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Sir John Templeton 16 Rules For Investment Success

Interesting set of rules from legendary investor John Templeton:

1. Invest for maximum total real return
2. Invest — Don’t trade or speculate
3. Remain flexible and open minded about types of investment
4. Buy Low
5. When buying stocks, search for bargains among quality stocks.
6. Buy value, not market trends or the economic outlook
7. Diversify. In stocks and bonds, as in much else, there is safety in numbers
8. Do your homework or hire wise experts to help you
9. Aggressively monitor your investments
10. Don’t Panic
11. Learn from your mistakes
12. Begin with a Prayer
13. Outperforming the market is a difficult task
14. An investor who has all the answers doesn’t even understand all the questions
15. There’s no free lunch
16. Do not be fearful or negative too often

 Complete explanation after the jump (more…)

Trading Quotes

  1. “Time is your friend; impulse is your enemy.” John (Jack) Bogle
  2. “When reward is at its pinnacle, risk is near at hand.” John (Jack) Bogle
  3. “Rule no. 1 is never loose money. Rule no. 2 is never forget rule number one.” Warren Buffett
  4. “Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy. Profit from folly rather than participate in it.” Warren Buffett
  5. “I paraphrase Lord Rothschild: The time to buy is when there is blood on the streets.” David Dreman
  6. “It is absurd to think that the general public can ever make money out of market forecasts.” Benjamin Graham
  7. “The whole secret to winning and losing in the stock market is to lose the least amount possible when you are not right.” William J. O Neil
  8. “It is not whether you are right or wrong that is important, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong.” George Soros
  9. “If you want to have a better performance than the crowd, you must do things differently from the crowd.” John Templeton
  10. “My first rule is not to lose money. Losing an opportunity is minor in comparison, because there are always new opportunities around the corner.” Burt Dohmen
  11. “Experienced traders control risk, inexperienced traders chase gains.” Alan Farley
  12. “Most traders take a good system and destroy it by trying to make it into a perfect system.”
  13. “Trade what you see, Not what you think”
  14. “A Technician is an Artist and Technical Analysis is the Super Skill of discovering sharp and compact Charts and Patterns depicting Trends and Targets with Precision and Perfection.”
  15. “Identifying the “Rhythmic Flow” of Financial Instruments for skimming the crème, quietly and consistently is the fascinating nature of the Technician’s profession.”
  16. “Like any craft, such as piano playing, perfection may be elusive – I’ll never play a piece perfectly, and I’ll never buy the low and sell the high – but consistency is achievable if you practice day in and day out.”
  17. “You never need to chase a trade. The market has plenty of opportunities. The money runs out before the opportunities do.”
  18. “Good trading is a peculiar balance between the conviction to follow your ideas and the flexibility to recognize when you have made a mistake.”
  19. “Always understand the risk/reward of the trade as it now stands, not as it existed when you put the position on.”
  20. “At all levels of play the secret of success lies not so much in playing well as in not playing badly.”

Light, Taming the Beast

Larry Light’s Taming the Beast: Wall Street’s Imperfect Answers to Making Money (Wiley, 2011) is perfect summer reading fare. The author, a financial reporter and editor, is a skilled storyteller. In this book he explores a range of investment strategies and instruments, traces their development, and in the process profiles some of the best-known investors and academics.

He covers value investing (Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett), stocks (Jeremy Siegel), indexes (John Bogle), bonds (Bill Gross), growth investing (Thomas Rowe Price), international investing (John Templeton), real estate (Donald Trump), alternatives, asset allocation, short selling (James Chanos), hedge funds (Alfred Winslow Jones and Steve Cohen), and behaviorism (Daniel Kahneman and his followers).

Light’s thesis is that “investing success does not come in one flavor” and that “the trick is to be sufficiently flexible to dip into any or all of [the approaches he describes], but by the same token, to know their limitations.” (p. 254) He does a good job of spelling out these limitations. Even for more experienced investors who are well aware of many of these limitations, Little’s prose is so quick-paced that the book should be read, not skimmed. (more…)

On Flexibility

#1 Rule of Investing: Be Flexible – Roy Nueberger

Never adopt permanently any type of asset or any selection method. Try to stay flexible, open-minded, and skeptical. – John Templeton

Pliability: Consider and reconsider the facts, and your opinions. Stubbornness as to opinions-“cockiness”-must be entirely eliminated. – Bernard Baruch

Ignore mechanical formulas – Phil Carret

If there is anything I detest, it’s a mechanistic formula for anything. People should use their heads and go by logic and reason, not by hard and fast rules. – Gerald Loeb

Empty your mind, be formless, shapeless–like water. Now you put water into a cup, it becomes the cup, You put water into a bottle, it becomes the bottle, You put it in a teapot, it becomes the teapot. Now water can flow or it can crash! Be water my friend.Bruce Lee.   Ok, this quote comes from the world of martial arts, but the lesson transcends mere combat.
 

Five Timeless Rules of Investing Learned From Jesse Livermore

.  “My greatest discovery was that a man must study general conditions, to size them up so as to be able to anticipate probabilities.”  What did Livermore mean by “general conditions”?  He meant the macroeconomic environment and geopolitics.  Are they favorable or not favorable to buying stocks?  Today, the Fed is raising rates and squeezing the money supply (the monetary base declined last month for the first time in years; a year ago, it was going up 10%.)  The war in the Middle East is heating up.  These general conditions are not conducive to a bull market, except for gold!

2.  Learn from wise old men who have experience in the markets.  In Reminiscences of a Stock Operator , the author talks about “the Old Turkey,” a “very wise old codger” who counseled Jesse Livermore on making good investment decisions and avoiding mistakes.  How can you do this?  The best way is to read histories of the great investors such as Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, John Templeton and J. Paul Getty.

3.  Learn your strengths and weaknesses.  “We’ve all got a weak spot.  What’s yours?” asks the Old Turkey.  A good question that we must all answer.  “Study mistakes,” he counsels.  You don’t learn from your successes, only from your mistakes!

4.  Always save some of your gains.  “I was again living pretty well, but always saving something, to increase the stake that I was to take back to Wall Street.”  Unfortunately, Livermore made the mistake of not living up to his own advice.  He leveraged himself too much, and often went bankrupt.  By taking some of your gains and investing the funds in alternative investments, such as real estate, art and collectibles, or gold coins, you protect yourself in case you are wrong.

This reminds me of something that happened to me many years ago.  I had made a $2 million profit on a penny stock and my wife sat me down and insisted I pay off the mortgage, which was sizeable.  I told her I preferred to reinvest the profits in more penny stocks, but she insisted, and I finally agreed with her and paid off the mortgage.  It was the best decision “I” ever made!  Had I invested the profits in more penny stocks, I would have lost my shirt, because the penny stocks went into a major bear market soon after.

5.  Beware the charismatic financial guru!  “It cost me millions to learn that another dangerous enemy to a trader is his susceptibility to the urgings of a magnetic personality when plausibly expressed by a brilliant mind.”  Oh, how true.  I well remember the times I invested in several tax shelters that eventually went bust, because I was thoroughly convinced by a smooth talking salesman who seemed brilliant at the time.

Was Benjamin Graham Skillful or Lucky?

Last weekend’s Intelligent Investor column looked at the extreme difficulties of disentangling skill from luck when you are evaluating investment performance. It’s the topic of an excellent new book by Michael Mauboussin and a subject of endless fascination – and frustration – to investors.

We tend to think of the greatest investors – say, Peter LynchGeorge Soros, John Templeton, Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham – as being mostly or entirely skillful.

Graham, of course, was the founder of security analysis as a profession, Buffett’s professor and first boss, and the author of the classic book The Intelligent Investor. He is universally regarded as one of the best investors of the 20th century.

But Graham, who outperformed the stock market by an annual average of at least 2.5 percentage points for more than two decades, coyly admitted that much of his remarkable track record may have been due to luck.

In the Postscript chapter of The Intelligent Investor, Graham described “two partners” of an investment firm who put roughly 20% of the assets they managed into a single stock – a highly unusual departure for the conservative managers, who normally diversified widely and seldom invested more than 5% or so in any one holding. (more…)