Goldman Sachs says yuan to decline further after the trade tension pause

The investment banks sees USD/yuan to 7.20 in 3 and 6 month time horizons.

  • 12 month view is 7.10
In brief:
  • short-lived pauses in trade tensions have in the past given way to renewed escalation rather than a roll-back of the trade war
  • If anything, disagreements have spread to more dimensions — technology, financial flows, immigration and foreign policy — such that finding ramps to de-escalate is even harder.
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