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Essential Qualities of the Speculator

1. Self-Reliance. A man must think for himself,
must follow his own convictions. George
MacDonald says: “A man cannot have another
man’s ideas any more than he can another
man’s soul or another man’s body.” Self-trust
is the foundation of successful effort.

2. Judgment. That equipoise, that nice
adjustment of the faculties one to the other,
which is called good judgment, is an essential
to the speculator.

3. Courage. That is, confidence to act on the
decisions of the mind. In speculation there is
value in Mirabeau’s dictum: “Be bold, still be
bold; always be bold.”

4. Prudence. The power of measuring the
danger, together with a certain alertness and
watchfulness, is very important. There should be
a balance of these two, Prudence and Courage;
Prudence in contemplation, Courage in execution.
Lord Bacon says: “In meditation all dangers
should be seen; in execution one, unless very formidable.”
Connected with these qualities,
properly an outgrowth of them, is a third, viz:
promptness. The mind convinced, the act should
follow. In the words of Macbeth; “Henceforth the
very firstlings of my heart shall be the firstlings
of my hand.” Think, act, promptly.

5. Pliability. The ability to change an opinion,
the power of revision. “He who observes,”
says Emerson, “and observes again, is always
formidable.”

The qualifications named are necessary to the
makeup of a speculator, but they must be in well-balanced
combination. A deficiency or an overplus of one
quality will destroy the effectiveness of all. The possession
of such faculties, in a proper adjustment is, of
course, uncommon. In speculation, as in life, few succeed,
many fail.

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Ten Trend Commandments.

  1. You shall learn from successful trend followers to make big returns int he market.
  2. You shall follow the trend only, and have no guru that you bow down to.
  3. You shall not try to predict the future in vain, but follow the current price trend.
  4. You shall remember the stop loss to keep your capital safe, you shall know your exit before your entry is taken.
  5. Follow your trend following system all the days that you are trading, so that through discipline you will be successful.
  6. You shall not give up on trading because of a draw down.
  7. You shall not change a winning system because it has had a few losing trades.
  8. You shall trade with the principles that have proven to work for successful traders.
  9. You shall keep faith in your trend following even in range bound markets, a trend will begin anew.
  10. You shall not covet fundamentalists valuations, CNBC talking heads, newsletter predictions, holy grails, or the false claims of black box systems.

Week ahead: Turkey, Brexit, US jobs

Wall Street wrapped up the first three months of the year in fine form with the S&P 500 clocking its biggest first quarter rise since 1998.

Here’s what to watch in the coming days as the June quarter gets under way.

Turkey elections

Ahead of crucial local elections on Sunday, Turkish markets were in turmoil while its currency, the lira, weakened as president Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his party, Justice and Development Party (AKP), remain eager to retain control over some of the country’s biggest cities.

“Polling suggests the People’s Alliance may lose some key areas like Ankara and, less probably, Istanbul to the Nation Alliance,” note strategists at TD Securities. “A poor showing may result in more unorthodox, pro-growth policies that maintain uncertainties over Turkey.” The AKP formed an alliance with the Nationalist Movement party (MHP) in 2018, which has been dubbed the People’s Alliance.

US-China trade (more…)

China’s Xi is worry about a summit with Trump

Concerned about difficulty in reaching compromise

Nikkei is reporting that China’s Xi is reportedly wary about a summit with US Pres. Trump as a result of the difficulty in reaching a compromise.
The US would receive Xi’s ire if there is not some give and take compromises from the US.
That puts a little damper on the details coming out that progress is being made with the talks.
Recall, that the Trump/Xi meeting has already been postponed. Xi does not want to meet without most, if not all of the details ironed out.
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