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Pres. Trump: China agricultural purchases is not enough

President Trump speaking at a press conference with Australia’s prime minister

  • China agricultural purchases is not enough
  • looking for complete deal with China
  • he does not need a trade yield before the 2020 election
  • China is being affected very badly US economy is very strong
  • China is eating the tariffs
  • Trump has an amazing relationship with Xi, but is having a little spat
  • signing USMCA is very important for the country
  • Australia will be a big beneficiary of China deal
  • expects sanctions to work on Iran
  • military option would work but should never have to use it
  • Iran has a lot of self-made problems

Global Times editor: US tariff exemptions seen as a sign of goodwill

Tweet from Hu Xijin

The US exempts more than 400 Chinese products from tariffs, which is seen as a goodwill signal by China. Interaction of goodwill between China and the US is still fragile. Political determination from decision-making circle of the two countries is needed in order to reach a deal.
Is there going to be a deal? It’s fair to say that no one really knows but it depends on what the US is asking for from China. It’s tough to believe they will relent on everything.

Global Times editor: US tariff exemptions seen as a sign of goodwill

Tweet from Hu Xijin

The US exempts more than 400 Chinese products from tariffs, which is seen as a goodwill signal by China. Interaction of goodwill between China and the US is still fragile. Political determination from decision-making circle of the two countries is needed in order to reach a deal.
Is there going to be a deal? It’s fair to say that no one really knows but it depends on what the US is asking for from China. It’s tough to believe they will relent on everything.

European shares in the day with modest gains

German DAX little changed. France’s CAC Up 0.5%

European major indices are close for the day and ending with modest gains:

  • German DAX, +0.1%
  • France’s CAC, +0.5%
  • UK’s FTSE, -0.3%
  • Spain’s Ibex, +0.4%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB unchanged
For the week, the major indices are ending with modest changes:
  • German DAX, unchanged
  • France’s CAC, +0.5%
  • UK’s FTSE, -0.3%
  • Spain’s Ibex, +0.4%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +0.1%
In the benchmark 10 year note sector, yields are ending mostly lower with Italy the exception:
German DAX little changed. France's CAC Up 0.5%
In the forex market as London/European traders look to exit for the week, the JPY and USD are now the strongest currencies.   The weakest currency is the NZD.
The EURUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD and USDCHF are now near extremes for the day (higher USD).  The EURUSD has just fallen below the 1.1000 level.  The NZDUSD is trading two new four year lows.

India’s corporate tax cuts credit negative, will widen fiscal deficit: S&P

Rating firm S&P Global said on Friday India’s move to cut corporate tax rates was a “credit negative development” despite potentially boosting the broader economy as it will widen its fiscal deficit.

The cuts are likely to “boost sentiment and support the broader economy at a time when momentum is flagging”, said Andrew Wood, director of sovereign and international public finance ratings at S&P Global Ratings.

“Nevertheless, we believe that the cuts will invariably lead to higher central and general government fiscal deficits, absent equivalent revenue generating measures,” Wood told Reuters.

The Indian government slashed corporate taxes on Friday, giving a surprise $20.5 billion break aimed at reviving private investment and lifting growth from a six-year low that has caused job losses and fuelled discontent in the countryside.

The news sent shares sharply higher, but bond yields spiked to a near three-month peak on speculation that the government may have to borrow more to meet its expenditure needs, as the measures will mean a revenue loss of 1.45 trillion rupees for the current year.

China’s Xi calls on all parties to avoid escalating Saudi situation

China’s President on the Saudi attacks in Xinhua

  • Calls fro ‘objective’ and fair investigation of attacks
  • Resolutely supports Saudi efforts to safeguard sovereignty and security
  • Held phone call with King Salman
Translation, we don’t want anyone pushing up oil prices because our economy is slowing.

Nikkei 225 closes higher by 0.16% at 22,079.09

Tokyo’s main index barely hangs on to gains in mixed trading day

Nikkei 20-09

It has been a sluggish session overall for Asian equities in general as the risk mood stays more subdued after seeing US stocks give back gains in overnight trading. China did cut its one-year LPR by 5 bps but it hardly is breathing life into equities on the session.

The Hang Seng index is flat while the Shanghai Composite is up by just 0.2% as investors appear to be more cautious still to wrap up the week. US futures are pretty much flat so that tells us that equities are still sidelined to begin European trading.
USD/JPY sits lower at 107.87 though as the yen keeps pace after gains from yesterday amid weaker Treasury yields to start the morning.

Japanese media – North Korea may be preparing a submarine capable of launching SLBM

SLBM is submarine-launched ballistic missile. NHK with the report (via Bloomberg)

If you have a memory you’ll know the preparations have been ongoing for months at least.

Saudi-led coalition launches military operation in Yemen

If it was against Iran directly there might be some forex impact but Yemen, no.

If there are market jitters watch for flows out of risk and into havens. But nothing evident right now.
  • Saudi state TV with the report of a military operation Yemen against military targets
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