rss

50 Trading Mistakes

1. Many futures traders trade without a plan. They do not define specific risk and profit objectives before trading. Even if they establish a plan, they “second guess” it and don’t stick to it, particularly if the trade is a loss. Consequently, they overtrade and use their equity to the limit (are undercapitalized), which puts them in a squeeze and forces them to liquidate positions.

Usually, they liquidate the good trades and keep the bad ones.

2. Many traders don’t realize the news they hear and read has already been discounted by the market.

3. After several profitable trades, many speculators become wild and aggressive. They base their trades on hunches and long shots, rather than sound fundamental and technical reasoning, or put their money into one deal that “can’t fail.”

4. Traders often try to carry too big a position with too little capital, and trade too frequently for the size of the account.

5. Some traders try to “beat the market” by day trading, nervous scalping, and getting greedy.

6. They fail to pre-define risk, add to a losing position, and fail to use stops.

7 .They frequently have a directional bias; for example, always wanting to be long.

8. Lack of experience in the market causes many traders to become emotionally and/or financially committed to one trade, and unwilling or unable to take a loss. They may be unable to admit they have made a mistake, or they look at the market on too short a time frame.

9. They overtrade.

10. Many traders can’t (or don’t) take the small losses. They often stick with a loser until it really hurts, then take the loss. This is an undisciplined approach…a trader needs to develop and stick with a system. (more…)

Investment Wisdom

  • There are only three kinds of investors – those who think they are geniuses, those who think they are idiots, and those who aren’t sure.
  • One of the clearest signals that you are wrong about an investment is having the hunch that you are right about it.
  • Investors who focus on price levels earn between five and ten times higher profits than those who pay attention to price changes.
  • The only way to be more certain it’s true is to search harder for proof that it is false.
  • Business value changes over time, not all the time. Stocks are like weather, altering almost continually and without warning; businesses are like the climate, changing much more gradually and predictably.
  • When rewards are near, the brain hates to wait.
  • The market isn’t always right, but it’s right more often than it is wrong.
  • Often, when we are asked to judge how likely things are, we instead judge how alike they are.
  • Most of what seem to be patterns in stock prices are just random variations.
  • In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you’ll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.

Trading Quotes for Traders

The tape tells the truth, but often there is a lie buried in the human interpretation
~~Jesse Livermore~~

 
 Your human nature prepares you to give up your independence under stress. when you put on a trade, you feel the desire to imitate others and overlook objective trading signals. This is why you need to develop and follow trading systems and money management rules. They represent your rational individual decisions, made before you enter a trade and become a crowd member.
~~A. Elder~~

 
 Charts not only tell what was, they tell what is; and a trend from was to is (projected linearly into the will be) contains better percentages than clumsy guessing
~~R. A. Levy~~ 

 
The biggest risk in trading is missing major opportunities, most of enormous gains on my accounts came from 5% of trades.
~~Richard Dennis~~

 
Take every gain without showing remorse about missed profits, because an eel may escape sooner than you think
~~Joseph de la Vega~~

 
Losing is part of trading. The best traders don’t get perturbed by losing trades, since over the long run they know they will be successful more often than not. When you are afraid of losing, you end up losing or missing opportunities because you are afraid to trade.
~~Trading to Win, Ari Kiev~~

 
In trading, the vast market consists of neophytes who are looking for magical answers to make lots of money quickly and with little risk. They want specific ideas. They want to be told exactly what to do. Those looking for such things will not find them. They will not be successful as long as they continue to favor the easy over the
truth.
~~Curtis Faith ~~ 

 
The difficulty in trading lies not in the concepts but in the application.
Curtis M. Faith

Meet the market with an empty mind

empty_mindYou know you are a daytrader when you go to the movies with loved ones and a line in the movie becomes you next daytrading blog post.

The movie was 2012. A movie about the end of the world and the preservation of the human race. the entire movie is filled with moments of natural disasters, crashing buildings, people meeting their end, and people who are trying to survive and perserve the human race.

Amongst the mass destruction where the south pole becomes located someplace in Wisconsin, it is not surprising that religion comes into play. Once scene includes a wise old monk speaking with a young monk who obviously has not attained the wisdom of the old man. As they are speaking the wise old man pours a cup of brown tea until it is overflowing. The young monk tells him to stop as the cup is overflowing. The old man stops pouring and explains,

 ”like this cup a man’s mind is overflowing with opinions and speculation.

You must empty  the cup in order to fill it with wisdom” (more…)

Trading psychology

  • Trading psychologyStop trying to outsmart the market. NO ONE knows exactly where it will go.
  • With each decision you make comes stress:
    • The more decisions you make, the more likely you are to be wrong.
    • The more decisions you are used to making, the more pressure you’ll put on yourself to make even more decisions.
    • No one can be that right.
  • Forget about the “whys’ of the market. After all is said and done, the reasons will be known.
  • Don’t apply logic. Markets move on emotions — period!
  • Plan your trade and trade your plan.
  • Reduce the amount of decisions you make.
  • Make decisions and live with them (also a life lesson!).
    • Good decisions come from experience.
    • Experience comes from bad decisions.
  • Overconfidence

    The perfectionist may never be really convinced that a certain market setup is right to enter into a position and the overconfident trader may neglect certain signals that the setup is not worth trading on.

    A trader may become overconfident after a few successful trades. It’s very hard to fight the ‘I am the market God’-emotion. Making a number of consecutive successful trades is not necessarily a sign you have figured out how the markets work, the same way a losing streak is not a sign you’re a bad trader.

    After a huge success it’s tempting to trade a larger size or accept more risk. The general idea is that simply because of the huge profit in the previous trade, more size and/or risk is acceptable in the next. But when you think about it, a realized profit is part of your account now, it’s no different than money made on earlier trades, it is money you worked hard for. There can be good reasons to increase trading size or risk, but that should be part of a plan, not just an impulsive decision based on a feeling of being ‘invulnerable’.

    Ask yourself, which feeling is worse: losing yesterday’s profit, or losing the profit made 10 days ago? If that feels different, the first one being less worse, then it may be wise to stop trading for a few days after a good trade. During those days, the profit will slowly change from being ‘an extra’ to being ‘part of your trading account’. In other words, you get used to it and handle it with more care.

    Overconfidence can also come from a (strong) conviction that the market has to go a certain direction based on a personal opinion about the economy, politics, the FED, interest rate, unemployment numbers etc etc. This kind of confidence has been discussed before. The remedy is simple: don’t trade the news.

    Five Faiths Needed for Trading Success

    1. You must have faith in yourself. You must believe that you can trade as well as anyone else.. This belief arises from doing your homework and staying disciplined in your system. Understanding that it is not you, that it is your system that wins and loses based on market action will keep the negative self talk at bay.
    2. You must have faith in your method. You must study the historical performance of your trading method so you can see how it works on charts. Also it is possible to quantify and back test mechanical trading systems for specific historical  performance in different kinds of markets.
    3. You must have faith in your risk management. You must manage your risk per trade so it brings you to a 0% mathematical probability of ruin. A 1% to 2% of total capital at risk per trade will give almost any system a 0% risk of ruin.
    4. You must have faith that you will win in the long term if you stay on course. Reading the stories of successful traders and how they did it will give you a sense that if they can do it you can to. If trading is something you are passionate about all that separates you from success is time.
    5. You need faith in your stock. It helps in your trading if you trade stocks, commodities, or currencies that you 100% believe in. Traders tend to have no trouble trading a bullish system with $AAPL if they believe it is the greatest company to ever exist and will go to $500 within six months. It is much easier to follow an always in trend reversal system with Gold if you believe it tends to trend strongly one way or the other. Of course you have to follow a defined system and take the signals even if it goes against your opinions but believing in your trading vehicle helps tremendously.

    Word of Wisdom from :Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Robert Edwards and John Magee.

    No stock trader should be without Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Robert Edwards and John Magee.  Originally penned in 1948 and revised numerous times over the years, it is a classic.  What Edwards and Magee wrote 60+ years ago is today still the same as it ever was.

    In a chapter entitled “Stick To Your Guns” we find the following words of wisdom for those traders who seek the oftentimes elusive peace of mind of the disciplined few.

    It has often been pointed out that any of several different plans of operation, if followed consistently over a number of years, would have produced consistently a net gain on market operations.   The fact is, however, that many traders, having not set up a basic strategy and having no sound philosophy of what the market is doing and why, are at the mercy of every panic, boom, rumor, tip, in fact, of every wind that blows.  And since the market, by its very nature, is a meeting place of conflicting and competing forces, they are constantly torn by worry, uncertainty, and doubt.  As a result, they often drop their good holdings for a loss on a sudden dip or shakeout; they can be scared out of their short commitments by a wave of optimistic news; they spend their days picking up gossip, passing on rumors, trying to confirm their beliefs or alleviate their fears; and they spend their nights weighing and balancing, checking and questioning, in a welter of bright hopes and dark fears.

    Furthermore, a trader of this type is in continual danger of getting caught in a situation that may be truly ruinous.  Since he has no fixed guides or danger points to tell him when a commitment has gone bad and it is time to get out with a small loss, he is prone to let stocks run entirely past the red light, hoping that the adverse move will soon be over, and there will be a ‘chance to get out even,’ a chance that often never comes.  And, even should stocks be moving in the right direction and showing him a profit, he is not in a much happier position, since he has no guide as to the point at which to take profits.  The result is he is likely to get out too soon and lose most of his possible gain, or overstay the market and lose part of the expected profits. (more…)

    49 Trading Rules for Traders

    1. Usually they liquidate the good trades and keep the bad ones. Many traders don’t realize the news they hear and read has, in many cases, already been discounted by the market.
    2. After several profitable trades, many speculators become wild and unconservative. They base their trades on hunches and long shots, rather than sound fundamental and technical reasoning, or put their money into one deal that “can’t fail.”
    3. Traders often try to carry too big a position with too little capital, and trade too frequently for the size of the account.
    4. Some traders try to “beat the market” by day-trading, nervous scalping, and getting greedy.
    5. They fail to pre-define risk, add to a losing position, and fail to use stops.
    6. They frequently have a directional bias; for example, always wanting to be long.
    7. Lack of experience in the market causes many traders to become emotionally and/or financially committed to one trade, and unwilling or unable to take a loss. They may be unable to admit they have made a mistake, or they look at the market in too short a timeframe.
    8. They overtrade.
    9. Many traders can’t (or don’t) take the small losses. They often stick with a loser until it really hurts, then take the loss. This is an undisciplined approach…a trader needs to develop and stick with a system.
    10. Many traders get a fundamental case and hang onto it, even after the market technically turns. Only believe fundamentals as long as the technical signals follow. Both must agree.
    11. Many traders break a cardinal rule: “Cut losses short. Let profits run.”
    12. Many people trade with their hearts instead of their heads. For some traders, adversity (or success) distorts judgment. That’s why they should have a plan first, and stick to it.
    13. Often traders have bad timing, and not enough capital to survive the shake out.
    14. Too many traders perceive futures markets as an intuitive arena. The inability to distinguish between price fluctuations which reflect a fundamental change and those which represent an interim change often causes losses.
    15. Not following a disciplined trading program leads to accepting large losses and small profits. Many traders do not define offensive and defensive plans when an initial position is taken.
    16. Emotion makes many traders hold a loser too long. Many traders don’t discipline themselves to take small losses and big gains.
    17. Too many traders are underfinanced, and get washed out at the extremes.
    18. Greed causes some traders to allow profits to dwindle into losses while hoping for larger profits. This is really lack of discipline. Also, having too many trades on at one time and overtrading for the amount of capital involved can stem from greed.
    19. Trying to trade inactive markets is dangerous.
    20. Taking too big a risk with too little profit potential is a sure way to losses. (more…)

    Hesitation

    You are watching a stock that has all the signals you look for in an opportunity. The proper point to enter comes, but you wait. You second guess the opportunity and don’t buy the stock. Or, you bid for the stock at a price that is not likely to get filled if the opportunity does pan out the way you anticipate it will. As a result, you get left behind while the market pushes the stock higher. A short while after the initial entry signal, when the stock has made a decent gain, you decide to finally enter the trade. After all, the market has proven your analysis correct, so you must be smart, and right! Not long after you enter, the stock turns south and you end up with a losing trade. If only you had bought when you first thought about it.

    The Solution

    This is really just a confidence issue. You are either not confident in your ability to analyze stocks, or you are not confident in the methodology that you are using to pick trades. Therefore, you have to research your method so that you have the confidence that it works. Then, you have to start small, making trades that have a potential loss that you are comfortable with. As you gain confidence in your method and your ability, increase the trade size. With your new found confidence, stand in a crowded room and scream, “I am great!” Well, maybe don’t carry it that far.