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Overtrading

Most new traders overtrade.

Overtrading is when you (hoping to receive the maximum possible profit) opens a huge position consisting of multiple lots.

Considering the typical market activity, it’s easy to lose half or even all your trading capital.

This problem is sometimes directly connected to insufficient trading capital.

But it’s more likely due to the trader lacking knowledge of money management principles, which means lack of competence to control their trading capital properly.

Your trading capital is used to earn money. You should treat each rupee is like a newborn baby.

Your first and foremost responsibility is to protect it. If you lose it, you have less to help you earn money.

Overconfidence in Trading

Overconfidence bias is an magnified belief in your competence as a trader. Any trader who finds themselves thinking that they know the business inside-out and that they have nothing more to learn and that profits are theirs for the taking, may well suffer from an overconfidence bias. 

Dangers of Overconfidence 
Overconfident traders tend to get themselves into trouble by trading too frequently or by placing tremendously large trades with the plan of making a killing. It’s not inevitable, but an overconfident investor invites misfortune. 

Are You Overconfident? 
If you want to identify whether you have a tendency to be overconfident, ask yourself, “Have I ever delayed or reversed a decision because I couldn’t accept that I was wrong?” Likewise, you could ask yourself, “Have I ever placed more on a trade than what I know is really sensible?” 

Overcoming Overconfidence 
One way to overcome an overconfidence bias is to stick to a strict set of risk management rules. These rules should limit the number of markets you invest in, the number of Contracts for difference you trade at one time, how much you are willing to risk on any one trade and how much of your account are you willing to lose before you take a break from trading and re-evaluate your trading strategy. 

Book Review: Market Indicators

MARKETINDICATORS

Every one one us has limited bandwidth for analysis of data. We pick and choose a few ideas that seem to work for us, and then stick with them. That is often best, because good investors settle into investment methods that are consistent with their character. But every now and then it is good to open things up and try to see whether the investment methods can be improved.

For those that use market indicators, this is the sort of book that will make one say, “What if? What if I combine this market indicator with what I am doing now in my investing?” In most cases, the answer will be “Um, that doesn’t seem to fit.” But one good idea can pay for a book and then some. All investment strategies have weaknesses, but often the weaknesses of one method can be complemented by another. My favorite example is that as a value investor, I am almost always early. I buy and sell too soon, and leave profits on the table. Adding a momentum overlay can aid the value investor by delaying purchases of seemingly cheap stocks when the price is falling rapidly, and delaying sales of seemingly cheap stocks when the price is rising rapidly.

Looking outside your current circle of competence (more…)

8 One Liner Lessons For Traders

– markets change and if a trader doesn’t adapt, he’ll be driving a cab
– becoming a successful trader is not easy, even if you’re experienced
– core competency in one endeavor, does not guarantee competency in another
– working for a living sucks
– always be prepared to trade
– markets aren’t the only thing that reverts to the mean
– never turn down an edge, no matter where you are, or what you have in your hand

– success is fleeting, losing is forever

Business Plan and Discipline

Trading is one of the most difficult profession, winning traders have business plans.  They have set of rules and guidelines to help keep their ship sailing in the right direction. Business plan in trading would cover time spend to study  markets and trading, techniques and strategies to focus on, systems to use,  expenses involved, maximum loss per trade, maximum drawdown, objectives and goals,  etc. Best traders keep revisiting there business plans and change them when necessary, improving it with each iteration.  Last but not least, the most important trait you would see in all successful traders is discipline. Without discipline no trader could be competent, because knowing in not the same as doing. Competence means that one has progressed beyond knowing what to do, to doing what one knows. Discipline makes trader competent.

Personality Traits

16780The research of Costa and McCrae suggests that personality traits fall into five broad categories, with each category displaying a number of facets. Their NEO-PI personality trait inventory labels these categories and facets as follows:

* Neuroticism – Anxiety, Angry Hostility, Depression, Self-Consciousness, Impulsiveness, and Vulnerability;

* Extraversion – Warmth, Gregariousness, Assertiveness, Activity, Excitement-Seeking, Positive Emotions;

* Openness – Fantasy, Aesthetics, Feelings, Actions, Ideas, Values;

* Agreeableness – Trust, Straightforwardness, Altruism, Compliance, Modesty, and Tender-Mindedness;

* Conscientiousness – Competence, Order, Dutifulness, Achievement Striving, Self-Discipline, and Deliberation.

6 Types of Traders

  • Pretrader. Everything is new at this stage, and everything is difficult. This is the point where the trader is learning the very basics of charting and of market structure and is also just starting to explore the marketplace.
  • Novice trader. At this stage, traders are not trading to make money; they are trading for experience and to begin to deal with the emotional challenges of trading. One of the main signs of progress in this stage is that the trader will start lose money more slowly than before—still losing, but losing less often and less consistently.
  • Early competent trader. The first step toward making money is to stop losing money. A trader whose wins and losses balance out (before commissions) has taken the first steps to competence. (At this stage, the trader is still losing money due to transaction costs and other fees.)
  • Competent trader. The first stage of real competence is achieved when the trader is able to cover transaction costs with trading profits. Reaching this stage may take a year and a half to two years, or more. Consider this carefully—two years into the journey a realistic expectation is to finally have accomplished the goal of being able to pay for your transaction costs. This may not seem like much, but very few individual traders ever survive to this stage.
  • Proficient trader. Here the trader starts making money. Errors and mistakes are far less frequent, but, when they do happen, they are corrected and reviewed, and the lessons are quickly assimilated. The trader has been exposed to the stressors of trading so many times that they have now lost most of their emotional charge and is able to approach the markets in an open, receptive state. As competence grows, the trader can look to manage more money; developing the skills of trading larger size and risk becomes a focus.
  • Experienced trader. It is difficult to imagine a trader becoming a true veteran without living through a complete bull/bear market cycle—about a decade in most cases. This trader has finally seen it all and has also become cognizant of the unknown and unknowable risks that accompany all market activity. It is possible for developing traders to gain much of this veteran trader’s knowledge through study at earlier stages of development, but there is no substitute for experience and seeing events unfold in the market in real time.

Every mistake a trader can make

MISTAKES-TRADERSSymptoms:

  1. Trading with “scared” money

  2. Trading from a state of desperation and fear
  3. Ruled by emotions and unable to take a loss
  4. Changing her trading plan often
  5. Trying to be perfect
  6. Looking for medication to deal with emotional issues over trading
  7. Adopting a trading technique (scalping one futures contract) that is beyond her level of trading competence
  8. Attached to the outcome of each trade
  9. Not committed to the process of learning to trade—using trading as a temporary “stop-gap” source of income until something else becomes available.
  10. Acting out personal dramas in the financial markets

Three Principles of Trading Psychology

Principle #1: Trading is a performance activity – Like the playing of a concert instrument or the playing of a sport, trading entails the application of knowledge and skills to real time performances. Success at trading, as with other performances, depends upon a developmental process in which intensive, structured practice and experience over an extended time yield competence and expertise. Many trading problems are attributable to attempts to succeed at trading prior to undergoing this learning process. My research suggests that professional traders account for well over three-quarters of all share and futures contract volume. It is impossible to sustain success against these professionals without honing one’s performance–and by making sure that you don’t lose your capital in the learning process. Confidence in one’s trading comes from the mastery conferred by one’s learning and development, not from psychological exercises or insights.
 
Principle #2: Success in trading is a function of talents and skills – Trading, in this sense, is no different from chess, Olympic events, or acting. Inborn abilities (talents) and developed competencies (skills) determine one’s level of success. From rock bands to ballet dancers and golfers, only a small percentage of participants in any performance activity are good enough to sustain a living from their performances. The key to success is finding a seamless fit between one’s talents/skills and the specific opportunities available in a performance field. For traders, this means finding a superior fit between your abilities and the specific markets and strategies you will be trading. Many performance problems are the result of a suboptimal fit between what the trader is good at and how the trader is trading.
 
The core skill of trading is pattern recognition – Whether the trader is visually inspecting charts or analyzing signals statistically, pattern recognition lies at the heart of trading. The trader is trying to identify shifts in demand and supply in real time and is responding to patterns that are indicative of such shifts. Most of the different approaches to trading–technical and fundamental analysis, cycles, econometrics, quantitative historical analysis, Market Profile–are simply methods for conceptualizing patterns at different time frames. Traders will benefit most from those methods that fit well with their cognitive styles and strengths. A person adept at visual processing, with superior visual memory, might benefit from the use of charts in framing patterns. Someone who is highly analytical might benefit from statistical studies and mechanical signals. 

101% U all Should Buy this Book and 101% u should read…………..!!

Just completed reading this Book (Already read 3 times and everytime …..Something NEW…..I learn )

Here are 10 Lessons from the Book :

1. The Process and the Practice:  “Confidence doesn’t come from being right all the time: it comes from surviving the many occasions of being wrong” (27). 

2. Stress and Distress:  “Thinking positively or negatively about performance outcomes interfere with the process of performing.  When you focus on the doing, the outcomes take care of themselves” (56). 

3.  Psychological Well-Being:  “We can recognize the happy trader because he is immersed in the process of trading and finds fulfillment from the process even when markets are not open” (72).

4.  Steps Toward Self-Improvement:  “Your trading strengths can be found in the patterns that repeat across successful trades” (105).

5.  Breaking Old Patterns:  “Many trading problems are the result of acting out personal dramas in markets” (133)

6.  Remapping the Mind: “When we change the lenses through which we view events, we change our responses to those events” (168)

7.  Learn New Action Patterns: “Find experienced traders who will not be shy in telling you when you are making mistakes.  In their lessons, you will learn to teach yourself” (203)

8.  Coaching Your Trading Business:  “Long before you seek to trade for a living, you should work at trading competence: just breaking even after costs” (230)

9.  Lessons From Trading Professionals:  “If you don’t trust yourself or your methods, you will not find the emotional resilience to weather periods of loss” (267)

10.  Looking For the Edge: “The simplest [trading] patterns will tend to be the most robust” (311).

And a final admonition:  “Know what you do best. Build on strengths. Never stop working on yourself. Never stop improving. Every so often, upset the apple cart and pursue wholly new challenges.  The enemy of greatness is not evil; it’s mediocrity.  Don’t settle for mediocre” (341).

Technically Yours

Anirudh Sethi/Baroda