rss

Fragile Traders vs. Anti-Fragile Traders


Reading Nassim Taleb’s newest book Anti-Fragile really got me thinking about how traders are broken.
Traders can become fragile and be broken in several ways:

  1. They can quit because they believe that trading successfully is impossible.
  2. They can lose half their account or all of their account and just give up.
  3. They can become emotionally traumatized by one huge loss or a string of losses and just not be able to trade any more due to the pain going forward.
  4. A trader can lose faith in them self as a trader.
  5. A trader can lose faith in their system.
  6. A trader can trade too big and blow up their account, they want to trade, they believe they can make it back but have no money.

A trader can become anti-fragile they can benefit from adversity at times by:

  1. Having 100% confidence that they will be in the 10% percentile of  consistently winning trades, it is just a matter of time.
  2. They do not give up after losing the majority of their very first account  they just accept it as paying tuition and start again this time with faith they will win.
  3. The anti-fragile trader trades small, their emotions do not bleed into their trades, each trade is just 1 of the next 100. They risk 1% of capital per trade.
  4. The successful trader identifies themselves as a successful trader, losing trades do not change who they are.
  5. The trader believes that time is on their side and draw downs are just temporary, short term losses do not change the trader’s belief in long term success.
  6. Successful traders know that their trading account is their life blood, guarding  it against big losses is their #1 priority.

Fragile traders are inevitably  broken, anti-fragile traders are not only not broken but benefit from circumstances by learning, growing, and becoming more resolved to win. Adversity makes them stronger.

Two Facts

anirudhsethithougts
Iam tracking Indian Stock Market and Global Market since 1992.Yes after 17 years ..I had seen these are two real facts of Trading.

#1: Small-range market periods lead to large-range market periods. Low volatility breeds high volatility, which in turn leads to low volatility.
Just about the time everyone is resigned that market conditions will never change is exactly when conditions will change.
#2: Trading is a business where you can never be right. Never. No matter what we do, our mistakes will always outnumber our correct decisions. That’s why grading ourselves on every minute` decision will come up with more of a batting average score than college test score.
Mistakes can always outnumber correct actions… so long as correct actions outweigh mistakes. It ain’t the size of our right or wrong actions that counts: it’s how much they weigh in $$ values. Size does matter.
The great news is, as traders we never have to be perfect. We don’t even have to be 50% perfect. We only need to maximize our wins and minimize our losses. And we only need to win once per day, more days than not to be good. Just barely profitable = the top ten percentile of our profession. Anything beyond that is outperforming 90% of the field.

Go to top