Taleb Says ‘Every Human’ Should Short U.S. Treasuries

TalebFeb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of “The Black Swan,” said “every single human being” should bet U.S. Treasury bonds will decline, citing the policies of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and the Obama administration.

It’s “a no brainer” to sell short Treasuries, Taleb, a principal at Universa Investments LP in Santa Monica, California, said at a conference in Moscow today. “Every single human being should have that trade.”

Taleb said investors should bet on a rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, as long as Bernanke and White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers are in office, without being more specific. Nouriel Roubini, the New York University professor who predicted the credit crisis, also said at the conference that the U.S. dollar will weaken against Asian and “commodity” currencies such as the Brazilian real over the next two or three years.

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China Decreases Holdings of U.S. Treasuries

China Total holding of US Treasuries: $755.4B v $789.6B prior

Japan Total Holdings of US Treasuries: $768.8B v $757.3B prior 
Oil Exporters total Holdings of US Treasuries: $186.8B v $187.7B prior 
Brazil holdings of US Treasuries $160.6B v $157.1B prior 
Russia holdings of US Treasuries $118.5B v $128.1B prior 
Hong Kong holdings of US Treasuries $152.9B v $146.2B prior 
India holdings of US Treasuries: $29.6B v $31.6B prior

treasuriesWASHINGTON (AP) — The government said Tuesday that foreign demand for U.S. Treasury securities fell by the largest amount on record in December with China reducing its holdings by $34.2 billion.

The reductions in holdings, if they continue, could force the government to make higher interest payments at a time that it is running record federal deficits.

The Treasury Department reported that foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury securities fell by $53 billion in December, surpassing the previous record of a $44.5 billion drop in April 2009.[…] (more…)

The problem of Having too much

affluenza2Let me introduce you to some of the better -known victims of affluenza.I want to take you back to the year 1923 ,as a group of the world’s most suscessful businessmen met at the Edgewater Beach Hotel in Chicago for financial planning session.Present were :
The president of the largest independent steel company.
The greatest wheat speculator
The president of the New york Stock Exchange
A member of the President’s cabinet
The greatest bear on Wall Street
The president of the Bank of International Settlements
The head of the world’s greatest monopoly
Individually ,these men symbolized what the world  so frequently terms “success “.Collectively ,these men controlled more wealth then  there was in the U.S.Treasury.Twenty-five years later ,however their lives told a different story. (more…)

The Dollar Meltdown: Book Review

090-1008121154-dollar-meltdownI had the pleasure of reading a final finished copy of The Dollar Meltdown by Charles Goyette.

Congressman Ron Paul offers an opinion on the front cover to which I certainly concur: “Goyette does a great job explaining why America faces a looming financial crisis and outlines commonsense strategies for individuals to protect themselves and their families. This book truly is a must read.”

Before publication, I read a preliminary copy which explains this quote on the back jacket “The Dollar Meltdown is the definitive guide to where we are, how we got here, and what the best investment opportunities are looking ahead, regardless of one’s personal views on the raging inflation/deflation debate”

Others on the back jacket endorsing the book include Jim Rogers, Lew Rockwell, and Peter Schiff.

Step by step Goyette outlines Where we are, How we got here, and What to do. The book is a nice blend of facts, humor, and practicality. It is easy reading and very difficult to put down. (more…)

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