Ancient man had no risk management. Everything was left to ‘fate’ and the whims of the gods. Because ancient man felt that he was merely a victim of circumstance he did not see a need to plan for the future. Therefore, he had no future. In his book Against The Gods: The Remarkable Story Of Risk, Peter Bernstein plots out the history of man’s discovery of the law of probabilities and risk management. Suffice it to say, economic progress seems to run parallel with man’s ability to discover, quantify, and manage risk. Risk and reward are two sides of the same coin. One is not present without the other. You cannot receive the reward unless you are willing to take the risk and you cannot expect to keep that reward unless you learn to mange that risk. It is imperative to master both subjects if you expect to be successful in any endeavor, especially the arena of investing/trading.”
Archives of “endeavor” tag
rssFour Stages Of Awareness in Trading
Have you ever noticed that awareness is the first step toward future growth? If you want to improve in any area, read on below to understand the four stages of awareness as they relate to good trading.
The learning curve in any endeavor involves four stages:
Unconscious incompetence (where the trader has no idea how much he doesn’t know about trading)
Conscious incompetence (where the traders realizes after initial losses that he has a lot to learn)
Conscious competence (where the trader has developed and is now doing well as long as he works his system and its rules)
Unconscious competence (where the trader has mastered the rules and also knows when to break the rules as conditions change, in a complete flow with the markets based on great experience)
4 Trading Quotes for Today's Trading Session
“You must practice being a successful trader first. From that state of mind you will get information about what to do, and that will produce what you want to have.”
“Excellence is about stepping outside the comfort zone, training with a spirit of endeavor, and accepting the inevitability of trials and tribulations. Progress is built, in effect, upon the foundations of necessary failure.”
“Amateurs keep thinking what trades to get into, while professionals spend just as much time figuring out their exits.”
“Confidence doesn’t come from being right all the time: it comes from surviving the many occasions of being wrong.” Brent Steenbarger, The Daily Trading Coach “When you attain some degree of control over yourself, you can then see how other traders are not in control of what happens to them.”
Seven essentials needed to become a competent trader
- Have a vision about your trading. Understand why you trade. It is never just about the money. Money can be had in any endeavor. Develop perspective on why trading is so important to you and what characteristics you want to possess that distinguish you as a trader. Be clear on these. This is motivating, and helps you to keep committed to your personal goals when things become difficult. Trading is a tough business with lots of adversity. If you haven’t got a clear sense of what you are all about in your trading, you will find trading very difficult.
- Make a commitment to your vision and turn it into a daily mission. Put into daily practice what you need to do to reach your goals. Put the work in even when other things that are more ‘fun’ or appealing tempt you to get off track. Do these every day, day after day and don’t let up. Keep a journal and track your progress — not just on the money, but more importantly, on your personal progress as you grow and develop into a competent trader. It’s the only way to become good and eventually great at trading.
- Know what you can control and what you can’t. You can’t control whether a trade is a winner or a loser. You can control how you react to the market. Before you can become a consistent trader, you must first control how you respond to the market and your actions. We can always be in control of ourselves and how we act. Being able to regulate our actions has a lot to do with how we see ourselves as a trader and our vision for ourselves.
- Focus on the process of trading rather than the outcomes of your trades. You can control how you select your trades, set risk, enter, manage, and exit your trades. You can never control how they will turn out. Place your attention on what you can control – the process of trading, not the outcomes. The process is where you can make a difference.
- Develop the necessary mental skills to trade well. Technical skills are important, but so are mental skills. Spend time learning how to stay focused on the present moment. Learn how to ‘mentally park’ losses and trading errors. Learn how to let winning trades run and cut losing trades short. These are all crucial mental skills that are not found in reading the MACD or price bars.
- Practice your trading. A major league baseball player doesn’t just show up at the ball park and expect to play well; traders shouldn’t expect to just show up at the screen and trade well either. It takes serious, dedicated practice to develop excellence.
- Make one trade at a time. Keep your focus on this trade and this trade only. Bring all of your knowledge, skills, and abilities into focus on the current trade. Let previous trades and future trades go – they have nothing to do with the current trade.
Warp Speed or Turtle Speed?
A lot of statistics are published about the number of traders that are ’successful’ even though we don’t always receive their definition of successful.
Whether it is 70% or 95% of new traders that are said to lose all of their capital in the first 30-60 days, the real question is WHY??
In almost every case that I hear about when a person states that they quit trading because they lost all of their money in the first 30-60 days so they got discouraged and said that trading was not for them, these individuals attempted to move too fast when they started. They had acquired very little, if any, type of training and then jumped into a live account without any direction or plan.
Anyone who steps into the trading world (or any endeavor) without training to acquire the skills needed to approach the new program is setting themselves up for a very challenging situation and generally more failures than successes.
You can approach a new situation in life at warp speed and take the consequences or at the speed of a turtle and build your skills and experience so as to eventually acquire warp speed movement, but with turtle-like results, which is what the turtle always experienced when he raced the rabbit….. Success!!
Better to be Profitable Than Right
The ultimate goal of a futures trader should be to have overall trading success by being profitable. There is no single-best path one can take on the destination to trading success and profitability. However, there are a few general trading tenets to which all successful traders have subscribed. One such trading tenet is “losing your ego” when trading futures.
Mark Cook, a well-respected trader and trading educator from rural Ohio, for many years has stressed that traders need to lose their egos before getting into trading futures markets. He is also an advocate of survival in futures trading. One must survive in this challenging arena before one can succeed. I enjoyed listening to Mark at a trading seminar a few years ago. He even used to wear bib-overalls (with no shirt) at some of his trading seminars – just to drive home the point that trading futures is not easy and that ultimate success takes a lot of hard work.
My good friend and respected trader and educator Glen Ring also espouses the notion, and may have even coined the phrase, “it’s better to be profitable than right in futures trading.” Those who know or have talked to Glen know he, too, is a no-nonsense, no-hype trader who takes a yeoman’s approach to the business. When asked what direction a specific market “will” go in the future, Glen is never afraid to say, “I don’t know,” before he adds that, “successful trading is not a business of predictions but one of probabilities based on past price history.” (more…)
Better to Be Profitable Than Right
ego” when trading futures.Mark Cook, a well-respected trader and trading educator from rural Ohio, for many years has stressed that traders need to lose their egos before getting into trading futures markets. He is also an advocate of survival in futures trading.
One must survive in this challenging arena before one can succeed. I enjoyed listening to Mark at a trading seminar a few years ago. He even used to wear bib-overalls (with no shirt) at some of his trading seminars—just to drive home the point that trading futures is not easy and that ultimate success takes a lot of hard work.
My good friend and respected trader and educator Glen Ring also espouses the notion, and may have even coined the phrase, “it’s better to be profitable than right in futures trading.” Those who know or have talked to Glen know he, too, is a no-nonsense, no-hype trader who takes a yeoman’s approach to the business. When asked what direction a specific market “will” go in the future, Glen is never afraid to say, “I don’t know,” before he adds that, “successful trading is nota business of predictions but one of probabilities based on past price history.” (more…)
The Secret to Success in Trading
People that are more likely to find success in trading, or any endeavor, tend to be those who take the initiative. Without that belief in your own ability to take action to insure progress, i.e.: initiative, you will never transition from having a vision — hope –to implementation of a plan to achieve that vision – goal. Your belief and confidence need to get stronger with each step toward the goal. This is what will feed your thought process and attitude.
The most difficult part of the journey to successful trading is learning the basics thoroughly. You will know you are on your way when each step starts to get easier.
The real secret is understanding how simple trading is. The hard part is getting out of your own way to get to that point.
Random Trading Thoughts
1. Do not think about making money, think about losing money – the first step toward success is accepting that losing is part of trading. You will not be right all of the time, you can not always trade your way out of a bad situation. There will be times when you simply have to walk away with a loss. The key is to keeping the losses small and manageable. When the market proves you wrong, take the loss.
2. Do not think you can average down to win – it is a logical idea, add more to a losing position with the expectation that the market must eventually go your way. Many times this strategy will work but, when it does not work, the loss may be insurmountable. The market does not eventually have to go your way.
3. Do not think that your success is entitled – you may make a great trade, pick a really great stock and have a feeling like you really have the market figured out. Forget your gloating, no one ever has the market figured out. We must always remember that we have to work as smart for the next trade as we did for the last.
4. Do not think that talent is required – making money in any trading endeavor is a small part technical skill and a big part emotional management. Learn to limit losses, let winners run and be selective with what you trade. Emotional mastery is more important than stock picking skill.
5. Do not think that you can tell the market what to do – the market does not care about you, it does not know that you want to make a profit. You are the slave, the market is your master. Be obedient and do what the market tells you to.
6. Do not think you are competing against other traders – trading success comes to those who overcome themselves, it is you and your persistent desire to break trading rules that is the ultimate adversary. What others are doing is of little consequence, only you can react to the market and achieve your success.
7. Do not think that Fear and Greed can ever be positive – in life, fear can keep us from harm, greed can give us the motivation to work hard. In the market, these two emotional forces will lead to losses. If your decisions are governed by either or both you will most certainly find that your money escapes you.
8. Do not think you will remember everything you learn – every trade provides a lesson, some valuable education on what to do and what not to do. However, it is likely that your lessons will contradict one another and lead you to forget many of them. Write down the knowledge that you accumulate, return to this trading journal so that you can retain some value from the lessons taught by the market. Remember, the market is cruel, it gives the test first and the lesson after.
9. Do not think that being right will lead to profits – you may be exactly right about what the fundamentals are and what they are worth. However, timing is everything, if your expectations for the future are ill timed, you may find yourself losing more than you can tolerate. Remember, the market can be wrong longer than you can be liquid.
10. Do not think you can overcome the laws of probability – traders tend to be gamblers when they face a loss and risk averse when the have a potential for gain. They would rather lock in a sure profit and gamble against a probable loss even if the expected value of doing so is irrational. Trading is a probability game, each decision should be made on the basis of the best expected value and not what feels best.
RISK
“Ancient man had no risk management. Everything was left to ‘fate’ and the whims of the gods. Because ancient man felt that he was merely a victim of circumstance he did not see a need to plan for the future. Therefore, he had no future. In his book Against The Gods: The Remarkable Story Of Risk, Peter Bernstein plots out the history of man’s discovery of the law of probabilities and risk management. Suffice it to say, economic progress seems to run parallel with man’s ability to discover, quantify, and manage risk. Risk and reward are two sides of the same coin. One is not present without the other. You cannot receive the reward unless you are willing to take the risk and you cannot expect to keep that reward unless you learn to mange that risk. It is imperative to master both subjects if you expect to be successful in any endeavor, especially the arena of investing/trading.”