rss

Euro’s strength must be maintained

The Bank of England and European Central Bank will deliver their latest monetary policy decisions on Thursday.

No change is expected from either, but it should still mean that sterling and the euro come, at least briefly, into sharper focus.

It’s the single currency that has been doing better of late, boosted by the ECB’s implicit bond backstop and subsequent easing of eurozone tensions.

In July, it cost less than 78p to buy one euro. Now it’s more than 81p. (more…)

John Murphy’s Ten Laws of Technical Trading

Which way is the market moving? How far up or down will it go? And when will it go the other way? These are the basic concerns of the technical analyst. Behind the charts and graphs and mathematical formulas used to analyze market trends are some basic concepts that apply to most of the theories employed by today’s technical analysts.”

The following are John’s ten most important rules of technical trading:

• Map the Trends
• Spot the Trend and Go With It
• Find the Low and High of It
• Know How Far to Backtrack
• Draw the Line
• Follow That Average
• Learn the Turns
• Know the Warning Signs
• Trend or Not a Trend?
• Know the Confirming Signs

Note: All of the following is the work of John Murphy (not me) (more…)

Words of Wisdom

These generally brief phrases often include such pearls of wisdom as:

Buy low, sell high.”

This maxim describes profitable trading in a nutshell and represents what every successful trader aspires to do. Of course, this is much easier said than done.

Let your profits run, but cut your losses short.

Allowing a winning position to continue making profits while taking losses quickly can make up a solid trading strategy in itself, and it is a key element of just about any good money management plan.

Many successful traders apply this as a trading rule in their trading plans in one form or another, perhaps by having a minimum risk reward ratio where the anticipated reward on a trade is always greater than the risk taken.

Sit on your hands when you don’t have a clue.”

Knowing when you do not know where the market is going and discerning when to stay out of the market because of difficult trading conditions or because of your individual portfolio situation can save a trader considerable money and frustration.

Remember, good trading opportunities eventually arise for those who wait for them patiently.

No one ever went broke taking a profit.”

This seems a wise and yet somewhat limiting expression perhaps. Famous trader Jesse Livermore used to say this and then finish with “but no one ever got rich taking three or four points out of bull market”. Taking profits will always add to your account, but by “letting profits run”, a substantially higher profit can often be had.

It’s never too low to sell or too high to buy.”

Typically, markets will continue moving in the direction of the general trend. When a high or low is made, often a sufficient amount of momentum will propel the price to an ever higher high or lower low.

Price discounts all.”

The mantra of technical analysts, the saying refers to the belief that news about any event related to the trading instrument – whether it is related to current events or supply and demand – will already be included in the price of a currency.

All news is old news.”

A variation on “Price discounts all”, this saying refers to the idea that the market has already moved to factor information into the currency pair’s exchange rate regardless of what the news that came out was.

Buy the rumor, sell the fact.”

Buying the rumor means going long before a bullish news item ever makes it to the news wires for fundamental analysts to mull over. Trading activity then ensues based on this rumor indicating that an item of importance will soon be released. The trader wise to the rumor can take advantage of the release of this news by selling out their position once it becomes public.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.”

Trading does not favor the scatterbrained over the long term, so having a comprehensive and objective trading plan which can be easily followed and implemented makes up a key component of any successful trader’s methods.

The trend is your friend.”

Keeping abreast of the major trend in the market and following it by positioning according to its overall direction will tend to give a trader an edge.

Markets go up the stairs and down the elevator.”

This saying refers to the slow and plodding nature with which markets often go up, whereas when prices decline, they tend to do it in a much faster and abrupt way. While less of a factor in the forex market, this is especially true of stock markets.

Basically, all of the above sayings contain valuable advice and trading wisdom that can be useful for just about anyone involved or thinking about getting involved in trading forex or any other market.