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US airline industry wants a $50 bn bailout (more than twice the post 9/11 rescue)

Seeking more than USD 50 billion in federal assistance

Citing the dramatic decrease in passenger traffic due to the coronavirus outbreak
Following 9/11 the industry received around 15bn USD in support, which is around 22bn in today’s value.
WaPo for more here may be gated.

Nasdaq worst day ever. Stocks plunge.

What an active day:

  • The Fed cut rates 1% in the Asian session, surprising the market.
  • The Fed announced quantitative easing to the tune of 500bn Treasuries & 200bn MBS
  • The Fed announced that banks can borrow from the Discount window for up to 90 days
  • They added liquiidity via daily repo action.  The Fed basically said, whatever you need, we will provide
  • Later in the day, the Senate Democrats offered a $750B stimulus package (TBD how it progresses).

So what happened in the markets?

Stocks plummeted

  • The Nasdaq had its worst day ever.
  • The Dow and the S&P % decline was the worst since 1987
  • The Dow’s point drop was the worst point loss ever
Many superlatives, but unfortunately they are all negative.
The numbers at the close are showing:
  • Dow industrial average fell 2997.10 points or -12.93% to 20188.52.
  • S&P index fell -324.89 points or -11.98% to 238-6413
  • Nasdaq index fell -970.28 points or -12.32% at 6904.59
Forex news for NY trading on March 16, 2020
In the US debt market, not only did yields tumble with the 10 year leading the way at -23.4 basis points….
US yields traded higher with the longer and moving up the most.
…but the spreads between European and US started to converge. European 10 year yields were mostly higher with Germany up 8.3 basis points and France up 14.8 basis points.  The combination has pushed those levels closer and closer.
European yields rose in trading today

In the gold and precious metals market, prices fell.

  • Spot gold had a volatile day and is closing down $-18.46 or -1.21% at $1511.37.  The high for the day was up at $1575.47 while the low extended all the way down to $1451.55
  • Spot silver also traded violently. It is closing at $12.90, down $-1.81 or -12.35% It traded in a $3.30 trading range. The high reached $15.15, while the low extended to $11.80. Crazy volatility
The oil markets were also volatile and moved lower as Saudi Arabia said they were not backing down from production cuts. The final numbers are showing:
  • WTI crude oil futures $28.70. $-3.03 or -9.55%. The high price reached $33.75. The low price extended to $28.10.
  • Brent crude oil is trading at $29.52, or $-4.33 or -12.79% on the day.  It’s high price extended to $35.84 while the low fell to $29.50.
Finally in the forex market, the flows so the JPY and the EUR benefit the most. They were the strongest of the major currencies. The JPY benefited from the Pavlovian flight into the “safety of the JPY”. The EUR is a bit of a head scratcher as it is the current epicenter of the coronavirus.

Circuit breaker levels to watch in the S&P 500 later today

How low can you go?

SPX

US futures hit limit down very early in the trading day and with European equities pointing to a 8-9% drop across the board, it looks like US stocks will be headed for an extremely rough open later in the cash market (S&P ETF down by nearly 10% now).
Here are the key circuit breaker levels to watch today:
  • Level 1: 2,521.25 or down 7% from Friday close
  • Level 2: 2,358.59 or down 13% from Friday close
  • Level 3: 2,168.82 or down 20% from Friday close
If anything else, also keep an eye out on the key trendline support that stretches back all the way to 2009, currently near the 2,500 level. Clearly, this did not age very well:
SPX Trump

UK PM spokesman: 8 million people in hospitals is reasonable worst-case

Are they not going to take any measures to cope with the outbreak at all?

As great as the NHS is, can they really cope with a situation of millions of people being hospitalised at any given point in time? Most countries are already struggling to even cope with a 0.01% outbreak (in the thousands as of now) in the general population so this is a scary prospect for the government to even be considering.

Eurostoxx futures -4.5% in early European trading

The selloff transfers over to Europe in early trades

  • German DAX futures -4.7%
  • French CAC 40 futures -4.8%
  • UK FTSE futures -3.6%
With Asian equities trading at the lows for the day (Hang Seng down 4.4%) in the final stages, the risk averse mood looks to be hitting Europe hard to start the morning.
US futures also are staying pressured after hitting limit down earlier today, with 10-year Treasury yields down by over 25 bps to 0.70% currently.
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