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4 Elements Required to Trade Successfully

There are 4 elements you must master:

  • Idenifying support and resistance. If you are trading in the middle of the range, you will be more suseptible to what seem to be reversals, but are actually just noise in between a trading range. Do not enter if your stock has moved more than 5 percent above support or the breakout point.

  • Identifying volume patterns. If you buy a dip on high volume, there’s a higher probability of getting caught in the midst of a reversal. Same goes for low volume breakouts.

  • Set appropriate stops, based on support, resistance and percentage of your trading portfolio. Even if you take the appropriate cautions, you can still get reversed. It shouldn’t hurt when you do.

  • Do not trade scared. Trust your analysis and risk parameters.

It has taken me time to master these four elements to trading, and at times I still fall into my old habits. The key is to constantly assess both the technical and mental aspects of your game. There are 4 elements you must master:

  • Idenifying support and resistance. If you are trading in the middle of the range, you will be more suseptible to what seem to be reversals, but are actually just noise in between a trading range. Do not enter if your stock has moved more than 5 percent above support or the breakout point.

  • Identifying volume patterns. If you buy a dip on high volume, there’s a higher probability of getting caught in the midst of a reversal. Same goes for low volume breakouts.

  • Set appropriate stops, based on support, resistance and percentage of your trading portfolio. Even if you take the appropriate cautions, you can still get reversed. It shouldn’t hurt when you do.

  • Do not trade scared. Trust your analysis and risk parameters.

It has taken me time to master these four elements to trading, and at times I still fall into my old habits. The key is to constantly assess both the technical and mental aspects of your game.

TRADING WISDOM

1. The market expects you to accept losses.  If you want to play in the market you better be prepared to play by the market’s rules.  Accept the losses, make them small based on proper risk parameters, and the market will consider it a tithe.  Just set it aside and help pay for a pew, not the entire church.

2.  The market wants you to admit when you are wrong.  Commit to admit.  If the market is always right, and it is, then go ahead and let the market know NOW that you understand and accept its omnipotence.  Broadcast it to the heavens and to depths of the earth; broadcast it to your friends and family; broadcast it to your neighbors; broadcast it in every chat room you use to brag in.   Let everyone know you will be wrong more often than right and that you are OK with that.  If the market knows you do not mind being wrong the market will leave you alone.

3.  The market will reward your discipline.  Let’s face it, the market is one disciplined son of a gun.  When it says it is going to crush the bears with their death cross and the bulls with their golden cross it does.  When the market says a bearish economic report does not matter I am going higher anyway it will.  When the market says that cute little support line you drew is nothing but “a lead pencil and I am an eraser”, then erasing it will go.  Stick to a discipline of listening to what the market is saying and the market will whisper its direction instead of shouting its lies.

4.  The market is the calculator.  If you are attempting to reach 10 via the calculator, there are many and various ways of getting there:  5+5, 2+8, 15-5, 25 –15, or even  2 + 2 –1 –1 –2 –2 +3 +3 +3 + 3.  When it comes to making money in the market our calculator may want to make it to 10 much quicker than the market does and we may want to add 5 + 5 to get there but be prepared for the market to take its own sweet time adding things up.  If all that matters is getting to 10, then make sure the road you take is paved with minuses along with pluses along the way or all your money will be going to the 5508 (punch this number into your calculator and turn it upside down to see what it spells), which will make the employee a very unhappy and broke individual.

"Maintaining Sanity in a Schizophrenic Market"

The current market seems to be manic depressive without even a shred of memory from one day to the next.  How does a trader preserve control and commitment when faced with this challenge?

I think the first place to begin is with the questions we ask ourselves.  Is there an opportunity here? Where is the opportunity now?  How can I take advantage of this opportunity?

Then ask yourself, how do I deal with the volatility?  Do I decrease size and stretch out the risk parameters?  Do I increase size to take advantage of this extraordinary opportunity?  Do I shorten or increase my time frames to increase my safety and profitability?  As traders we are always faced with the dual needs to seize a significant opportunity and to preserve our capital.  This balancing act is at the core of trading.

Of course, you need to address the underlying fundamentals.   What are they? Are they becoming more so or less so?  Are they changing or remaining the same?

Define the problems you are facing and redefine them.  Einstein was asked how he would go about solving a problem if he only had 60 minutes in which to solve it.  He answered that he would spend the first 59 minutes defining the problem.  Once you’ve identified and defined the issues you’re facing, look for workable solutions.  See problems as challenges not as threats.  I always assume if there is a problem, there is a solution.  Once you’ve found a solution, test it.

You need to sustain an optimistic outlook.  This means not taking market conditions personally.  Know that the difficulties will pass as well as the opportunities.  You can learn from difficulties and let them go even as you learn from and utilize opportunities.  Keep honing your skills and see the glass as more than half full.  You can heal your trading by finding a way to understand evil even as you find a way to make the best of a situation.  Any crisis can make you stronger if you don’t let it make you weaker.

So let’s go back to the original question.  Where is the opportunity here and now, and how do you go about taking full advantage of it?  When you find it, go for it.  If you don’t find it, wait for it to develop, and carpe diem (seize the day).

The mark of a professional Trader

proffesional

  • It is my fault. I traded this position too large for my account size.
  • It is my fault. I didn’t stick to my own risk parameters.
  • It is my fault. I allowed my emotions to dictate my day trading.
  • It is my fault. I was not disciplined in my trades.
  • It is my fault. I knew there was a risk in holding this trade into earnings, and I didn’t fully comprehend them when I took this trade.

Amateur & Professional

The true mark of an amateur trader who is never going to make it in this business is one who continually blames everything but his or herself for the outcome of a bad trade. This includes, but is not limited to, saying things like:
1. The analysts are crooks.
2. The market makers were fishing for stops.
3. I was on the phone and it collapsed on me.
4. My neighbor gave me a bad tip.
5. The message boards caused this one to pump and dump.
6. The specialists are playing games.
The mark of a professional, however, sounds like this: 

•It is my fault. I traded this position too large for my account size.
•It is my fault. I didn’t stick to my own risk parameters.
•It is my fault. I allowed my emotions to dictate my trades.
•It is my fault. I was not disciplined in my trades.
•It is my fault. I knew there was a risk in holding this trade into earnings, and I didn’t fully comprehend them when I took this trade. (more…)

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