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G7: “We will do whatever is necessary” to restore confidence

G7 statement

  • We are taking action and enhancing coordination on domestic and international policy efforts to respond to epidemic
  • We pledge to promote global trade and investment
  • Says they are pushing liquidity support and fiscal expansion
Here is the full text:

Statement of G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors

Consistent with the direction from G7 Leaders, we are taking action and enhancing coordination on our dynamic domestic and international policy efforts to respond to the global health, economic, and financial impacts associated with the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Collectively, G7 nations have already enacted a wide-ranging set of health, economic, and financial stability measures.  We will do whatever is necessary to restore confidence and economic growth and to protect jobs, businesses, and the resilience of the financial system. We also pledge to promote global trade and investment to underpin prosperity.

Our nations are working together to fight the COVID-19 outbreak and mitigate its impact, treat those affected, and prevent further transmission. G7 finance ministries are helping advance this effort by providing the funding needed to respond to the situation. In particular, we recognize the urgent need to increase support for the rapid development, manufacture, and distribution of diagnostics, therapeutics, and a vaccine for COVID-19. We are providing bilateral and multilateral assistance to strengthen foreign governments’ prevention efforts and their health and emergency response systems.

The G7 is committed to deliver the fiscal effort necessary to help our economies rapidly recover and resume the path towards stronger and more sustainable economic growth. Alongside our nations’ efforts to expand health services, G7 finance ministries are undertaking, and recommend all countries undertake, liquidity support and fiscal expansion to mitigate the negative economic impacts associated with the spread of COVID-19.

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G20 starts today, US – China meeting tomorrow. Deal seen as unlikely … but

Perhaps there is scope for some sort of US – China agreement stemming from the Trump – Xi meeting at the G20 summit.

‘Agree to keep talking’ seems the most likely outcome IMO, but we’ll soon find out. Any increase in hostility would be a negative but a dinner together is probably not going to lead to this, at least right away.
When do we get a deal? If we do.?
An interesting overnight note from ING says it’ll not be until towards the end of this year:
both sides want a deal
  • China can hurt the US economically but it knows that the US can hurt China even more. 
  • President Trump needs a deal to show the American people that he delivers on his promises to get better terms of trade for the US. He knows that this is best done without the US economy having to suffer from Chinese retaliation for an extended period of time.
We expect a deal to be struck in the last quarter of this year
  • it is likely that China as well as the US are prepared to make concessions in the end
  • After all, this is what’s happened in the renegotiation of Nafta
  • To strike a deal, Trump had to accept that Mexico and Canada would not agree to all of his original demands
On that 
  • Trump had to accept that Mexico and Canada would not agree to all of his original demands
You’d say the same of China, but so far they’ve held firm. 
Added – G20 start 28th.