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European shares are ending the session in the red

Major indices move lower in trading today

The major European stock indices are closing the day in the red, erasing earlier gains.
The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, -0.3%. It was up about 0.60% the highs
  • France’s CAC, -0.6%. It reached the high of +0.40%
  • UK’s FTSE, -0.6%. It peaked at +0.36%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -0.4%. It was up around 0.22% at the highs
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB -0.6%.  It rose by 0.29% at session highs
In the European debt market, the benchmark yields are mostly lower. France 10 year notes move back below the 0.0% level and is trading at -0.007% currently (low yield reach -0.019%).
Major indices move lower in trading today_

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European shares end the day lower

German DAX, -0.66%. UK’s FTSE, -0.68%

the major European stock indices are ending the day with declines. The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, -0.66%
  • France’s CAC, -0.79%
  • UK’s FTSE, -0.68%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -0.74%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -1.06%
  • Portugal’s PSI 20, -0.62%
In the European debt market, yields moved sharply higher with the UK 10 year benchmark note leading the way with a rise of 11 basis points.
German DAX, -0.66%. UK's FTSE, -0.68%_In other markets as European traders exit:
  • Spot gold is higher by $5.60 or 0.37% at $1516.18. It is trading at the highs for the day with the low down at $1510.86
  • WTI crude oil futures are down $0.17 at $61.54, after failing to hold above the $62 level. The high price for the day reach $62.34
The US stocks are trading lower on the day led by declines in the NASDAQ index
  • S&P index -14 points or -0.44% at 3226
  • NASDAQ -51.18 points or -0.57% at 8955.82
  • Dow -129 points or -0.45% at 28514

US yields are also higher with the yield curve steepening. The 2 – 10 year spread has widened out to 34.28 basis points from 29.4 basis points on Friday.

US yields are higher

WTI crude oil futures settle at $58.43

Plus $2.33 or 4.1%

The price of WTI crude oil futures are settling at $58.43. That is a gain of $2.33 or 4.1%. The move higher today was helped by a bigger than expected drawdown of inventories of -4856K versus -1500K estimate.  News that Saudi Arabia is is threatening to keep production higher to punish producers who don’t keep to their quotas had little impact.
Plus $2.33 or 4.1%
Looking at the 60 minute chart above, the contract spiked above its 100 hour and 200 hour moving averages (blue and green lines) and extended up to the recent highs over the last 9 or so trading days between $58.67 and $58.74. The high price today reached $58.66. The low for the day was down at $56.28.
A move above this ceiling would be more bullish for the contract. Staying below, and we could see a rotation back down toward the 200 hour moving average of $57.46.

Oil rallies to the highs of the week

WTI crude at the best levels since Friday

WTI crude at the best levels since Friday
There was a huge build in US oil supplies in data released today but the market has shaken it off. That’s a great sign for the bulls and it comes — in part — due to draws in products.
I think this could lead to some short-term upside but WTI needs to get above $56 to really make any headway.

European shares are beaten down. German DAX falls -2.5%. France’s CAC -2.9%

Ouch.  European shares take a beating.

The European major indices are closed and the provisional closes are not looking good. The major indices are all beaten down by 2%-3%  declines.
The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, -2.5%
  • France’s CAC, -2.9%
  • UK’s FTSE, -3.2%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -2.7%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -2.8%
In the European debt market, the benchmark 10 year yields are ending the session higher, but off the highest levels of the day.  Below is a snapshot of the current yields, changes and high low yields.
Ouch.  European shares take a beating.
US stocks are also down sharply and trading near lows.
  • S&P index, -1.91%
  • NASDAQ index, -1.75%
  • Dow industrial average, -2.0%

In other markets:

  • spot gold is surging and back above the $1500 level. The price is up $22.34 or 1.51% at $1501.50.
  • WTI crude oil futures is trading down $1.35 on expectations of slower growth. That is down 2.5% at $52.28. The inventory data showed a higher build then expectations today
In the forex, the JPY remains the strongest currency on flight to the relative safety of the JPY. The CAD has taken over as the weakest.  The USDCAD is now trading back above its 200 day moving average at 1.3288.

European shares mostly higher. Spain’s Ibex up 0.9%. UK FTSE flat.

Modest gains for the major indices

The European stock markets are closed with major indices are closing higher.  Spain’s Ibex rose 0.9%.  UK FTSE was flat.
The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, +0.2%
  • France’s CAC, +0.3%
  • UK’s FTSE, flat
  • Spains Ibex, +0.9%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +0.67%
In the European debt market, yields for the benchmark 10 year sector are closing lower.
Modest gains for the major indices

In other markets:

  • spot gold is up $9.28 or 0.60% at $1510.50
  • WTI crude oil futures are down $0.95 or -1.65% at $58.37.  Crude oil inventories rose 1058K which was higher than the -2250K estimate.
IN the US stock market, major indices are lower:
  • S&P index -9.37 points or -0.31% at 2996.40
  • NASDAQ index -29.86 points or -0.36% at 2156.29
  • Dow industrial average -84.58 points or -0.31% at 27026.68
In the US debt market yields are also lower and trading near the lows for the day.
US yields are trading at the lows for the day

Oil hit by double-whammy as Bolton turfed and EIA cuts demand forecast

Oil drops $1 fast

Oil drops $1 fast
WTI crude oil fell to $57.30 from $58.50 in a quick move after Trump announced he was firing national security advisor John Bolton. It’s since bounced back 40 cents.
Bolton has long favored military solutions everywhere, but particularly in the Middle East. The news diminishes the chances of bombs falling on Iran.
Minutes after that news, the EIA lowered its forecasts for world oil demand this year and next. They saw a rise of an 890,000 barrel per day rise compared to 1 million barrels previously for this year. For 2020, they trimmed the forecast by 30,000 bpd to a rise of 1.4mbpd.
Offsetting that somewhat is a lower forecast for US production next year at 13.23 mbpd compared to 13.26 mbpd.

Solid up day for the European stock indices today

Major indices are all in the black

The major European stock indices are ending the day with solid gains, helped by decreased attention in Hong Kong, increasing hope for US/China relations, less no-deal risk for the UK, and more dovish Fed officials (the ECB is set to act in September too).
The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, +0.94%
  • France’s CAC, +1.21%
  • UK’s FTSE, +0.60%
  • Spains Ibex, +0.61%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +1.58%
In the benchmark 10 year note sector in Europe, yields are higher as well (with the exception of Italy).
Major indices are all in the blackIn other markets as London/European traders look to exit:
  • spot gold is near unchanged at $1547. The high price reached $1550.23. The low extended to $1533.93
  • WTI crude oil futures are up $2.25 or 4.17% at $56.17. That is near the high price for the day at $56.22. The US impose tighter sanctions on Iran today.
In the US stock market major indices are enjoying solid gains as well.  A snapshot of the market currently shows:
  • S&P index 27 points or 0.93% at 2933.22
  • NASDAQ composite index is up 84 points or 1.07% at 7958.13
  • Dow Jones industrial average is up 212 points or 0.81% at 26329.70
US yields have come off high levels and trade mixed with the longer and up marginally and the shorter end unchanged or down marginally:
US yields are trading mixedA snapshot of the forex market shows that the GBP is still the strongest of the majors (but off earlier higher levels). The JPY and USD remain the weakest.  The CAD  has gotten stronger on stronger oil and a was dovish Bank of Canada statement.

WTI futures settle the day (and for the week) up $0.01 at $60.21

Up 0.02%

The price of WTI crude oil future are settling the day (and week) by the smallest of margins. The price is up 1 cent or 0.02% at $60.21.

The high for the day reached $60.74

The low extended to $59.93.
For the week, the pair is up $2.70 or 4.69% from the closing price of $57.51 last week. The gains were helped by a big drawdown of inventories on Wednesday of -9.499M barrels (expecting -3.0K).
Technically, the price moved above its 200 and 100 day MAs at $58.32 and $59.19 respectively. It will take a move back below those levels to hurt the bullish bias next week.
Up 0.02%

Global growth worries continue to weigh on oil

This selloff is getting ugly

This selloff is getting ugly
WTI crude is now down nearly 4% on the day as gloom about the global economy sets in.
The big news this week was OPEC but they did as much as could have been reasonably expected by extending cuts for 9 months. This may be a sell-the-fact trade but it looks more like the market is jittery about demand.
The US Treasury market is sending the same worrisome signals today, despite the China-US truce.
One worry is that Trump’s administration announced fresh European tariffs yesterday. The amount of goods overall is small but it’s moving in the wrong direction and a US-Europe trade war would sink growth expectations once again.
The chart doesn’t look great as we top out well-ahead of the previous highs.