All traders who last long enough will go through periods of winning and losing streaks.Mathematicians refer to the process as the theory or run known to gamblers as a “streak.”Games of chance such as roulette ,craps and blackjack are predicated that the house has an edge over the player.Trading has a distinct advantage because the trader has the ability to be the house.A mathematical edge is all that is all that is needed by the trader to increase his probability of success.Sound money management advantage begins to work.What happiness in real time trading is that after a series of losing trades the trader will begin to question the system or his ability to execute the system properly. Tow things are necessary to get though the bad losing times !Belief in your system is very important but it ranks second to the sound money management system.Mediocre trading systems can have positive results with the use of a good money management system.The rule of thumb is to reduce your risk on any trade to 2% of working capital.This should prevent a meltdown but remember trading is about probability not certainty ! |
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15 Fundamentals To Win Stock Market Battle
Gerald Loeb was a founding partner of E.F. Hutton, a renowned and successful Wall Street trader, and the author of the books The Battle For Investment Survival and The Battle For Stock Market Profits.
Mr. Loeb promoted a contrarian view of the market as too risky to hold stocks for the long term in direct contrast to many of his generation. At the time, many considered Loeb’s comments heresy to the buy and hold doctrine so common among many in the industry. While Loeb never had the opportunity to trade in an environment now ruled by quants, algorithmic trading and massive government intervention, his wisdom and insight is still applicable in today’s environment. After all, the more things change, the more they always stay the same!
Based on his two books, here are 15 fundamentals Loeb argues that you need to understand to win the battle not only against yourself, but also against the market:
- What everyone else knows is not worth knowing.
- Stocks are always way overvalued in a bull market and way undervalued in a bear market.
- The best stocks will always seem overpriced to the majority of investors.
- Expectation, not the news itself, is what moves the market.
- Three basis elements should be considered when evaluating a stock – 1) quality (fundamentals, liquidity, management), 2) price, and 3) trend (the most important).
- Stocks act like human beings and go through the same stages and phases as people do, including infancy, growth, maturity, and decline. The key in trading is to be able to recognize which stage the stock is in and to take advantage of that opportunity.
- Pyramid your buys – start with an initial position and then add to it only if the trade moves in your favor.
- The more experienced and successful you become, the less you should diversify.
- Traders must always resist the urge and temptation to change their strategies for each and every different market cycle.
- To succeed in trading you must 1) aim high, 2) control the risks, 3) be unafraid to keep uninvested reserves and 4) be patient.
- Successful traders are intelligent, they understand human psychology, they practice pure objectivity, and they have natural quickness.
- You must always trade with the actions of the market and not simply by how you might think the market should trade.
- Knowledge through experience is one trait that separates successful stock market speculators from everyone else.
- The stock market is more an art than a science and far more complex than most people understand.
- Always sell when you start patting yourself on the back for being smarter than the market. (more…)
Mapping Where Corruption Is Raging Around The World
On Wednesday, Transparency International released its 2017 Corruption Perceptions Index which measured perceived public sector corruption in 180 countries and territories on a scale of 0 to 100.
As Statista’s Niall McCarthy notes, the research found that most countries across the world are making little or no progress in ending corruption.
The ones scoring close to 100 are successfully containing corruption while those scoring 50 or lower have serious problems. The average global score was only 43.
You will find more infographics at Statista
Some governments have seen noticeable improvements in their scores over the past six years with the Ivory Coast, Senegal and the UK all making progress.
Others had to endure a slide with Syria, Yemen, Australia and Hungary all deteriorating. The latter in particular saw its score fall ten points over the last six years. It could fall even further in the future if draft legislation is enacted that could restrict NGOs and revoke their charitable status.
New Zealand was ranked the world’s least corrupt nation in 2017 with a score of 89, ahead of Denmark with 88. Third position was a three way tie between Finland, Norway and Switzerland who all scored 85.
Syria, South Sudan, and Somalia were at the bottom of the index with all three scoring lower than 15.
Along with Austria and Belgium, the United States came 16th with a score of 75.
Great Candlewick patterns to save
Definition: digital native
Daily Trading Plan
Risk: your loss limit in per trade and the total dollar loss per day. What you will do after x number of losses in a row. Your strategy for increasing and decreasing your trading size.
Goals: how many R’s you are trying to make today. How many trades do you plan to make. How long do you plan to hold winners and losers
Reporting: your plan for writing a brief narrative of the day’s trading your plan to keep statistics of your trades (hold times, results, et cetera). How you will mark your trades on the same charts you use to trade.
Contingencies: what phone number do you call to get out of trades should your system crash. Who can you contact to troubleshoot or repair your computer. Who do you call to get your Internet connection checked and fixed, if needed.
With a well developed, clear plan you will be ahead of the majority of traders and, through this detailed planning, you can concentrate on achieving your stated goals.