- There are only three kinds of investors – those who think they are geniuses, those who think they are idiots, and those who aren’t sure.
- One of the clearest signals that you are wrong about an investment is having the hunch that you are right about it.
- Investors who focus on price levels earn between five and ten times higher profits than those who pay attention to price changes.
- The only way to be more certain it’s true is to search harder for proof that it is false.
- Business value changes over time, not all the time. Stocks are like weather, altering almost continually and without warning; businesses are like the climate, changing much more gradually and predictably.
- When rewards are near, the brain hates to wait.
- The market isn’t always right, but it’s right more often than it is wrong.
- Often, when we are asked to judge how likely things are, we instead judge how alike they are.
- Most of what seem to be patterns in stock prices are just random variations.
- In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you’ll never learn that you should have fewer ideas. (more…)
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rssWisdom From Jason Zweig
There are only three kinds of investors – those who think they are geniuses, those who think they are idiots, and those who aren’t sure.
- One of the clearest signals that you are wrong about an investment is having the hunch that you are right about it.
- Investors who focus on price levels earn between five and ten times higher profits than those who pay attention to price changes.
- The only way to be more certain it’s true is to search harder for proof that it is false.
- Business value changes over time, not all the time. Stocks are like weather, altering almost continually and without warning; businesses are like the climate, changing much more gradually and predictably.
- When rewards are near, the brain hates to wait.
- The market isn’t always right, but it’s right more often than it is wrong.
- Often, when we are asked to judge how likely things are, we instead judge how alike they are.
- Most of what seem to be patterns in stock prices are just random variations.
- In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you’ll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
- The more often people watch an investment heave up and down, the more likely they are to trade in and out over the short term – and the less likely they are to earn a high return over the long term.
- Investing is not you versus “Them”. It’s you versus you.
- The single greatest challenge you face as an investor is handling the truth about yourself.
- Hindsight bias keeps you from feeling like an idiot as you look back – but it can make you act like an idiot as you look forward.
- Ignorance of our own ignorance haunts our financial judgments. (more…)