Archives of “March 19, 2019” day
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Sell a rally in USD/JPY ahead of Fed and BOJ – Westpac
Trade idea from Westpac

Analysts at Westpac suggest selling USD/JPY if it rises to 111.90 from the current 111.33 level. They target 110.10 with a stop at 112.55.
“FOMC patience and [an] early shift in balance sheet reduction to weigh on US rates,” they write.
They believe Brexit will weight on risk assets until month end and that resistance at 112.00/50 will cap any rallies.
Risks include a Brexit deal, a less-dovish Fed, better economic data including global PMIs and a dovish shift from Kuroda in the day ahead.
The biggest ever trade in copper call options is worth $6.5 million and bets the metal will surge past $3.05 in a few months.
Germany March ZEW survey current situation 11.1 vs 13.0 expected
Latest data released by ZEW – 19 March 2019
- Prior 15.0
- Expectations -3.6 vs -11.0 expected
- Prior -13.4
- Eurozone expectations 2.5
- Prior -16.6
Slight delay in the release by the source.
Apple’s Chinese suppliers overtake US for first time
Apple now has more mainland Chinese and Hong Kong-based suppliers than ever before, with the number surpassing American and Japanese companies for the first time despite the ongoing trade war.
The mainland and Hong Kong suppliers together constitute the iPhone maker’s second-largest source of components, trailing only Taiwan-based companies, a Nikkei Asian Review analysis of Apple’s latest annual list of top 200 suppliers shows.
The rapid rise of Chinese companies in Apple’s supply chain highlights the country’s remarkable technological advancement over the past few years, as Apple demands world-class quality from the makers of parts going into its products, from iPhones and MacBooks to Apple Watches and AirPods. Analysts are divided, however, over whether the trade war will eventually slow or even reverse this trend.
US-China trade talks extend to April over differences on tariffs
A hoped-for summit to wrap up a U.S.-China trade deal has been postponed from this month to April or later as Beijing bristles at Washington’s demands for a one-way enforcement framework.
China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Monday announced the schedule for President Xi Jinping’s trip to Europe later this month. Not included in the itinerary was a stopover in the U.S. for talks with President Donald Trump, which Beijing had considered as an occasion to close the trade deal. The absence essentially eliminates any chance for the two leaders to meet before the end of March.
The delay reflects a continuing conflict over enforcement. Even as negotiations enter the final stages, Washington and Beijing still have differences over a framework that verifies China’s adherence to the eventual deal and punishes the country for failing to follow it, a U.S.-China diplomatic source said. The rift has stretched out the timeline for talks, pushing the wrap-up summit to April or even as late as June.
“There’s still a lot of work to do,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday, acknowledging that the summit would not happen by the end of March as previously discussed.
Mnuchin and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer spoke by phone twice last week with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He to hammer out the text of a trade agreement. Chinese state-run news agency Xinhua reported Friday that the two sides made substantive progress.
Trump said Thursday that the talks are going “very well,” but warned that “if it’s not a deal that’s a great deal for us, we’re not going to make it.”
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang told reporters on Friday that he wants a “win-win” result that benefits both sides.
Beijing and Washington have agreed to continue holding regular ministerial and vice ministerial meetings for enforcement, but the U.S. wants the right to impose punitive tariffs if it determines that China is not holding up its end of the deal.
American negotiators including Lighthizer reportedly have pressed China to promise not to respond with retaliatory duties in such cases, as Beijing did multiple times last year in response to U.S. tariffs on Chinese products.
Beijing has resisted a unilateral enforcement framework. Wang Shouwen, the Chinese vice minister of commerce, has said any such mechanism must be “fair and equal.” (more…)
Japanese financial authorities to cap leverage in cryptocurrency trading
Japan press (Nikkei) report on moves to further restrict crypto margin trading
- cabinet has approved draft amendments to laws which would cap leverage in virtual currency margin trading at two to four times initial deposits
- brings the limits in line with standards are similar to those in foreign exchange trading
- All cryptocurrency exchanges that handle margin trading will be required to obtain new government registration

Deutsche Bank’s Tier 1 debt is surging as traders expect the German government to help with some capital infusion.
US major indices start the week with gains
Midday dips into the red, reversed and close well off the lows
The major US stock in the US are ending the day in the black after a dip midday sent the pair in the red. Even the Dow closed higher despite a drag by Boeing. The shares of Boeing subtracted 40 some odd points from the Dow.
The final numbers are showing:
- S&P, up 10.52 points or 0.37% at 2833.01. The low reached 2821.99 but remained well above the 2800 level
- Nasdaq, up 25.95 points or 0.34% at 7714.47. The high reached 737.66. The low reached down at 767.74
- Dow rose 65.23 points or 0.25% at 25914.10. The low reached 25785.66. The high extended to 25924.
Winners included financials:
- Deutsche Bank, +4.17%
- Goldman Sachs, +2.13%
- Wells Fargo, +2.13%
- Bank of America, +1.81%
- Morgan Stanley, +1.64%
- PNC financial, +1.54%
- Citigroup, +1.12%
- Charles Schwab, +0.99%
Other winners included:
- Amazon, +1.74%
- Microsoft, +1.43%
- Broadcom, +1.22%
- Caterpillar,1.06%
- Apple, +1.02%
- Home Depot, +0.66%
Losers included:
- Facebook, -3.32%
- Tesla, -2.16%
- Boeing, -1.71%
- Walt Disney, -1.60%
- United Continental, -1.18%
- Delta Airlines, -0.88%
- Southwest airlines, -0.58%
- Celgene, -0.53%
- Nvidia, -0.51%
- Intel, -0.42%
- Twitter, -0.42%