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10 Trading Thoughts

ten101. You only have three choices when you are in a bad position, and it is not hard to figure out what to do:
(1) Get out
(2) Double up, or
(3) Spread it off.

I have always found getting out to be the best of all three choices.

  1. No opinion on the market or you are doubtful about market direction? Then stay out. Remember, when in doubt, stay out.
  2. Don’t ever let anyone know how big your wallet is, and don’t ever let anyone know how small it is either.
  3. If you snooze, you lose. Know your markets, when they trade, and what reports will affect the market price.
  4. The markets will always let you in on the losers; the market’s job is to keep you out of winners. Dump the dogs and ride the winning tide.
  5. Stops are not for sissies.
  6. Plan your trade, then trade your plan. He who fails to plan, plans to fail.
  7. Buy the rumor and sell the fact. Watch for volatility in these situations; it usually marks tops or bottoms in the markets.
  8. Buy low, sell high. Or buy it when nobody wants it, and sell it when everybody has to have it!
  9. It’s okay to lose your shirt, just don’t lose your pants; that is where your wallet is.

One last thought to leave with you. It applies not only to every-day life but to trading the markets as well:
Success is measured not so much by the wealth or position you have gained, but rather by the obstacles you have overcome to succeed!

Live Your Own Life

A lot of us tend to live our lives based on other’s choices, and not our own. You may have even experienced this yourself. Sometimes, other people feel as if they know what’s best for you. I know I have experienced this, particularly regarding my occupation. “Oh, you are probably going to end up being a Kindergarten teacher”, “You would be a great gym teacher”, “Have you thought about joining law enforcement?” As the days go by, all the suggestions are being piled up. I don’t pay attention to them, because I know where my heart wants to be.

Live your own life, and not how others want you to live it. Let them worry about their own lives. You know, deep down, in your heart, what you want to do, and when you want to do it. You’re the only one who knows what’s best for you.

A Dozen Reflections on Life and Markets

reflectiononlifeI’ve never seen a trader succeed whose explicit or implicit goal was to not lose. The trader who trades to not lose is like the person who lives to avoid death: both become
spiritual hypochondriacs.

No union was ever destroyed by a failure of romance. It is the loss of respect, not love, which ends a relationship.

Love, once present, never dies. It must be killed.

Sometimes we select markets–and trading styles–much as we choose romantic partners: by their ability to validate our deepest-held images of ourselves. Our choices generally succeed, for better or for worse.

Many a trader fears boredom more than loss, thereby experiencing the two in sequence. (more…)

Quote from Benjamin Graham (1934)

The market is not a weighing machine, on which the value of each issue is recorded by an exact impersonal mechanism, in accordance with its specific qualities. Rather, should we say that the market is a voting machine, whereon countless individuals register choices which are the product partly of reason and partly of emotion.

The Art of Choosing

Sheena Iyengar studies how we make choices — and how we feel about the choices we make. At TEDGlobal, she talks about both trivial choices (Coke v. Pepsi) and profound ones, and shares her groundbreaking research that has uncovered some surprising attitudes about our decisions.

We all want customized experiences and products — but when faced with 700 options, consumers freeze up. With fascinating new research, Sheena Iyengar demonstrates how businesses (and others) can improve the experience of choosing.

The Paradox of Choice-Video

“In this revolutionary and beautifully reasoned book, Barry Schwartz shows that there is vastly too much choice in the modern world. This promiscuous amount of choice renders the consumer helpless and dissatisfied. The Paradox of Choice is a must read for every thoughtful person.”
— Martin Seligman, author of Learned Optimism and Authentic Happiness

“The Paradox of Choice carries a simple yet profoundly life-altering message for all Americans. Based on new research, Barry Schwartz explores why we want more choices when the best possible choice is already at hand, and how the creation of this “choice overload” undermines good decision-making. His eleven practical, simple steps to becoming less choosy will change much in your daily life. Buy this book now!”
— Philip G. Zimbardo, author of Shyness: What It Is, What to Do About It

“Today’s world offers us more choices but, ironically, less satisfaction. In this provocative and riveting book, Barry Schwartz shines the light of psychological science on popular culture and shows us steps we can take toward a more rewarding life. This is one of those rare books I just couldn’t put down.”
— David G. Myers, author of Intuition: Its Powers and Perils

Don’t Miss to Watch !!

FOCUS

Focus your efforts on the things that work best for you. If there is one trading strategy that works for you, then stick to it as long as it works. Don’t waste time testing everything you find on the Internet and don’t listen to everything you hear or read. Too much information can lead to confusion, difficult choices and failure – eventually.

 

7 rules for dealing with risk

risk71. Overcome Fear. Fear clouds judgment.
2. Remain Flexible. Surprise outcomes may require a change of plan.
3. Take reasoned risks. Risk can be good if the odds are in your favour.
4. Prepare to be wrong. Plan in advance how to deal with unfavourable outcomes.
5. Actively seek reality. See the world as it is rather than as you want it to be.
6. Respond quickly to change. If your plan calls for some action in the face of unfavourable outcomes, don’t delay.
7. Focus on decisions, not outcomes. In the face of risk, good choices can have bad outcomes, and bad choices can have good outcomes.

From :Inside the Mind of the Turtles :Curtis M Faith

10 Trading Lessons for 2011

1)You can’t succeed overnight. Most retail/aspiring traders get hooked on trading because they want money and they want it NOW! Over-trading, scalping, over-leveraging, random decisions, greed and the mirage of getting rich quick will turn trading into gambling.

A common sense rule says that – in order to make a lot of money fast, you either 1) steal, 2) you are a genius inventing or discovering something new, something that everyone will use or buy from you (like Google, Facebook, Angry Birds) or 3) gamble, if you are really lucky.

Learn from your own mistakes, don’t repeat them, practice and persevere. It doesn’t matter if you count Elliott waves better than anyone else or if you anticipate a rate hike 6 months in advance. It only matters how you control your emotions and your money.

2) Focus your efforts on the things that work best for you. If there is one trading strategy that works for you, then stick to it as long as it works. Don’t waste time testing everything you find on the Internet and don’t listen to everything you hear or read. Too much information can lead to confusion, difficult choices and failure – eventually.

3)Losing is part of the game but recovering is not an easy task and requires smarter trading decisions.

Have you ever been on a diet?
Common sense rule, again: if you have gained 40 lbs. (18 kg) in 1 year, don’t expect to lose 40 lbs. in 2 weeks. It takes a lot of work to get rid of them.
So if your trading account is down 50% after 2 months, you’ll have to double your remaining equity to break even. Will that be easy? I doubt.

4)Making mistakes is normal but rather than give up, try to learn something from your own trading mistakes, bad strategies, emotions etc.
If you don’t succeed, you aren’t out of the game.

Make a list of things that didn’t work – check it regularly so you don’t forget them. Avoid them in the future.

5)If you keep doing the same thing and you are constantly losing, it’s obvious that you are doing something wrong. Is your trading strategy constantly giving poor results? Change it. Are you always predicting the wrong market direction? Stop predicting – trade what you see, not what you think or expect.

If you want to achieve different results, then you must change your actions. (more…)

A lesson on Ego and Risk

ego-riskMost traders drawn to risk management focus on the external “how to” aspect of trading, vs. the inner aspect of emotions and psychology. This is where trouble begins.
• In the school model, one’s self-esteem is tied to being right. Avoiding mistakes, especially public mistakes becomes paramount. But in trading, one can be wrong in most choices and experience regular “outlier” events in the course of trading the markets. Traders must somehow learn that they will miss out or be incorrect regularly and still have a shot at great success. 
• Traders need to have a survival plan. Know when you will get out of a trade before you get in.
• If you don’t take the small loss today, your capital and trading career may not survive tomorrow.
• The most successful traders surrender their egos to not knowing the frequency or magnitude of any trend. They quiet their mind and follow their inner voice.
• Most of the world can’t keep their losses small. Professional traders and investors who’ve been around for decades are usually those who play the best defense

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