Florida and Pennsylvania

  
  Analysis

The latest polls

The latest polls
We’re one month away from the election today and that means the polls will be non-stop.
The New York Times and Sienna College are out with polls in a pair of states that Trump won in 2016. He will almost assuredly need to win them again to repeat.
Pennsylvania:
  • Biden 49%
  • Trump 42%
  • Spread +7
Florida:
  • Biden 47%
  • Trump 42%
  • Spread +5
The polls were done after the debates but before the coronavirus announcement. An adjoining polls showed 65% disapproved of Trump’s conduct in the debate (including 33% of people who identified as Trump supporters) compared to 37% for Biden.
On a more-granular level, Biden led among voters over 65 and in the suburbs.
Polls released Friday:
General election:
  • Biden 49, Trump 46 – IBD/TIPP
  • Biden 47, Trump 40 – HarrisX
Arizona:
  • Biden 50, Trump 46 – USA Today

Japan govmt planning to approve COVID-19 treatment drug Avigan in November

  
  Analysis

The Japanese government is planning an unprecedentedly short screening period of three weeks once Fujifilm Toyama Chemical Co submits a new drug application.

  • That submission is expected in mid-October
  • Which would thus lead to approval of Avigan as a coronavirus treatment in November
The news comes via the Japanese media, citing unnamed sources.
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There will, of course, be concerns about the scrutiny efficacy and safety of the drug with such a fast-track process. Keep in mind also that back in May then PM  Abe said approval for Avigan was expected that month.
The Japanese government is planning an unprecedentedly short screening period of three weeks once Fujifilm Toyama Chemical Co submits a new drug application.
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Meanwhile there is a lot of focus on how Trump is faring with his infection. He has posted a video on Twitter saying he is starting to feel good, will be back soon, and what have you. Gosssip is swirling about how believable it is. Interpretations seem to split along political lines, unsurprisingly. A lot of heat, not much light.
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