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Why Trading is Difficult

 CoverOvercomingDifficultTimes1. Need to internalize lots of trading simulation of specific set-ups in real-time to trade effortlessly
 2. Need to trust money management system to weather +10 losses in a row
 3. Tuff to internalize that its the 5-6 huge monthly runners that is the big pay-off days
 4. Must master +3 trade set-ups to make money consistently month to month.
 5. It takes considerable time to mathematically think and act like a trader
 6. Trading is a performance skill which requires mastery of every element of trading
 7. It requires time capital and considerable effort to achieve the experience to make it effortless and automatic (more…)

Winning Streaks vs. Losing Streaks

All traders who last long enough will go through periods of winning and losing streaks.Mathematicians refer to the process as the theory or run known to gamblers as a “streak.”Games of chance  such as roulette ,craps and blackjack are predicated that the house has an edge over the player.Trading  has  a distinct advantage because the trader has the ability to be the house.A mathematical edge is all that is all that is needed by the trader to increase his probability of success.Sound money management advantage begins to work.What happiness in real time trading is that after a series of losing trades the trader will begin to question the system or his ability to execute the system properly.

Tow things are necessary to get though the bad losing times !Belief in your system is very important but it ranks second to the sound money management system.Mediocre trading systems can have positive results with the use of a good money management system.The rule of thumb is to reduce your risk on any trade to 2% of working capital.This should prevent a meltdown but remember trading is about probability not certainty !

Trading is a business

Trading can be mastered if you concentrate your efforts on how you will react to price rather than desiring to predict it. Reacting is a business decision, predicting is an ego play.

Traders want to make money. Losses in the long run don’t matter. Forecasters (prophets) want to be right (ego). And that’s all that they are concerned about.

Don’t decide anything (ego), let the market do that job for you (business).

Like any other business you have a business plan and the financial portion of that plan is the most important.

In this business your inventory is stocks, bonds, futures or options. Like any other business you define what an acceptable loss is on an item and what is an acceptable profit for the risk undertaken. Like any other business if the item of inventory doesn’t do what you expected it to do, you put it on sale and liquidate it to raise capital to purchase inventory that will do what you want it to do. Your acceptable loss is your stop. Your money management system tells you how much that is. Your mark up is dependent upon your trading system and trading style. It doesn’t make any difference if you are a day trader or an investor. Like any business, some turn their inventory 10 times a day, some 20 times a year and some only twice a year. Your trading style and inventory volatility will tell you what your turnover rate will be.

Trading is a business and if you treat it as anything else you will be a loser.

Keys for Successful Traders

mentalstrengthThe biggest obstacle to successful trading is failing to recognize that losses are part of the game, and, further, that they must be accommodated. The perfect trading system that allows for only gains does not exist. Expecting, or even hoping for, perfection is a guarantee of failure. Trading is akin to batting in baseball. A player hitting .300 is good. A player hitting .400 is great. But even the great player fails to hit 60% of the time! Remember, you don’t have to be perfect to win in the markets. Practically speaking, this is why you also need an objective money management system.

experience

It takes experience to succeed. Now, some people advocate “paper trading” as a learning tool. Paper trading is useful for testing methodologies, but it has no real value in learning about trading. In fact, it can be detrimental, because it imbues the novice with a false sense of security. “Knowing” that he has successfully paper-traded during the past six months, he believes that the next six months trading with real money will be no different. In fact, nothing could be farther from the truth. Why? Because the markets are not merely an intellectual exercise, they are an emotional one as well. Think about it, just because you are mechanically inclined and like to drive fast doesn’t mean you have the necessary skills to win the Daytona 500.

 

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