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The Secret Sauce: A Knowledge Advantage

  
  Education
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“What is your secret sauce?

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No. 1, it’s possible, especially in inefficient markets, to gain a knowledge advantage. By definition, an inefficient market is one where hard work and skill can pay off. We can also control our psyche and emotions so that we don’t make the human mistakes that are so common. Of course the other thing is we have a philosophy of controlling risk. So that doesn’t necessarily make us the winner rather than the loser in the transaction, but it increases the probability that we engage in transactions of the sort that we and our clients want.”

There are a few ways to access better knowledge in an inefficient market.  You either have better sources, illegal information or you just simply have a superior understanding.  That’s why I always emphasize the importance of a sound top-down approach.  If you don’t understand the monetary system you’re more inclined to make mistakes in micro managing your portfolio.  You make silly mistakes like misunderstanding how the Fed operates, how QE works, how fiscal policy impacts the economy, how bond auctions works, etc etc. Misunderstanding these important macro functions has resulted in endless predictions for hyperinflation, rising bond yields, falling stock prices, etc.  But if you had a sound understanding of the system – if you had a better understanding – you sidestepped all of these predictions that were clearly wrong if you understood how the system works.

You don’t need to cheat or steal to get better information or knowledge.  Sometimes it’s a matter of putting in the effort to obtain it.

Six Positive Trading Behaviors

  
  Education
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6-1) Fresh Ideas – I’ve yet to see a very successful trader utilize the common  chart patterns and indicator functions on software (oscillators, trendline tools, etc.) as primary sources for trade ideas. Rather, they look at markets in fresh  ways, interpreting shifts in supply and demand from the order book or from  transacted volume; finding unique relationships among sectors and markets; uncovering historical trading patterns; etc. Looking at markets in creative ways  helps provide them with a competitive edge.

 2) Solid Execution – If they’re buying, they’re generally waiting for a  pullback and taking advantage of weakness; if they’re selling, they patiently  wait for a bounce to get a good price. On average, they don’t chase markets  up or down, and they pick their price levels for entries and exits. They won’t lift  a market offer if they feel there’s a reasonable opportunity to get filled on a bid. (more…)

Six Positive Trading Behaviors

  
  Education
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Number61) Fresh Ideas – I’ve yet to see a very successful trader utilize the common chart patterns and indicator functions on software (oscillators, trendline tools, etc.) as primary sources for trade ideas. Rather, they look at markets in fresh ways, interpreting shifts in supply and demand from the order book or from transacted volume; finding unique relationships among sectors and markets; uncovering historical trading patterns; etc. Looking at markets in creative ways helps provide them with a competitive edge.
2) Solid Execution – If they’re buying, they’re generally waiting for a pullback and taking advantage of weakness; if they’re selling, they patiently wait for a bounce to get a good price. On average, they don’t chase markets up or down, and they pick their price levels for entries and exits. They won’t lift a market offer if they feel there’s a reasonable opportunity to get filled on a bid.
3) Thoughtful Position Sizing – The successful traders aren’t trying to hit home runs, and they don’t double up after a losing period (more…)

Six Positive Trading Behaviors

  
  Education
#  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #  #

1) Fresh Ideas – I’ve yet to see a very successful trader utilize the common chart patterns and indicator functions on software (oscillators, trendline tools, etc.) as primary sources for trade ideas. Rather, they look at markets in fresh ways, interpreting shifts in supply and demand from the order book or from transacted volume; finding unique relationships among sectors and markets; uncovering historical trading patterns; etc. Looking at markets in creative ways helps provide them with a competitive edge.
2) Solid Execution – If they’re buying, they’re generally waiting for a pullback and taking advantage of weakness; if they’re selling, they patiently wait for a bounce to get a good price. On average, they don’t chase markets up or down, and they pick their price levels for entries and exits. They won’t lift a market offer if they feel there’s a reasonable opportunity to get filled on a bid.
3) Thoughtful Position Sizing – The successful traders aren’t trying to hit home runs, and they don’t double up after a losing period to try to make their money back. They trade smaller when they’re not seeing things well, and they become more aggressive when they see odds in their favor. They take reasonable levels of risk in each position to guard against scenarios in which one large loss can wipe out days worth of profits.
4) Maximizing Profits – The good traders don’t just come up with promising trade ideas; they have the conviction and fortitude to stick with those ideas. Many times, it’s leaving good trades early–not accumulating bad trades–that leads to mediocre trading results. Because successful traders understand their market edge and have demonstrated it through real trading, they have the confidence to let trades ride to their objectives.
5) Controlling Risk – The really fine traders are quick to acknowledge when they’re wrong, so that they can rapidly exit marginal trades and keep their powder dry for future opportunities. They have set amounts of money that they’re willing to risk and lose per day, week, or month and they stick with those limits. This slows them down during periods of poor performance so that they don’t accumulate losses unnecessarily and have time to review markets and figure things out afresh.
6) Self-Improvement – I’m continually impressed at how good traders sustain efforts to work on themselves–even when they’re making money. They realize that they can always get better, and they readily set goals for themselves to guide their development. In a very real sense, each trading day becomes an opportunity for honing skills and developing oneself.

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