Analysis suggesting the US dollar has topped out

USD analysis via ING, the bank says cross-market indicators suggest the dollar may well have topped out

  • Says that there is a growing sense that “the worst may be over for most financial assets”
  • The Fed’s injection of liquidity means that instead of expecting a deflationary ice age US inflation expectations have rebounded  (ING cite inflation swaps and inflation-indexed Treasuries, gold trading above $1,700 and could go higher)
More:
  • market moves suggest confidence amongst investors, at least, is improving
  • commodity markets slowly recovering
  • expect further improvement in US money markets as the Fed’s liquidity injection filters through the system
  • “we may be starting to see the emergence of the risk-on, dollar-off trend that may come to define the rest of 2020”
ING describe gold as a ‘classic inflation hedge’
gold inflation
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