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LOSING MONEY WITH METAPHORS

Freud’s psychiatric conclusions have largely been discredited but he rightly maintains praise for understanding the central role of metaphor and narrative in human thought. Professor Cowen HERE, is only the latest to build on this theme although importantly, he concentrates on the negative, blinding aspects of the tendency. Nowhere is this more clear than in the “stories” that surround investments.

Choosing a metaphor presupposes a conclusion. For instance, there’s no way to hear “the Chinese economy is a bubble” without unconsciously associating the country’s outlook with fragility and inevitable disappearance of a soap bubble. If we describe China’s GDP as similar to a hot air balloon on the other hand, our subconscious will immediately become more suceptible to the argument that upcoming government stimulus will right the economic ship. (You see what I did there – the use of the word “ship” is insidious.)

Good metaphors are a double-edged sword and their ubiquity in stock pitches suggests investors remain on their guard, never accepting one outright no matter how successfully it seems to communicates the situation.

10 Trading -Wisdom Quotes

  1. Ignore hearsay and don’t let your ego get the better of you.

“I learned that an opinion isn’t worth that much. It is more important to listen to the market.”
“Most traders who fail have large egos and can’t admit that they are wrong. Even those who are willing to admit that they are wrong early in their career can’t admit it later on! Also, some traders fail because they are too worried about losing. I’m not afraid to lose. When you start being afraid to lose, you’re finished.”

Brian Gelber

  1. Timing is paramount.

“I don’t lose much on trades, because I wait for the exact right moment.”

Mark Weinstein

  1. Accept full responsibility for your actions and don’t fall prey to self-sabotage.

“Many people actually want to lose on a subconscious level.”

“The realization that you are responsible for your results is the key to successful investing. Winners
know they are responsible for their results; losers think they are not.”

Dr. Van K. Tharp (more…)

Two Emotions

Two emotions that plague the inexperienced trader are Anticipated Loss  and Buyers Remorse.

Does your trading life go something like this? You see a trade line up, and suddenly a cramp in your solar plexus appears as you anticipate a possible loss. You put this down to simple fear and make an effort to mentally overcome this internal barricade so as to enter the trade. Acting quickly so as not to miss out, you swiftly enter the position and your trading platform indicates that you are filled. Now you are gripped by the sensation of buyers remorse – too late to back out now… A small voice in the back of your subconscious says “what have I done?”

To your great delight and surprise, the trade soon goes in your favour, and for a while you feel a warm fuzzy glow and give yourself a little compliment, but soon the old feeling returns in the form of a hot flush. Anticipated loss is back again as you worry about the market turning against you and taking away the profit you now have. (more…)

Why do 90% get washed out?

They say that 90% or more of new traders get washed out of the market in six months – why would that be? I just had an insight into my own current state and the implications of it long term if it were left as an unconscious process…

The fact is that learning to trade is hard; very hard – but on top of that, it is a zero feedback learning curve. You don’t get marked or a pat on the back for your efforts; the only feedback you get is:

You lose…
You lose…
You lose…

You think you are building up knowledge and skill in your conscious mind, but unbeknownst to you, in the dark invisible depths of your subconscious, you are slowly training yourself to HATE TRADING…

It is like constantly sticking your hand in the fire and going “Ouch! Ouch! Ouch!”

Your interest and passion for it is being quietly eroded. There eventually comes a day where you would rather do something else than trade that day; your instincts are telling you to avoid the pain.

It eventually becomes a DRAG

Attracted by more pleasurable pursuits you realize one day that you haven’t traded for a week or two, but the very thought of it gives you a pain in the solar plexus… You brush the whole thing aside as an old hobby that was a large expensive waste of time.

You’ve been washed out. You are a statistic, but by now you couldn’t care less!

4 Main Reasons Why Traders Fail

# They do not understand that the markets are a mirror of life on a chart. Markets are a living thing and reflect crowd behaviour and your own, view of the world. CAVEAT:  How you see yourself and the world is buried deeply in the subconscious part of your mind.

# Traders do to understand their own authentic personality hence they find it hard to settle on a trading style. Know yourself well, it makes THE difference between long term trading success or  failure.

# Traders fail to notice how they transfer the feelings and emotions of  the collective consciousness to their trading believing that their emotions and feelings are their own. Self awareness brings market knowledge, literally.

# Traders have subconscious mental blocks which they supress with superficial positive thinking and learned discipline. We all have blocks, to think that you are the one who has not is dangerous arrogance. Welcome to the experience of oneness!

Two Emotions

Two emotions that plague the inexperienced trader are Anticipated Loss and Buyers Remorse.

Does your trading life go something like this? You see a trade line up, and suddenly a cramp in your solar plexus appears as you anticipate a possible loss. You put this down to simple fear and make an effort to mentally overcome this internal barricade so as to enter the trade. Acting quickly so as not to miss out, you swiftly enter the position and your trading platform indicates that you are filled. Now you are gripped by the sensation of buyers remorse – too late to back out now… A small voice in the back of your subconscious says “what have I done?”

To your great delight and surprise, the trade soon goes in your favour, and for a while you feel a warm fuzzy glow and give yourself a little compliment, but soon the old feeling returns in the form of a hot flush. Anticipated loss is back again as you worry about the market turning against you and taking away the profit you now have. You watch the current candle as it bobs up and down… You stare at it in a trance as the feeling of being gripped by a giant hand increases. You struggle for a moment against this sensation, but then it overcomes you and you exit the position. Price moves on without you, and you are filled with buyers remorse again! On and on it goes, slowly eating away at your confidence and sanity.

Here’s what it feels like once you overcome this hump :

Having been watching a dull market for several days from the sideline you suddenly see a trade shining out on your chart. You have an initial “ah ha!” sensation, but you let that go so as to think carefully and not do anything rash or impulsive. You decide to take the trade, and spend some time calculating the correct entry and stop position; you know your standard 1R risk value already. Having checked and double checked that everything is ok, you enter the orders into the market and fill out the necessaries in your trading log, including entry time, size, reason for entry etc… Then you switch off to go read your favourite novel or walk the dog.

The next day, you check the market to see that your order has been filled and the market has moved in your favour. You think “good…” and examine the chart for the correct new stop placement, and you adjust your order in the market. You switch off and go do something else.

3 more days of these quick adjustments follow, and your profit increases with each surge, but on the forth day you check to find that you have been stopped out during a sudden reversal for a profit of 2.6R… Nice trade. You fill out the rest of the entry in your log, and then assume the attitude of sitting on the sidelines again for the next trade.

Now – the thing to bare in mind in the above examples as that both people might be TRADING THE SAME MOVE…

A million fragments

My definition of learning is that it is the slow accumulation of a million fragments of experience that begin to connect to form understanding. Understanding occurs when a piece of acquired information connects directly to a relevant experience.

For instance you may read about support and resistance (the intake of information), but only when you attempt to trade based on that knowledge will you begin to generate what are firstly disjointed fragments of understanding.


When approaching any subject as a newbie we may start off knowing literally nothing, and then this accumulation begins. The fragments we collect are small; the reading an entire book on trading may yield perhaps two or three definite single connections and the rest appears to vanish into the “realm” of the subconscious.

If we persist, we make more and more connections and our understanding begins to grow exponentially as we verify and counter verify previously experienced fragments of knowledge. It is my belief based on observation that real learning occurs when the mind recognizes a link between two pieces of information (usually something new plus something remembered) and then generates a third. These “aha” moments seem to bond something in the mind that is more permanent – the information then becomes OURS. Due to this it is also possible to make new connections from the same information, thus it never hurts to read a book twice or more, as you may often see deeper and deeper meaning in it.

In time we reach a point where the mind contains enough understanding on a subject to be able to generate new information and connections within itself. The critical components in this process are of course the constant intake of information (study) married to real life experiences (practice) over a long enough period (time) to build up the result (understanding).

There you have the formula for mastery :

Study, Practice, Time = Understanding

HOW TO MAKE BETTER DECISIONS

When you have the time make a decision to watch the following program on making better decisions.  You may find that you made the right decision to do so.
FROM THE INTRODUCTION:According to science: We are bad at making decisions. Our decisions are based on oversimplification, laziness and prejudice. And that’s assuming that we haven’t already been hijacked by our surroundings or led astray by our subconscious!
Featuring exclusive footage of experiments that show how our choices can be confounded by temperature, warped by post-rationalisation and even manipulated by the future, Horizon presents a guide to better decision making, and introduces you to Mathematician Garth Sundem, who is convinced that conclusions can best be reached using simple maths and a pencil!

Cutting your losses and going with the trend – emotionally

There is the famous old adage that as a trader you should cut your losses short and let your winners run. 

The best are able to do this. 

BUT it’s a very easy thing to intellectualise and yet quite another thing to execute in the real world.  After all if it was so easy there wouldn’t be all the writers, books, blogs, tweets, coaches, mentors etc in the trading world.  They would be obsolete.

HOWEVER IT ALSO APPLIES TO LIFE AWAY FROM THE CHARTS.

The ego and subconscious are often key adversaries to us gaining flow in our lives and achieving abundance.  This is true in both trading and normal life.

If you are unwilling to accept you are wrong and move on it is all too easy to not keep your losses small.    (more…)

Market Wizard’s 25 Trading Clichés and Axioms to Follow, Memorize and Practice

  1. THE MARKET ITSELF IS THE ULTIMATE WEILDER OF JUSTICE. JUDGE, JURY AND PROSECUTOR.
  2. RECIPE TO LOSE FOR SURE: OVER-ANALYZE, PROCRASTINATE, HESITATE.
  3. LEARN TO SWEAT OUT, HANG ON TO AND SCALE OUT OF YOUR WINNERS.
  4. HIT SINGLES AND DOUBLES, NOT HOMERUNS. THE HOMERUNS ARE USUALLY THE RESULT OF GOOD TRADING AFTER A PROFITABLE TRADE HAS STARTED TO MAKE ITS MOVE
  5. A BIG LOSS CAN DESTROY YOU. IS RISK WORTH TOTAL DESTRUCTION?
  6. LOVE TO LOSE MONEY. NOT BECAUSE YOU’RE AN IDIOT, BUT BECAUSE LOSING MONEY IS AN IMMEDIATE FEEDBACK MECHANISM. EMBRACE THE SIGNAL AND DITCH THE TRADE.
  7. NEWS IS HISTORY. THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT AND LEAST OBSERVED RULE. DAYTRADING ARCADES UP AND DOWN WALL STREET HAVE DOZENS AND DOZENS OF LCD’S TUNED TO ONE STATION, CNBC. BY THE TIME THEY PUKE IT OUT, IT’S ABOUT 7 TO 12 HOURS OLD. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS “BREAKING NEWS” ANYMORE. SOME TRADERS TELL ME THEY TUNE IT OUT. YOU CAN’T. IT GETS INTO YOUR SUBCONSCIOUS AND AFFECTS YOUR TRADING. PUT YOURSELF ON A TOTAL NEWS BLACKOUT FOR A WHILE AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS TO YOUR RESULTS. LOSE TOUCH WITH THE REST OF THE WORLD. ISOLATE YOURSELF TO YOUR ALGORITHMS, DATA, CHARTS AND MASTERING YOUR TRADING PLATFORM. AND IF YOU WORK FOR A FIRM WITH DOZENS OF LCD’S TUNED TO CNBC, MAINLY SO THAT THEIR “GUY” WHO IS ON ONCE A WEEK IS SEEN AND HEARD BY EVERYONE AT THE FIRM. THIS PERSON RARELY KNOWS HOW TO TRADE. I KNOW OF A FEW FIRMS OUT THERE LIKE THIS.
  8. THE FIRST LOSS IS THE BEST LOSS BECAUSE IT HURTS THE MOST. LEARNING TO LOSE IS IMPORTANT. LEARNING TO LOSE AS LITTLE AS POSSIBLE IS THE MARKET’S PAVLOVIAN WAY OF TEACHING YOU HOW TO TRADE PROFESSIONALLY AND PROFITABLY
  9. EARN THE RIGHT TO TRADE BIGGER. YOU’LL KNOW WHEN YOU’RE READY. DON’T RUSH IT. THE BIGGER YOU GET, THE MORE IMPORTANT EXECUTION STRATEGY BECOMES. YOU DON’T WANT TO BE SLOPPY, LIKE MOST PEOPLE I’VE MET, EVEN THOSE THAT WERE SO CALLED MENTORS TO ME, OR WHO I CALLED “MAESTRO”. SLOPPIEST TRADER IN THE WORLD. TINY ORDERS LEAVING ELEPHANT FOOTPRINTS WHILE SMART TRADERS TAKE MAMMOTH ORDERS AND DON’T MAKE A RIPPLE
  10. BE YOURSELF. DON’T TRY TO BE SOMEONE ELSE. FIND THE STRATEGY THAT WORKS FOR YOUR PSYCHE. IT TAKES WORK, READING, TESTING, AND INNER-REFLECTION. YOUR CHARACTER HAS THE CORRECT STRATEGY OUT THERE. YOU HAVE TO FIND IT. DON’T TRADE WHAT SOME SCHMUCK WANNABE HEAD TRADER AT A SHADY FIRM TELLS YOU TO TRADE, OR USE A STRATEGY TAUGHT BY A FIRM THAT LETS YOU ONLY TRADE THAT STRATEGY. GET OUT OF THESE FIRMS. (more…)
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