Archives of “Price action trading” tag

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5 Mistakes -Traders Always Do

  
  Education
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Over trading

Most new traders think that they must always be long or short the market. They lose a lot of money during certain market stages like corrections, high volatility, or bear markets. Sometimes the best position is cash. Sometimes the best trade is no trade. Sometimes their is no signal just chaos. Profitable trading is taking signals for trades that have good odds for success and the right risk/reward ratio for your win rate expectations. Cash is a position in itself. The less I trade the more money I make.

Ignorant of their own ignorance

The more you don’t know, the more sure you are that you know everything. New traders many times do not understand the danger of big losses. They also do not understand the mental and emotional strain of having on trades with real money in real time. A lot of hubris and arrogance is born out of not being humbled by the markets. Looking at historical charts and past history is nothing like holding positions in real time.With skin in the game and not being able to see the hard right edge of the chart as it unfolds is a different experience than theories, back tests, and reading trading books. The real traders I know that have a ton of experience are humble and know that they don’t know the future. (more…)

15 Points For Traders

  
  Education
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  1. For a trader to be successful their intellect must defeat their ego.

  2. A trader must use probabilities to overcome their own personal opinions.

  3. A trader has to use risk management to overcome the hope that a losing trade will turn around and just take the original stop loss plan.

  4. A trader must allow the actual price action to overcome any personal directional bias.

  5. A trader has to let a trailing stop overcome their desire to take profits too early early in a trade.

  6. Successful traders use their passion and goals to overcome their tendencies to laziness or procrastination in doing their trading homework.

  7. A profitable trader has learned to allow patience to overcome their desire to trade before they get a real entry signal.

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Are You A Subjective or Objective Trader?

  
  Education
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Subjective: Based on or influenced by personal feelings, tastes, or opinions.Proceeding from or taking place in a person’s mind rather than the external world.

Subjective traders they are intertwined with their trades.Their signals are generally entering out of greed and exiting based on their own internal fear. The believe in their opinions more than the actually price action. They base trades off of whether they are feeling good or bad about a particular trade. A subjective trade comes out of the imagination of the trader, from their own beliefs, opinions, and what “should” happen in their view. Many times reality is not even cross checked as a reference, and if it is the subjective traders sees what they want to see instead of what is really going on. Their compass is their emotions and they have internal goals other than making money.

Objective: (Of a person or their judgment) not influenced by personal feelings or opinions in considering and representing facts. Having actual existence or reality.

Objective traders have a quantified method, a system, rules, and principles they trade by. They know where they will get in based on facts, and where they will get out based on price action. Objective traders have a written trading plan to guide them. The guides of the objective trader is historical price action, charts, probabilities, risk management, and their edge. They react to what is happening in reality in quantifiable terms that can be measured. They go with the flow of price action not the flow of internal emotions. (more…)

Be Flexible-5 Points to Win in Trading

  
  Education
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Flexibility for the trader  to move with price action is the key to successful trading. You can be rigid with your rules and risk management but you must be flexible when it comes to how the future plays out in price action for any market or stock. It is not those that predict the future that make a lot of money in trading but those that react to what is actually happening that are able to profit from price action.

  1. The ability to change your mind and reverse your trade in the other direction when proven wrong  is a powerful trait.
  2. The ability to admit you are wrong and take your stop loss can save your account.
  3. Put your ego aside and look at what is happening not what you believe should happen.
  4. Trade price action not your opinions.

  5. Always realize the markets are bigger than you are, they are always right.

7 Warning Signs For Trader

  
  Education
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There are warning signs that a trader is going down the road road in a trade or in their trading in general. Traders have to go with the flow of the market, manage risk, and keep their mind open to actual price action. Departing from these principles are dangerous and could result in huge draw downs in capital and even blowing up their accounts. Trading through the filters of fear, greed, or ego are very dangerous.

  1. You stop trading your plan and start “shooting from the hip” you are losing or winning so you believe that you are above your own rules, you start trading your opinions instead of your plan.
  2. You are about to take a trade you are 100% sure of, you have no doubt that it will work out. Trades that feel good to do and feel like can’t lose trades rarely win because everyone is already positioned in those trades.
  3. When you ignore your first stop and start deciding that you should give your trade “more room”, when you allow a loss to grow and rationalize why you should hold it instead of following your plan and stopping out you are in trouble.
  4. Averaging down in a position that is going against you is never a good idea, fighting trends are very dangerous amplifying your losses by increasing your position size can be fatal to your account.
  5. Fighting against the prevailing market trend over an over again can chop your account to pieces. (more…)

Bitter Truth :Why Traders Lose Money in Market

  
  Education
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  1. Traders miss a trade setup, then take it late in the move. Chasing a trade is rarely a good decision. Buy right or sit tight.
  2. Traders buy a dip before it really reaches a good risk/reward setup.
  3. Traders buy a dip before there is any sign of a reversal.
  4. Traders wait for the perfect moment and end up with no setups.
  5. Traders hold onto opinions after price action has proven them wrong.
  6. Traders are stopped out of ordinary price action because their stop losses are too close, and their trades aren’t given enough room to breathe.
  7. Traders perpetually short uptrends and buy downtrends, missing the easy money and creating losses.
  8. Those that spend more time trading than studying will have their money taken by traders devoted to learning.
  9. Caring more about personal opinions than price action is the best way to donate money to the market.
  10. Holding onto a losing trade because you don’t want to take the initial loss, is a great way to turn a small loss into a big one.

13 -Trading Rules :Just Follow Them If U Can

  
  Education
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Trading rule No 1. Never chase. Forget about the  Rupee loss for a moment as the real damage comes from the distraction it creates.

Trading rule No 2. Wait for the break. Most traders buy inside the range, get impatient and as a result they sell on first sign of strength which ends up being the breakout.

Trading rule No 3. Don’t ride the ticks and Dollar profits. It creates emotional turmoil and is draining. Prevention is best cure. Takes the fun out of the game.

Trading rule No 4. Price action trumps everything. Management lie or mislead but price action (money flow) never lies.

Trading rule No 5. Sell the news or a least sell partials. Markets discount everything and over the long run you will be better off.

Trading rule No 6. Always stay in control. Do NOT put yourself in news related coin toss trades, where the risk cannot be managed.

Trading rule No 7. Mind your own business, avoid conflict. If you take offence because someone has disagreed with your trade, then you are such a precious little petal.

Trading rule No 8. Do NOT set targets as all this creates is a premature EXIT. Run a trailer and let that take you out. (more…)

Technical Analysis Fact and Fiction

  
  Education
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“Technical analysis, I think, has a great deal that is right and a great deal that is mumbo jumbo…

“There is a great deal of hype attached to technical analysis by some technicians who claim that it predicts the future. Technical analysis tracks the past; it does not predict the future. You have to use your own intelligence to draw conclusions about what the past activity of some traders may say about the future activity of other traders.

“For me, technical analysis is like a thermometer. Fundamentalists who say they are not going to pay any attention to the charts are like a doctor who says he’s not going to take a patient’s temperature. But, of course, that would be sheer folly. If you are a responsible participant in the market, you always want to know where the market is — whether it is hot and excitable, or cold and stagnant. You want to know everything you can about the market to give you an edge.

“Technical analysis reflects the vote of the entire marketplace and, therefore, does pick up unusual behaviors. By definition, anything that creates a new chart pattern is something unusual. It is very important for me to study the details of price action to see if I can observe something about how everybody is voting. Studying the charts is absolutely crucial and alerts me to existing disequilibria and potential changes.”

– Bruce Kovner, Market Wizards

Bruce Kovner pulled billions out of the markets, over multiple decades, before handing the reins of his fund, Caxton Associates, to the next generation of traders.

As an academic in a past life, Kovner was known for his deep dive fundamental analysis — but he also used charts extensively, as the Market Wizards excerpt shows. (more…)

All Type of Traders Are Trying To Catch Trend Only

  
  Education
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  1. Long term trend followers are trying to be right about the long term trends in the markets they trade using mechanical systems.

  2. Buy and hold investors are trying to be right about the stock market indexes and mutual funds being in a long term trend over their lifetime. 

  3. Value investors believe that under priced stocks will reverse and trend higher over the long term based on the cheap price they are getting based on a companies fundamentals.

  4. Day traders are trying to capture the trend that happens in one day’s time frame.

  5. Swing traders bet that the trend reverses off support or resistance levels and give them a profit.

  6. Can Slim traders are trading the trend of a hot growth stock out of a base price range or cup with handle pattern

  7. Bear are betting that the trend reverses and something goes down in value and they make money.

  8. Call buyers are trying to capture an up trend, call sellers want to profit from a down trend.

  9. Put buyers are trying to capture a down trend, put buyers want to profit from an up trend.

  10. Traders buying long  option strangles are betting on a trend either way bigger than what is priced in, Strangle sellers are betting the trend will be less than what is priced in.

All trading methods are simply an effort at trend identification and capturing profits by entering at a high probability moment and exiting with profits in place.Being on the right side of the trend in your time frame is what a successful trading method is all about.

15 Ways to Manage Trader Stress

  
  Education
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  1. Only risk 1% of total trading capital per trade with stop losses and proper position sizing. Proper positions sizing makes the emotional impact of any one trade only one of the next one hundred a totally different mental perspective than an all in/have to be right Hail Mary trade.
  2. Only trade a  position size you are comfortable with.
  3. Trade a method or system you believe in based on back testing of a positive expectancy.
  4. Know where you will get out of a trade before you get in.
  5. Only trade with a detailed trading plan.
  6. Believe in your ability to follow your trading plan. YOu must have faith in yourself to lower your stress levels.
  7. Know yourself as a trader and only take your kind of trades. Take trades that will leave no regrets because they were good trades regardless of out comes.
  8. Do not listen to any unsolicited advice about the trade you are in, follow your own plan. Noise can really cause stress and mess up a trade, trade with emotional horse blinders on, keep out others voices and listen to your trading plan.
  9. Sit out markets that you are uncomfortable trading due to volatility or other looming risks. Know when it is time to trade and time to ‘go fishing’. This can save you a lot of emotional capital.
  10. Do your homework before you trade. Be confident in your trade until it hits your stop. Get out when your stop is hit, you already lost money don’t lose sleep as well.
  11. Keep your ego out of your trading, run it like a business.the P& L is your focus not your ego and not trying to prove anything to anyone else.
  12. Only trade when the odds are believed to be in your favor. It is much less stressful trading with the trend than against it.
  13. Do not blame yourself for losses if you followed all your rules. The market giveth and the market taketh away, just keep taking your entries and exits.
  14. If you do not know what to do, DO NOTHING.

  15. To lower stress levels trade less and get away from watching every single price change. Day traders could trade only the open and closing hour, swing trader and trend traders could just take opening or closing signals. You could go from every tick to just checking in every hour or so if you have options or hard stops in. Most of the days trading is random noise, and randomness will stress you out focus on your time frame and only the quotes that really manner when they manner. 

 

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