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The Psychology of Trading

There is an old saying that the market is driven by fear and greed. Anyone that has placed more than a couple of trades will surely have experienced these two emotions. All traders experience emotion. The distinction between a successful trader and an unsuccessful trader comes down to how they deal with that emotion. Let’s look at how these emotions affect a successful trader and an unsuccessful trader in various scenarios.

You go long and the market immediately goes down – you go short and the market immediately goes up. That’s 2 consecutive losses, and you are getting a little ‘anxious’ so you don’t take the ‘next’ trade. Of course, this trade is a winner. Now to make the situation worse, you then ‘chase’ the move, and as soon as you enter the trade it immediately reverses, thus giving you another loss – this is now 3 in a row. Ok, one more ‘try’ – this can’t happen on every trade can it? (more…)

Greed-Fear-Hope-Regret

1. Greed could be defined as a trader’s desire to trade in order to provide an unrealistic profit. Greedy traders focus only on how much money they could have made. This emotion frequently leads to ignoring proper money management and often prevents a trader from taking profits on a winning trade.

2. Fear is a survival response and probably the most powerful of all human emotions. When afraid, a trader will sell a position regardless of the price. Fear usually leads to panic, which again causes poor decision making.

3. Hope is what keeps a trader in a losing trade after it has hit the invalidation level. It may be the most dangerous of all human emotions when it comes to trading.

4. Regret is defined as a feeling of sadness or disappointment over something that has happened, especially when it involves a loss or a missed opportunity.

You are alone…

aloneAt some point in time the realization strikes that you are alone in the market – there is only you. The illusion that the market can ‘do’ anything to you falls away and it becomes obvious that you are 100% responsible for everything that happens to your account. You either give yourself money, or else you give your money away – there is nothing else.

The market is one of the few arenas where there are no external constraints, except in the case of a margin call. It never forces you to take a position, long or short, or tells you to get out of your position. It does not say how long to stay in a position or what time to exit, how much profit or loss is enough. There are no external constraints at all, and as such people run riot. You are relying on yourself 100% and there is only ever you to blame.

The above is a core part of a winning trading psychology, yet its difficult to adopt. Shifting the blame is a basic way we defend our ego every single day of the week – yet in the market this practice is absolutely unsupported by price action. How can any other market participant be doing something to you if he is totally unaware of your existence or what position you hold?

Its necessary to really ponder this until the truth of it shines out:

You are alone…

Trading Psychology

salespic5Are you trading because you want to trade? Consider trading a business not a game.
Are you not trading? This is the opposite of trading too often. You may be so scared
of taking a loss that you avoid trading altogether.
If you get stopped out of several stocks, walk away. Paper trade until the profits return.
Follow the system. Would you be making more money if you followed your trading
signals? Understand why you’re ignoring the signals you receive.
Don’t overtrade. Sometimes the best place for cash is in the bank. You don’t HAVE
to trade.
Learn from mistakes. Review your trades periodically. It’ll uncover bad habits.
Focus on the positive. The loss your suffered today pales to the killing you made last
week.
Ignore profits. If you find yourself getting nervous about a winning trade or making
too much money, then concentrate not on the bottom line but on improving your
trading skills. Get used to making too much money.
Obey your trading signals. Otherwise, what are you trading for? Plan your trade and
trade your plan.
Don’t trade when you’re upset. This also goes for being too excited.
Abandoning a winning system. Don’t become bored with your winning system and
search for new, more exciting ways to lose money.

 

How Stress Produces Trading Losses

  • Nothing is stressful unless it is perceived as being a thread (losing money)
  •  Worry has a great effect on human performance, because it represents conscious mental activity.  Since it is conscious, it takes up processing capacity.
  • Often, the trader is too preoccupied with the potential results of what he id doing, rather than the process of being a trader.
    1. Losses scare me. The model calms me.  Trade your plan.
    2. Concerned about losses.  Preoccupation. Tunnel vision
    3. View losses as negative because fear of not having money.  A loss is a character building exercise that is needed to go through to obtain positive expectancy.
    4. Low Volatility/High Volatility  Multiple Intra-weekly signals
    5. Close at a profit/Close at stop
    6. Nightly distractions (Family, Businesses, Work, Vacation, Lack of Internet)
    7. Greed leads to confirmation bias, other bias in holding position
    8. Money motivated, need results for success, freedom for family
    9. Need to evaluate relationships with parents/money deeper to get to depths of self-esteem
    10. Tasks
      1. Daily Self-Analysis
      2. Daily Mental Rehearsal
      3. Focus and Intention
      4. Developing a Low-Risk Idea
      5. Stalking
      6. Action
      7. Monitoring
      8. Take Profits/Abort
      9. Daily Debriefing
      10. Be Grateful for What Went Right
      11. Periodic Review

Plan You’re Way to Profit

Plan_FirstWhen you enter a trade you should have a figured a game plan for both the entry and exit of the trade. The plan should be definite and not subject to changes to your psychology during market hours. You should have a stop in the market at all times, because you never know when a time cycle might turn against you. You should also have a profit objective in the market. So many traders today lose because they are using computer oscillators to trade with and they never know where they are going. They usually end up on trading with rumors and tips and use hope and fear to try to make a success of the markets.

Trading is all about YOURSELF

Trading has to do a lot with yourself. Trading is not about the market.

You have to get your emotion and psychology right before you go to trade. Without the good emotion or feeling of the day, you will be most likely be losing during that day.

Do Not Trade, If …
– You cannot afford to lose the money. (Prepare to lose)
– You have a Bad day (quarrel with wife/child/boss).
– You are Sleepy
– You are Not comfortable in trading
– Technology failed You

Do not be afraid that you will lose the opportunity for the ride up or down. There are plenty of opportunity out there in the market everyday.

Remember: If you trade, you will lose money. If you don’t trade, at least you wont lose money.

The funny thing that i found out … People will lose money if they care about their money but people will make money if they don’t care about the money.
Get yourself right first and the money will come to you.

Should You Trust Your Trading Intuition?

I’ve heard from many traders that they often take decisions based on instincts. Actually, all non-quants use intuition in some form or another. If you are not using a program that takes all signals that your system produces, how do you decide between several equally good looking trading setups with similar risk to reward? Do you take them all or do you concentrate on only a few? The odds are that you are doing the latter and your ultimate choice for capital allocation is subconscious.

Even though we are defined by our decisions, we are often completely unaware of what’s happening inside our heads during the decision-making process.
Feelings are often an accurate shortcut, a concise expression of decades’ worth of experience.
The process of thinking requires feeling, for feelings are what let us understand all the information that we can’t directly comprehend. Reason without emotion is impotent.
This is an essential aspect of decision-making. If we can’t incorporate the lessons of the past into our future decisions, then we’re destined to endlessly repeat our mistakes.

Nothing can replace personal experience: (more…)

Success = Skills + Winning Psychology!

skill

All successful traders have finely honed skills, superior information, and unique strategies for exploiting markets. Once you have all of these, then psychology enters the picture to provide consistency and resilience in the face of challenge. But what happens if you have a good mindset, but don’t hone your skills, obtain superior information, or cultivate unique strategies?


You’ll calmly and smilingly go up in flames!.

Trading is all about YOURSELF

Trading has to do a lot with yourself. Trading is not about the market.

You have to get your emotion and psychology right before you go to trade. Without the good emotion or feeling of the day, you will be most likely be losing during that day.

Do Not Trade, If …
– You cannot afford to lose the money. (Prepare to lose)
– You have a Bad day (quarrel with wife/child/boss).
– You are Sleepy
– You are Not comfortable in trading
– Technology failed You

Do not be afraid that you will lose the opportunity for the ride up or down. There are plenty of opportunity out there in the market everyday.

Remember: If you trade, you will lose money. If you don’t trade, at least you wont lose money.

The funny thing that i found out … People will lose money if they care about their money but people will make money if they don’t care about the money.
Get yourself right first and the money will come to you.