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Given, No-Hype Options Trading

Options trading can be daunting, in large measure because “the risk-adjusted return of any options strategy will tend toward zero over time.” (p. 16) It doesn’t matter whether a person engages in high-probability or low-probability trading, whether the spread of choice is an iron condor or an out-of-the-money vertical spread. Without robust risk management the options trader will over time end up with a huge goose egg in his account for all his efforts.

The author focuses on calendars, double diagonals, butterflies, and condors. His analyses don’t follow a standard pattern, but generally speaking he discusses trade structures, the rationale for various positions, and ways to enter and manage trades, including adjustments. At the conclusion of each chapter is a set of exercises to test the reader’s understanding of the material. Answers are provided at the end of the book.

Here I’ll sample his chapter on butterflies. The first important distinction is between at-the-money and out-of-the-money butterflies. An ATM butterfly, especially on a broad market index, is “a delta-neutral income generation trade.” An OTM butterfly is normally a speculative directional trade; it is an inexpensive, low-probability, high-risk trade. But an OTM butterfly can also be used as a “what if I’m wrong” trade. Let’s say the trader expects a stock to trade higher and has opened an appropriate bull call spread. But, in case the stock doesn’t trade as expected, an OTM put butterfly below the stock’s current price can serve as an inexpensive hedge.

The author outlines two ways to manage an ATM butterfly, a simple and a more advanced. The simple technique has eight steps. Here are a few of them. Sell the ATM options and buy one option at one standard deviation OTM and one option at one standard deviation ITM. Buy extra calls and/or puts on the wings to get as close to a delta neutral position as possible. Close the trade when you are down 20%. Close half of the contracts and take your profit if you are up 25% or more. Close the trade on the Friday before expiration week. (pp. 103-105)

No-Hype Options Trading is a practical book for the trader who has a modicum of knowledge about options but needs help with delta-neutral strategies. Whether this book will enable him (with lots of practice) to generate steady monthly income, the alleged goal of non-directional trading, is another matter. Markets don’t always accommodate the delta-neutral trader. Strongly trending markets present significant challenges and highly volatile markets are “the worst-case scenario.” (p. 153) by Kerry W. Given, aka Dr. Duke (Wiley, 2011) might be just the ticket. The book (for those who care about the sometimes dueling camps in the options world) reflects some of the techniques taught by Dan Sheridan, who was one of the author’s mentors.No-Hype Options Trading: Myths, Realities, and Strategies that Really WorkFor the options spread trader, especially the non-directional trader, who is looking for strategies and trade management ideas

15 Common Sense Rules For Traders

Common sense can be brutally honest sometimes. As traders we get so focused on the little inconsequential detaisl sometimes that we miss the world around us. I have had this discussion with too many people over the last two months that told me they were bearish on the market and were taking a beating on the “high probability” that the market would reverse. Who sets those odds by the way? Are trends more likely to reverse than persist? If so, why the hell are we studying technical analysis?

Take a look over these trading rules I stumbled across last year and see if there are any realities that surface from them. Each time I look these over it reminds me of the realities of what we do here.

1. No matter what you read about trading, until you use an approach and test it with your money on the line you will never learn how to trade. Paper Trading is NOT Trading!

2. If it were really possible to “Buy Low Sell High” or “Cut your Losses and Let your Winners Run”, then almost everyone would be making money rather than losing it.

3. Remember that there is ALWAYS someone on the other side of your trade who is using a trading technique exactly the opposite of yours who hopes to make money with his system.

4. If 90% of all traders lose money, they must be following generally accepted trading rules. The 10% who win do not!

5. You trade your beliefs and your beliefs about your system. If you have a problem with yourself, fix yourself first.

6. Impatience, Fear and Greed will make you poor. Any need to trade is rooted in greed and impatience.

7. If you really understand the markets then YOU KNOW that there is the same opportunity on every time frame, in every market, every single day.

8. Waiting for the perfect trade is “chickening out”, and caused by your lack of faith in yourself or your system.

9. Any hardwired, automated trading system sold that truly works 70 or 80 or 90 percent of the time in every market would be worth hundreds of millions of dollars and would not be for sale at any price. (more…)

A Question You Need to Ask

Taking a pre-defined loss is part of the business. Exiting a winning trade and watching it continue to work without you is part of the business. Missing an opportunity is part of the business. Many traders cannot accept these realities of the trading business because they have a need for perfection and a need to be right.

Consider the following: You aren’t sure if you should scale your last unit at your target because you notice that momentum has increased and it looks like it could keep going beyond your target – do you hold it? Flatten at your target?

To know what to do, you need to answer the following questions for yourself. First, which is more painful to you…..exiting at your target and watching it run further? Or not exiting at your target and watching it come back in? You also need to know what your default action is when you experience different types of discomfort. Is that typical response of yours adaptive or is it emotionally reactive? Only you know the answer to this question; and it behooves you to know.

 

Seven habits of successful traders

number71) Understand the true realities of the markets. 2) Be responsible for your own trading destiny. 3) Trade only with proven methods. 4) Trade in correct proportion to your capital. 5) Manage risk. 6) Stay long-term oriented. 7) Keep trading in correct perspective and as part of a balanced life. The common theme is self-control. As I’ve often said, if you can master yourself, you can master the markets.

Seven habits of successful traders

1) Understand the true realities of the markets. 2) Be responsible for your own trading destiny. 3) Trade only with proven methods. 4) Trade in correct proportion to your capital. 5) Manage risk. 6) Stay long-term oriented. 7) Keep trading in correct perspective and as part of a balanced life. The common theme is self-control. As I’ve often said, if you can master yourself, you can master the markets

12 Quotes From ‘Trading In The Zone'

1. Attitude produces better overall results than analysis or technique.

2. Positive winning attitude = expecting a positive result from your efforts, with an acceptance that whatever results you get are a perfect reflection of your level of development and what you need to learn to get better.

3. Winning in any endeavour is mostly a function of attitude.

4. Losing and being wrong are inevitable realities of trading.

5. The market has no responsibility towards the individual trader. Taking responsibility means acknowledging and accepting, at the deepest part of your identity, that you – not the market – are completely responsible for your success or failure as a trader.

6. If you perceive the endless stream of opportunities to enter and exit trades without self-criticism and regret, then you will be in the best frame of mind to act in your own best interest and learn from your experiences.

7.  You will need to learn how to adjust your attitudes and beliefs about trading in such a way that you can trade without the slightest bit of fear, but at the same time keep a framework in place that does not allow you to become reckless.

8. Trading is an activity that offers the individual unlimited freedom of creative expression.

9. The unlimited characteristics of the trading environment require that we act with some degree of restraint and self-control, at least if we want to create some measure of consistent success.

10. The hard reality of trading is that, if you want to create consistency, you have to start from the premise that no matter what the outcome, you are completely responsible.

11. One of the principal reasons so many successful people have failed miserably at trading is that their success is partly attributable to their superior ability to manipulate and control the social environment, to respond to what they want.  (Unfortunately) the market doesn’t respond to control and manipulation (unless you’re a very large trader).

12. The tools you will use to create this new version of yourself are your willingness and desire to learn, fuelled by your passion to be successful.  Successful traders have virtually eliminated the effects of fear and recklessness from their trading.

The Seven Habits of Highly Effective Futures Traders

Stephen Covey’s The Seven Habits of Highly Effective People has been on the national best-seller lists for years–first as a hardback and then as a paperback. I wondered how its list might relate to commodity futures trading.

My interpretation of Covey’s agenda is as follows: 1) Take responsibility for yourself and your life, 2) Act in light of your vision of success in life, 3) Act with proper attention to the correct priorities, 4) Act in a way that maximizes benefits for everyone, 5) Try to understand the other person before putting your point of view across, 6) Exploit the potential for cooperation among the people in your life, 7) Pay attention to maintaining and refining your physical, mental, social and spiritual dimensions.

While there does not appear to be any direct relationship between my commodity trading list and Covey’s overall life experience list, there are some definite similarities and differences. It is well known that normally successful approaches do not work in trading. Additionally, life in general requires involvement and interrelating with other people, while trading is a more solitary endeavor. Here is my list of successful habits for traders.

ONE. Understand the true realities of the markets. Understand how money is made and what is possible. The markets are what is called chaotic systems. Chaos theory is the mathematics of analyzing such non-linear, dynamic systems. According to Edgar Peters, author of Chaos and Order in The Capital Markets, mathematicians have conclusively shown the to be non-linear, dynamic systems. Among other things chaotic systems can produce results that look random, but are not. A chaotic market is not efficient, and long-term forecasting is impossible. Market price movement is highly random with a trend component. (more…)