Archives of “May 2019” month
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Week ahead: Walmart, Fed speakers, geopolitics
With the Uber IPO out of the way and trade concerns dragging markets lower over recent sessions, investors turn to retail results and economic data next week.
Here’s what to watch in the coming days.
Geopolitics
US secretary of state Michael Pompeo is expected to travel to Moscow to meet Sergei Lavrov on Monday. The pair are expected to discuss Syria, Ukraine and Venezuela. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump will meet Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orban in Washington.
Investors will also keep a close eye on updates around trade after the US on Friday increased tariffs on $200bn worth of Chinese products from 10 per cent to 25 per cent and Mr Trump said he was “starting the paperwork” on Thursday to impose 25 per cent levies on Chinese goods worth an additional $325bn.
Moreover, Saturday, May 18, marks the deadline for President Trump to decide on potential auto tariffs for the EU, though economists expect he could extend that cut-off time.
Fed speakers
With concerns about central bank communication and Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell indicating earlier this month that he sees no immediate need to move interest rates either higher or lower, investors will closely parse commentary from officials next week.
The roster includes Boston Fed president Eric Rosengren, governor Richard Clarida, New York Fed president John Williams and Kansas City Fed president Esther George, who are all voting members of the monetary policy setting Federal Open Market Committee.
“A range of Fed speakers next week may return market attention to the Fed’s operational framework review,” strategists at TD Securities, said. “Among voters, Rosengren and Clarida likely will give some support to inflation ‘make-up’ policies, while George should be a more critical voice.”
US data
The economic calendar is fairly stacked next week with updates on the health of the housing market, manufacturing and the consumer. But it is retail sales and industrial production that will be most closely watched.
Economists project retail sales to have risen 0.2 per cent month-on-month in April and so-called control sales that strip out more volatile items like food, petro and building materials to be up 0.3 per cent. Industrial production is expected to stay flat.
Walmart and retail earnings
Earnings season slows to a trickle with just nine companies in the S&P 500 scheduled to report results next week. Walmart reports results on Thursday and the biggest US retailer’s ecommerce sales are likely to come under scrutiny as it continues to battle with Amazon for retail supremacy. Ralph Lauren and Macy’s are among the others reporting next week.
On this day in 1977: Apple begins shipping first Apple II computers (the motherboard-only version)
Uber unable to lift on day one like other prominent IPOs
Potentially as disappointing as a driver cancelling on you when you’re rushing to the airport, Uber bucked a trend among prominent initial public offerings and finished more than 7 per cent below its float price as it made its Wall Street debut.
Liu He: China is cautiously optimistic about the future talks
Comments from China’s top negotiator
- China and US agreed to continue talks in Beijing in the future
- China will never compromise on principles
- Talks with US were candid and constructive
The market is closed for the weekend but these are upbeat and in line with what we saw from the US.
CFTC Commitments of Traders: Yen shorts ease up
Weekly forex futures net non-commercial positioning data for the week ending May 7, 2019:
- EUR short 106K vs 105K short last week. Unchanged
- GBP short 7K vs 5K short last week. Shorts increased by 3K
- JPY short 92K vs 100K short last week. Shorts increased by 6K
- CHF short 40k vs 40k short last week. Shorts increased by 2K
- AUD short 57k vs 59k short last week. Shorts increased by 9K
- NZD short 13K vs 11K short last week. Shorts increased by 6K
- CAD short 46K vs 47K short last week. Unchanged
- Prior report
There were no big themes developing in the latest report. The US dollar remains a heavy favourite of specs and it’s as crowded as ever. The net euro position is the most extreme since Dec 2016.

US to send more Patriot missiles to Middle East over Iran concerns
Acting US defense secretary will send more missiles
I don’t know much about military affairs but I don’t have a shadow of a doubt that if Iran attacked the US it would be a very, very big mistake.
US stocks finish higher in a strong rebound to end a poor week
Closing changes:
- S&P 500 up 11 points to 2881
- DJIA up 114 points to 25942
- NASDAQ up 6 points to 7916
- TSX Comp -0.15%
On the week:
- S&P 500 -2.2%
- DJIA -2.2%
- NASDAQ -3.0%
- TSX -1.2%