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Your Mails -My Answers

Q:  Can you discuss the concept of drawdowns a bit? Novice traders seem to think experienced traders become proficient to the point that they are right much more than not and thus experience very small drawdowns. But talking to experienced traders this does not seem to be the case.

A:  In my view, the biggest difference between a successful trader and one who is not is how they manage their mistakes. Note, I am of the opinion that those who trade well don’t make fewer mistakes but they simply have learned how to handle them when they occur. This opinion is based on years of experience but also more recently working closely one-on-one with other traders. The fastest way I’ve learned to be of help to others is to show them how to recognize, quickly admit, and then take aggressive action when a mistake has been made. Losers tend to make bigger mistakes out of small ones. They let their egos get in the way and double-down in losing trades and make matters worse when a mistake is made.

Ultimately, the best you can do in this business is try to be “more right than wrong,” especially at key turning points and be quick to repair and take remedial action when you are wrong as well as managing your risk through proper trading size, stop losses, and simple diversification.

Q:  I know that Alexander Elder recommends trading less often for better results. And after reading your blog for the last couple of years I know that you follow this strategy for the most part as well. What do you do in a range bound time such as what we are experiencing, have you been doing more day trading?

A:  I’ve been very inactive recently. In fact, when you see more posts at the website (especially those link posts that take so much time and energy to do), you pretty much can count on that I’m doing a lot of sideline sitting. In many ways, this blog helps me stay patient as it keeps me busy and focused without feeling the necessity to make trades that don’t offer exactly what I’m looking for. All good traders seem to have different ways to cope when the environment is not receptive and I recommend you find ways to cope as well. As for day trading, that is fine if you love doing that, but that’s never been my desire. Day trading for pennies a trade seems too much like work and I don’t need that kind of stress. I can afford to be patient and pick my spots.

To send in your question(s) for next mailbag, please send me e-mail at [email protected] Although I may not directly answer your question in these  posts, it is extremely helpful to know what topics are of interest to you so that I can find links and look for opportunities to discuss and cover your interests in the future. Thank you!

20 Trading Skills for Traders

1.      Know the difference between trading and investing.  We are traders, NOT investors.  ••  Disciplineis doing the right thing at the right time…every time! Survival in this business is dependent on the right decisions.

2.      Don’t let losers run!  Always use stops .  Riskmanagement is very, very important in your trading.  Don’t be stubborn in holding a position. Remember, while you may not be wrong often, The Market Is Always Right.  The best traders are the first to admit (to themselves and the market) that they made a mistake.

 3.      Trade only price pattern set-ups.

 4.      Trade for skill, NOT the money.  If you’re focused on the money aspect of trading…you’re not focused on the ‘trade’.  And SCARED MONEY NEVER WINS!

5.      Concentrate on what you are trade.  Each market has personalities, habits and friends…get to know them all.

 6.      Focus on your executions.  Remember, every execution is a trade.  Money is valuable…don’t leave it on the table.

 7.      Model Yourself After Successful and Experienced Traders.  You will be all you can be…but you need to start somewhere. 

 8.      Be Teachable.  Learn something new every day (or at least every week).  The ‘Losing’ and ‘Winning’ trades can teach you a whole lot.

 9.      Remember that even the best of the best traders lose money.  Learn to accept your losses and move on to the next trade.  That’s just part of the business – you will NEVER win 100% of the time.

 10.  Use only 1 contract at the beginning.  Large wins at the beginning generally means large exposure. (more…)

Small Things Matter

Ask many experienced traders to describe their most profitable trade, and you’ll hear a fantastic story. It’s usually purely chance. I know it was that way for me on a number of occasions. For example, the trader may have been going long on a large position when suddenly a report came out that shocked the market. Prices shot up as the public heard the news, and the trader made a killing. These stories are thrilling. They inspire you to sharpen your trading skills and master the markets. Who doesn’t want to be at the right place at the right time? But if you want to be a profitable, consistent trader, you can’t sit around waiting for a fantastic trading opportunity to present itself. Most of the time, trading is about making trade after trade to the point that it seems boringly routine. Rather than seek out big, exciting trades, it’s important to remember that small trades matter a lot.

As thrilling as big trades seem to be, it’s the smaller trades that keep you in business. It’s not unusual for traders to feel they have reached a plateau when trading. They make trade after trade and little seems to happen. They don’t suddenly find the Holy Grail of trading and achieve the great wealth and status they’ve dreamed about. Whether they realize it or not, however, they are still making progress. Each new observation of the market, each trade they execute, no matter how small, adds to their wealth of knowledge. They intuitively learn what to do and what not to do. They may see a slight variation in chart pattern that creates an inefficiency in price and learn just how far the pattern can deviate from the norm and still forecast the most likely movement of prices. On another day, they may learn a new way to place a protective stop so that they protect their risk, yet don’t get stopped out prematurely. These small everyday, seemingly insignificant experiences matter a lot.

Trading is challenging. Few survive trading over many years. The traders who do survive, however, know how to stay focused and patient. They don’t go for quick thrills, and unrealistically huge profit objectives. They know that losing is easy and can happen in the blink of an eye, but rebuilding capital usually takes a lot of work over a long period of time.

Instead of going for risky, exciting trades, you must seek out high probability setups, take steps to protect your capital, and execute your trades decisively, according to your trading plan. You may not have an exciting tale to brag about, but you take home steady profits–you get paid to trade. And when you make trade after trade, the small profits add up, and you end up with big profits in the end.

So when you feel that your earnings have reached a plateau, don’t get discouraged. As long as you are making profits, and staying in business, you’re continuing to develop your trading skills. You’re adding to your knowledge base. You’re developing a more intuitive feel for how the markets operate. It may not seem like you’re making the profits of a trading wizard, but if you keep at it, you’ll be one of the rare few that join the ranks of winning traders.
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Trade what you see, not what you think!

Trading Wisdom

Trading wisdom“The trend is your friend” – perhaps the best known trading adage of all time, it is meant to remind traders to always identify the prevailing trend, and never to trade against it, but rather wait for retracements and then enter trades in the direction of the trend.

“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent”The way the market reacts to certain news or events may not seem rational at times, but there is no sense in trying to fight the market – it moves where it moves and does not care one bit about your opinion.

“A fool and his money are soon parted”If you are not smart about where you put your money, you will most likely lose it.

“The trading rules I live by are: (a) Cut losses, (b) Ride Winners, (c) Keep bets small, (d) Follow the rules without question, and (e) Know when to break the rules.” – Rules are important, but following them blindly does not necessarily lead to success. Know which conditions produced those rules in the first place, so that when the conditions change, the rules can too.

“Amateurs Focus On Rewards. Professionals Focus on Risk.” Experienced traders think first about how much they can lose on a trade, base their calculations on that, and then see if they are happy with the potential reward the trade offers. Novices usually do the opposite, blinded by the allure of quick riches.

9 Lessons From The Greatest Trader Who Ever Lived

One of the good guys (for me, at least) has always been Jesse L. Livermore. He’s considered by many of today’s top Wall Street traders to be the greatest trader who ever lived.
Leaving home at age 14 with no more than five bucks in his pocket, Livermore went on to earn millions on Wall Street back in the days when they still literally read the tape.
Long or short, it didn’t matter to Jesse.
Instead, he was happy to take whatever the markets gave him because he knew what every good trader knows: Markets never go straight up or straight down.
In one of Livermore’s more famous moves, he made a massive fortune betting against the markets in 1929, earning $100 million in short-selling profits during the crash. In today’s dollars, that would be a cool $12.6 billion.
That’s part of the reason why an earlier biography of his life, entitled Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, has been a must-read for experienced traders and beginners alike.
A gambler and speculator to the core, his insights into human nature and the markets have been widely quoted ever since.
Here are just a few of his market beating lessons: 

On the school of hard knocks:

The game taught me the game. And it didn’t spare me rod while teaching. It took me five years to learn to play the game intelligently enough to make big money when I was right.

On losing trades:

Losing money is the least of my troubles. A loss never troubles me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong – not taking the loss – that is what does the damage to the pocket book and to the soul.

On trading the trends:

Disregarding the big swing and trying to jump in and out was fatal to me. Nobody can catch all the fluctuations. In a bull market the game is to buy and hold until you believe the bull market is near its end. (more…)

Trading Wisdom

“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” – The way the market reacts to certain news or events may not seem rational at times, but there is no sense in trying to fight the market – it moves where it moves and does not care one bit about your opinion.

“A fool and his money are soon parted” – If you are not smart about where you put your money, you will most likely lose it.

“The trading rules I live by are: (a) Cut losses, (b) Ride Winners, (c) Keep bets small, (d) Follow the rules without question, and (e) Know when to break the rules.” – Rules are important, but following them blindly does not necessarily lead to success. Know which conditions produced those rules in the first place, so that when the conditions change, the rules can too.

“Amateurs Focus On Rewards. Professionals Focus on Risk.” – Experienced traders think first about how much they can lose on a trade, base their calculations on that, and then see if they are happy with the potential reward the trade offers. Novices usually do the opposite, blinded by the allure of quick riches.

Stick to your game plan

the-game-plan-poster-425Sticking to your game plan is the hardest thing to do as a trader.The reason it’s so hard is that it take strict discipline and an emotional detachment from the outcome.Knowing what to do and doing it are two seprate issues.Trading involves so many unforseen elements and market fores the mishaps and fuzzy thinking materialize even at the most advanced levels.The only way to trade suscessfully through this sea of uncontrollable elements is to have the discipline to stick to your game plan.Your plan is the shield that no market force can penetrate ,unless let it.

The main reason experienced traders lose is that they fail to follow their own rules.There are hundreds of reasons and excuses for deviating from a trading plan-for breaking your rules.In the long run ,the reasons make zero difference.In the end ,people are judged by their results ,not the quality of their excuses.In an unstructured environment with multiple sources of reason pulling you in different directions ,rules become the cornerstone for success.

A trading plan is predictable.It provides sources of reason given any number of existing circumstances.It filers out noise and encourages discipline.Remember that having a trading plan and sticking to it is invaluable.The simple recognition of this fact can provide the stimulas to adhere to your own plan.