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Eurostoxx futures -1.2% in early European trading

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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Risk on the defensive in early trades

  • German DAX futures -1.2%
  • UK FTSE futures -1.2%
  • Spanish IBEX futures -0.9%
There is some slight catching up involved to the declines in US stocks yesterday but for the most part, this reflects the defensive and sluggish sentiment today as well.
US futures are also marked lower, with S&P 500 futures down 0.4%, Nasdaq futures down 0.7%, and Dow futures down 0.2% to get things started on the session.
Major currencies are little changed but if the defensive posture keeps up, we may see some risk aversion flows start to seep in later in the day.

Eurostoxx futures +0.7% in early European trading

  
  Global Indices
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A bit of catch-up play in early trades

  • German DAX futures +0.6%
  • UK FTSE futures +0.8%
  • Spanish IBEX futures +0.4%
European indices close the day near the lows yesterday, down by over 2% across the board, missing out on the late recovery in US equities towards the latter stages.
Hence, the gains here are largely due to some catch-up play and belies the more tepid and cautious risk mood to kick start the session.
US futures aren’t doing a whole lot, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures keeping at flat levels at the moment. Major currencies are also mostly little change besides some mild strength in the yen, with AUD/USD seen a little weaker under its 100-day moving average.

Moody’s on UK banks outlook

  
  Analysis
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Via reuters

Via reuters
  • UK large domestic bank’s assets quality will take hit from COVID-19
  • UK’s bank capital to remain strong
  • UK domestic banks profitability to recover from 2021
  • Capiltilization will remain robust
  • Negative impact of COVID-19 will impact creditworthiness in line with duration and extent of crisis
  • Capital levels will remain stable over the 2020-2022 period broadly in line with end of 2019 levels.

European shares and the day with solid gains

  
  Analysis
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German Dax up 1.9%. UK FTSE 100 up 2.3%

The major European indices are ending the day with solid gains led by the UK’s FTSE 100.
The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, +1.9%
  • France’s CAC, +1.7%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, +2.3%
  • Spain’s Ibex, +1.5%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +1.8%

In the European debt market, the benchmark 10 year yields are ending the day mixed results. The UK and Spain yields are down marginally while Germany, France, Italy are marginally higher.

Eurostoxx futures +0.7% in early European trading

  
  Analysis
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Optimistic tones observed in early trades

  • German DAX futures +0.9%
  • UK FTSE futures +0.9%
  • Spanish IBEX futures +0.6%

European indices ended yesterday more mixed in another somewhat disappointing session, but the late gains seen in US stocks is giving risk buyers another shot in trading today.

This sets up a firmer open for equities later but that isn’t quite translating into much for the major currencies space as the focus remains on the dollar, as it meets some key technical crossroads going into the session ahead.

European shares close lower and give up earlier gains

  
  Analysis
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Major indices down across the board

The European shares are closing lower on the day after trading higher earlier. The provisional closes are showing:

  • German DAX, -0.5%. The high reached +1.0%
  • France’s CAC, -0.8%. The high reached 0.59%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, -1.0%. The high reached 0.57%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -0.8%. The high reached 1.06%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -0.6%. The high reached 1.05%

European shares end the session with solid gains

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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Major indices up sharply

The flow funds into the European markets continue today with sharp moves to the upside in the major indices. A look at the provisional closes are showing:

  • German DAX, +2.1%
  • France’s CAC, +2.4%
  • UK’s FTSE 100,
  • Spain’s Ibex +2.8%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +2.8%
For the year, the European shares are still down sharply:
  • German Dax -2.2%
  • France’s CAC, -15.9%
  • UKs FTSE -18.4%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -24%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -14.05%

European shares end the session higher

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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German DAX near unchanged in up and down session

The major European stock indices are ending the session flat or higher. The German DAX was the weakest as it closes near flat for the day. Spain’s Ibex is the strongest with a gain of near 1.4%.

The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, unchanged
  • France’s CAC, +0.3%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, +0.3%
  • Spain’s Ibex, +1.4%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, +0.5%
In the European debt market, the benchmark 10 year yields are ending the session lower.

Major European indices end the session mixed

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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Provisional closes for the European major indices

the European stock markets are closing for the day with mixed results. Germany, France, UK, and Spain are all trading within 0.11% of the Friday close.  Italy had the biggest move with decline of -0.60% or more. The major indices are closing well off the session highs as well.
The provisional closes are showing:
  • German DAX, +0.07%. At the high the index was up 0.87%
  • France’s CAC, -0.06%. At the high the index was up 0.93%
  • UK’s FTSE MIB, +0.11%. At the high the index was up 1.07%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -0.06%. At the high the index was up 0.70%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -0.68%. At the high the index was up 0.44%

European indices end the session lower on the day

  
Analysis, Global Indices
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German DAX, -0.54%, UK’s FTSE 100 -0.96%

The major European indices are ending the day lower. The provisional closes are showing:

  • German DAX, -0.54%
  • France’s CAC, -1.28%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, -0.96%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -1.42%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -0.74%
The 10 year yields showed meaningful moves to the downside. Italian yields fell the most at -5.7 basis points. German yields declined by -3.3 basis points
European yields are lowerIn other markets as London/European traders look to exit:
  • spot gold continues its move to the upside with a gain of $19.60 or 1.07% at $1861.50. Sobers doing even better with a $1.09 gain or 5.13% to $22.39.
  • WTI crude oil futures for September delivery are down $0.57 or -1.36% at $41.35. Inventory data confirmed the private data with a build of 4.892M barrels. The expectations was for a -2.2M draw.
In the US stock market the major indices are mixed:
  • S&P index is up 4.9 points or 0.15% at 3262.69
  • NASDAQ index is down -1 point or -0.1% at 10679.30
  • Dow industrial average is up 82 points or 0.31% at 26923.
In the forex market, the EUR is the strongest while the JPY is the weakest of the majors. The US dollar is down vs. all the major currencies with the exception of the JPY. It is near unchanged vs. the GBP and has recovered losses of around 90 basis points at the London morning session lows.
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