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Confidence, Discipline and Consistency

Consistently profitable trading comes down to just three simple things. The three are the trading psychology, the system, and the risk and money management. Trading psychology means the big 3: discipline, confidence and consistency.

The trading psychology takes precedence because it is needed to make sure that the other two are followed. When they are not followed, a good system and sound risk and money management rules are of limited value. When you have trading psychology that is not achieved through sheer will, you can have the discipline, confidence and consistency that make the most of your rules and system.

Sticking to your system for any length of time is nearly impossible without having confidence in your system. A trader may be able to focus intently on their discipline, and may even be able to stick to it for a time, but often the first handful of losing trades will kill that confidence and with it goes the discipline.

When the sting of a string of losses comes along, especially for a trader that has not established a solid confidence in their system, the temptation to deviate from the system, to second-guess it, is very strong. The natural impulse to avoid the pain is great and only grows with each subsequent loss. Faith in the system drops each time another loss occurs, even if the loss came to be from the deviation from the system. In these circumstances, doubts, fear and anxiety usually run high.

So what is a trader to do to avoid this situation, or to remedy it if this situation has already been encountered?

A great deal of trading psychology comes from expectations and reality. Frustration comes when expectations aren’t met by reality. When a person doesn’t know what to expect, then anxiety set in. When a person knows what to expect and what to do, then confidence is there. Worst case is when the primary point of reference is the recent and painful losses, and only slightly less difficult to be confident when matters feel very uncertain.

Since trading is an activity where losing trades will occur, the best way to establish confidence is to have a way to know what to expect – from the trading system. What is the way to make this happen? The trader can see what can realistically be expected and what can’t through system analysis and looking at the system metrics. The metrics give one a realistic and measured look at the capabilities and limitations of a system, particularly how many losing trades might be encountered during an overall profitable period of time. The primary benefit regarding the trader’s trading psychology is in the way the numbers from the analysis put things in a perspective that fends off the anxiety and doubt and makes for much easier discipline.

Once this is achieved, then the trader should track their metrics to ensure consistency and continuous improvement. It happens quite commonly for traders to experience major breakthroughs once they put in place the habit of analyzing their system and tracking the metrics. Confidence, discipline and consistency are the natural result of this activity, and frequently initiating this practice marks the turning point in the careers of many traders. It is vital as part of trading psychology that one properly analyze the metrics and track their numbers, as backtesting alone will only help to a limited degree.

Confidence, Discipline and Consistency

While day-trading is a great way to make a living when you are consistently profitable, it can also be the worse career choice if you consistently lose. Continue forward with system development, or working towards effective risk management, money management, or mastery of your trading psychology. Trading psychology means the big 3: discipline, confidence and consistency.The trading psychology takes precedence because it is needed to make sure that the other two are followed.

It takes a skilled trader to understand execute all of the things that are needed to be successful and earn a significant amount of profit doing this alone. Money Management is essential to preserve your trading capital and is simply a set of rules that governs how much money you have at risk. Take control of your trading Psychology and adhere to strict discipline in trading your developed and refined Trading System.

Building confidence on the system is extremely important as that is the only reason why you stick to the system during bad times. Day trading requires focus and discipline on the part of the trader with a high degree of risk tolerance since losing trades are numerous. (more…)

Is stock trading difficult? Depends on who you ask.


Is stock trading difficult?  Depends on who you ask.

A seasoned trader with the discipline to follow well honed principles will say “trading is not difficult.  See how I take losses and let my winners run?”  A battered and bruised, emotionally unstable trader will say “the market is difficult.  I am getting my @ss handed to me on a platter and it hurts!”  A breakeven trader will say, “compared to my broker I am not doing so bad.”

Our perspective makes all the difference in our success of failure.  If we can have the proper perspective then the market cannot hurt us.

The proper perspective includes, but is not limited to, the following:

The market will do what it wants to do when it wants to do it regardless of the technical games we play.

We win some lose some, in no particular order, on any given strategy.

The only trading mistake that matters is when future uncertainty is not properly considered an essential element of risk.

The long-term process, not short term outcomes, builds the consistency necessary to tackle market uncertainty.

Responsibility accepted before the trade becomes the disciple that carries us through the trade.

The best money is oftentimes made by being a non-participating, impartial observer.


 

So the next time someone asks if stock trading is difficult.  What will be our answer?  Will it be based on the proper perspective or on the last trade we made?  On emotions? On our reaction to price action? News? Compared to what?  A successful bust or a skinned knee?  The answer can make a difference.

25 rules of trading discipline

 
thoughtful-disciplined-trader
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

  1. The market pays you to be disciplined.
  2. Be disciplined every day, in every trade, and the market will reward you. But don’t claim to be disciplined if you are not 100 percent of the time.
  3. Always lower your trade size when you’re trading poorly.
  4. Never turn a winner into a loser.
  5. Your biggest loser cant exceed your biggest winner.
  6. Develop a methodology and stick with it. dont change methodologies from day to day.
  7. Be yourself. Dont try to be someone else.
  8. You always want to be able to come back and play the next day. Once you reach the daily downside limit, you must turn your PC off and call it a day. You can always come back tomorrow.
  9. Earn the right to trade bigger. Remember: if you are trading poorly with two lots you must lower your trade size down to a one lot.
  10. Get out of your losers.
  11. The first loss is the best loss.
  12. Dont hope and pray. If you do, you will lose. (more…)

Expectations vs Reality

expecˈtationnoun

1. belief about (or mental picture of) the future
2. anticipating with confidence of fulfillment
3. the feeling that something is about to happen

I think all of us initially come to this subject with expectations (or as stated above, confidence in the fulfillment of our mental pictures of the future). Obviously having goals is one thing, but expectations are another – the problem is the time lines we set and the source of our expectations.

For instance, what if you expect to make money trading in two years, but in actuality (and unknown to you) it will take five? Surely after two years a thought will enter your head such as “this is not working out how I hoped…”

No wonder – your hopes had no connection to reality.

Even more bizarre, considering the above, is that I imagine almost everyone that gets involved in this subject expects to make money immediately. If you expect to make money immediately, but in reality it takes five years to learn to trade with consistency, then of course blown accounts and negative emotions are virtually guaranteed.

Non of us that wash out are smart – we are dumb. If we were smart, we would demo trade (or make use of facilities such as micro accounts) UNTIL we could actually trade profitably, no matter how many years it took.

Are you able to demo trade for five years? I can hear you now – “no freekin’ way!!!”

Why not? Of course, because you have PLANS don’t you? You have OTHER THINGS that you need to press on with that are dependent on your success in trading; in fact these plans of yours are already LATE due to the unexpected delays you hit with this little ‘ole thing called the Stock Market.

What was it? Quit your job, pay off a debt, new car, beach house by the sea, exotic holiday, help your parents in their old age, total financial freedom from the wage slave arena?

These two things combined, unrealistic expectations + unrelated desires are pure poison to any chance of success you have. I can see that now – I have actually looked within and SEEN the cobwebs of unrelated desires and unrealistic expectations that in fact have nothing to do with the reality of trading. Thats the truly amazing thing; these issues are actually NOT CONNECTED to the subject, they are things that are hanging around it in your head like moths around a flame.

So what to do? Somehow, this subject and this practice of trading needs to be mentally separated out into its own space and be unconnected to anything else, otherwise we are dragging all of this dead weight behind us. The term “mental purity” was a phrase coined by the West Coast trading desk by the Enron traders used to describe the state whereby they have nothing unconscious infecting their trading decisions (such as morals and a conscience in their case! See the book Smartest Guys in the Room – a brilliant read).

Its a good term – somehow we need to achieve mental purity (be free from murky motives and unconscious unrealistic expectations).

12 Quotes From ‘Trading In The Zone'

1. Attitude produces better overall results than analysis or technique.

2. Positive winning attitude = expecting a positive result from your efforts, with an acceptance that whatever results you get are a perfect reflection of your level of development and what you need to learn to get better.

3. Winning in any endeavour is mostly a function of attitude.

4. Losing and being wrong are inevitable realities of trading.

5. The market has no responsibility towards the individual trader. Taking responsibility means acknowledging and accepting, at the deepest part of your identity, that you – not the market – are completely responsible for your success or failure as a trader.

6. If you perceive the endless stream of opportunities to enter and exit trades without self-criticism and regret, then you will be in the best frame of mind to act in your own best interest and learn from your experiences.

7.  You will need to learn how to adjust your attitudes and beliefs about trading in such a way that you can trade without the slightest bit of fear, but at the same time keep a framework in place that does not allow you to become reckless.

8. Trading is an activity that offers the individual unlimited freedom of creative expression.

9. The unlimited characteristics of the trading environment require that we act with some degree of restraint and self-control, at least if we want to create some measure of consistent success.

10. The hard reality of trading is that, if you want to create consistency, you have to start from the premise that no matter what the outcome, you are completely responsible.

11. One of the principal reasons so many successful people have failed miserably at trading is that their success is partly attributable to their superior ability to manipulate and control the social environment, to respond to what they want.  (Unfortunately) the market doesn’t respond to control and manipulation (unless you’re a very large trader).

12. The tools you will use to create this new version of yourself are your willingness and desire to learn, fuelled by your passion to be successful.  Successful traders have virtually eliminated the effects of fear and recklessness from their trading.

What you WILL DO vs. NOT DO is what it comes down to

In trading you MUST take action and control.  It’s not the market makers, or the talking heads, or your neighbor, or any of the experts or people you entrust with your money that are causing your losses or your poor investing performance.  You are making the decisions, directly or indirectly.   Any trading and investing decisions made in your accounts are all DOWNSTREAM from you and your initial decisions, so you can make different ones in the future.

But you must take measurements.  You must have a plan.  You must assess, then make DECISIONS to GET you to your FINANCIAL, HEALTH and RELATIONSHIP goals.

In trading we teach a very simple and effective way to make consistent profits in the markets.  There is a learning curve and much of that curve is you getting to know you.  It’s understanding the psychological aspects of trading profitably with consistency and making those thought process changes that are necessary to get you in a winner’s trading mindset.

For many people this is a challenge.  The actual steps and actions you must take are not laborious or physically draining, they are simple things that need to be done but will go against the natural instinct to just want to go through each day on ‘autopilot’.

And this is why many a trader who is struggling slips into the ‘blame’ or ‘victim’ game.  Being aware of this is important and we are all human and capable of slipping off track……but the key is to catch it early, forgive yourself for it, and then learn and ‘zig zag’ your way back onto the path that will get you to your goals.

Trading in the Zone

These Beliefs are the Seven Principles of Consistency from Mark Douglas’s “Trading in the Zone” I highly recommend picking this book up to add to your collection, because it has benefited me tremendously in understand how beliefs and values play a vital role in one’s trading and ultimate success.

I remember the first time I picked this book up I didn’t “get” it and put it away. About a year later I read it again and it just clicked. I now reference it on a weekly schedule just so the principles in the book stay fresh in my mind and to reinforce what I had learned.

I am a Consistent Winner Because:
1.  I objectively identify my edges.
2.  I predefine the risk in every trade.
3.  I completely accept the risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4.  I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5.  I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6.  I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7.  I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and , therefore, I never violate them.
Five Fundamental Truths: 
1. Anything can happen.
2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.

Addional Mark Douglas Material in PDF form.
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7 More Trading Lessons for Traders

  1. You don’t choose the stock market; it chooses you.  A little bit of early trading success can have a profound effect on a person’s soul.  If it does choose you, you’ll have to accept that your life and investing will become forever connected.
  2. Your methodology must provide an unshakeable foundation that you believe in totally, and you must have the conviction to trade based upon it.   If your belief is tentative or if you don’t have complete faith in your methodology, then a few bad trades will destabilize and erode your confidence. 
  3. A calm mindset that can focus on the execution and not on the outcome is what produces profits.  It takes total emotional control.  You must maintain your balance, rhythm and patience.  You need all three to stay in the game.
  4. The markets are always conniving with ingenious techniques to get you to lose your patience, to get you frustrated or mad, to bait you to do the wrong thing when you know you shouldn’t.  A champion doesn’t allow the markets to get under his skin and take him out of his game.
  5. Like a great painting, all good trades start with a blank canvas.  Winning traders first paint the trade in their mind’s eye so that their emotional selves can reproduce it accurately with clarity and consistency, void of emotions as they play it out in the markets.
  6. The “here and now” is all that matters.  You can’t think about the last trade or the last shot or worry about the future.  You need to put on your “amnesia hat” in order to remain completely unfazed by what came before.  Only by doing so can you be totally absorbed in executing your present trade.
  7. Being prepared and having put in the work results in the bringing together of your intuition and confidence.  The two go hand in hand.  Extraordinary results can be expected when you are able to see it, feel it and trust it. 

HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN THE STOCK MARKET

According to Mark Douglas…

In any particular trade you never really know how far prices will travel from any given point. If you never really know where the market may stop, it is very easy to believe there are no limits to how much you can make on any given trade. From a psychological perspective this characteristic will allow you to indulge yourself in the illusion that each trade has the potential of fulfilling your wildest dream of financial independence. Based on the consistency of market participants and their potential to act as a force great enough to move prices in your direction, the possibility of having your dreams fulfilled may not even remotely exist. However, if you believe it does, then you will have the tendency to gather only the kind of market information that will confirm and reinforce your belief, all the while denying vital information that may be telling you the best opportunity may be in the opposite direction.

There are several psychological factors that go into being able to assess accurately the market’s potential for movement in any given direction. One of them is releasing yourself from the notion that each trade has the potential to fulfill all your dreams. At the very least this illusion will be a major obstacle keeping you from learning how to perceive market action from an objective perspective. Otherwise, if you continually filter market information in such a way as to confirm this belief, learning to be objective won’t be a concern because you probably won’t have any money left to trade with (italics mine).