Adopting a Winning Mindset – #AnirudhSethi

Successful traders have a winning mindset.


You need to be positive and believe in yourself if you want to be a successful trader. You also need to be able to take losses in stride and learn from your mistakes.


Most importantly, you need to be patient and disciplined. It takes time and practice to become a successful trader, so don’t give up if you don’t make money right away. Keep learning and practicing, and eventually you will achieve the success you desire.

Greed and Fear in Trading – #AnirudhSethi

Greed and fear are two of the most dangerous emotions in trading. Greed fuels management; when traders feel they’re close to a win or miss what appears to be an opportunity, they can often make irrational decisions in order to secure the win. On the other hand, fear can cause traders to become overly defensive, leading them to exit trades prematurely or refuse to take necessary risks.


To combat these two emotions, it’s important for traders to take a step back and assess their reasoning behind entering a trade before they do so. It’s also a good idea to create an overall plan that includes entry points, stop-losses, and profit targets before entering into any trades. This way, you’re creating specific parameters that will help prevent fear and greed from hijacking your trading decisions.

Human Brain and Trading – #AnirudhSethi

Human brains are hotter than thought, particularly women's: Study - The  StatesmanIf you want to be a successful trader, then you must understand the human brain and how it works. Trading psychology plays an integral role in successful trading, as it’s all about understanding what triggers our trading decisions, and how to identify and manage our emotions.


The trick is to become aware of your own thoughts and feelings when trading. Even though trading is all about numbers and calculations, the human element can never be ignored. If you don’t understand yourself and your emotions when it comes to trading, then it will be impossible for you to accurately gage the market.


So take some time to observe your own behavior while trading. Notice what thoughts or feelings drive you to make certain decisions, and learn how to control those impulses that can lead you down the wrong path. With practice, you can train yourself to remain cool and collected while making trades – even when there’s a lot of money at stake!

EGO in Trading – #AnirudhSethi

When you are trading, your ego can take center stage and become the biggest enemy of success. Ego can blind us to reality and cause us to make bad decisions that we think are good. People who let their egos get in the way will often get caught up in trading out of emotion or taking risks that are too large for their account size.


The key is to stay humble yet confident, understanding when it is time to take risks and when it is time to be careful. When confidence turns into overconfidence, you should remain vigilant and know when to back off and save yourself from making a mistake.


Remaining aware of your ego and being able to control your emotions is essential for trading successfully and mastering the psychology of trading will help set you apart from the other 95% of traders who don’t have this skill.

Trading Psychology – #AnirudhSethi


Trading psychology is one of the most crucial skills that a trader can possess. It is the ability to control your emotions and make rational decisions while in the midst of a trading session. Mastering your emotions is the key to becoming a successful trader. If you can’t control your emotions, you will not be able to trade profitably. In this article, we will discuss some of the major points that you need to focus on in order to develop a strong trading psychology.

What Is Trading Psychology?

One of the most crucial skills for any trader is trading psychology. Without mastery over this skill, you’re at a disadvantage right from the start. In fact, 95% or more traders are not successful in the long run, and it’s primarily because they don’t have a good grasp of trading psychology.


What is trading psychology, exactly? It’s the ability to stay calm and focused under pressure, to make rational decisions based on logic rather than emotion, and to stick to your plan even when things are going bad. It’s also about knowing your own strengths and weaknesses, and admitting when you’re wrong.


Trading psychology takes practice and a lot of self-awareness. But if you’re able to develop this skill, you’ll be well on your way to becoming a successful trader.

What Are the Benefits of Mastering Trading Psychology?

When you’re able to control your emotions and stay in control of your trading, you’re able to make clear and logical decisions. You’re also less likely to let greed or fear cloud your judgment and lead you to bad decisions.


In addition, a good understanding of trading psychology will help you better understand yourself. This is essential, as it allows you to identify your weaknesses and work on overcoming them. When you understand what makes you react in a certain way, it’s easier to avoid situations that are likely to lead to costly mistakes.

Importance of Monitoring Emotions When Trading

When you enter a trade, your emotions are going to be one of the biggest factors that you have to deal with. If you’re not aware of them and how they’re affecting your decision-making, then you’re setting yourself up for disaster.


That’s why it’s so important to monitor your emotions when you’re trading. Are you feeling overconfident? Or are you feeling so down on yourself that you don’t think you can win? Both of these are going to lead to bad decision-making.


The key is to find a balance. You want to be confident in your abilities, but you also need to be realistic about the risks that are involved. You need to be able to stay level-headed in order to make rational decisions when trading.

Strategies for Keeping Your Emotions in Check

Having mastery over your trading psychology is an undeniably crucial component of trading. To be successful in the market, you must first be able to put your emotions in check and properly manage them. In order to help you do this, here are some strategies that can help keep your emotions in check while trading:


– Set realistic goals: Having unrealistic expectations can lead to disappointment or frustration if they are not met. Make sure that the goals you set are achievable and don’t leave too big of a gap from where you currently stand in the market.


– Take a break: Don’t get caught up in the heat of the moment and allow your emotions to take over by taking a break from the market when needed. Consider setting a limit on how many hours or trades you make within a day so that you can still keep accurate track of your progress without getting overwhelmed with too much information.


– Embrace losses: Not every trade will be profitable but there is important information to be learned from every loss that occurs. Look at each lost trade objectively and determine what strategies could have been employed differently or where mistakes were made so that you can learn from them and apply those lessons going forward.

Tips for Determining When It Is Time to Close a Position

Do you ever feel like you’re holding on too long to a position, waiting for something good to happen? Knowing when it is the right time to close a position is one of the key skills that any trader must possess in order to be successful.


Here are some tips for determining when it’s time to close a position:

– Monitor the markets and understand the opportunities and risks it presents.

– Set stop loss orders at predetermined levels so you don’t get caught off guard.

– Be disciplined about profits and losses. Don’t wait too long to exit if prices start moving against you, and don’t exit too soon if prices move in your favor.

– Take emotion out of your trading decisions, as emotions can cloud your judgment and lead to poor decisions.

– Seek advice from experienced traders, such as mentors or VIPs, who can provide valuable insights into when it may be best to close a position.


Making sure you have mastery over trading psychology is absolutely crucial if you want to make money in trading. Understanding the markets, being disciplined, managing emotions and getting advice will help you determine when it is the right time to close a position and become a more successful trader.

Common Mistakes Traders Make While Trading

Having a mastery over trading psychology is critical to properly manage your emotions while trading. That being said, here are some common mistakes traders make while trading:


– Not having a plan: It’s essential to have a clear strategy or trading plan before starting to trade. Without having one, you may end up taking decisions without proper analysis and plunging into choppy waters without any idea about what might be the outcome.

– Fear of taking losses: A lot of traders have difficulty in cutting their losses and become too attached to the position they take. This leads them to stay too long in losing positions and not taking corrective decisions at the time when it matters the most i.e when there is still a chance of making profits.

– Over-optimism: Over-optimism is another common mistake which can lead traders to enter positions that do not have any analytical and fundamental backing, resulting in loss of capital more often than not.

– Overtrading: Overtrading induces more stress into your trades resulting in poor execution of every trade taken and eventual loss of capital as well as confidence after some period of time.


The reason most traders lose is because they do not have trading psychology mastered. In order to be successful in trading, it is crucial to first have a clear understanding of why you are trading, develop a plan that fits your personality, and then have the discipline to stick to that plan. Trading psychology is not only about having the right mindset; it is also about understanding your own emotions and how they can affect your trading.

A Chinese developer has defaulted on two dollar bonds, halting payments on offshore notes

  • A Chinese developer has defaulted on two dollar bonds and is halting payments on offshore notes, the latest delinquencies despite a plethora of recent government steps to ease the sector’s liquidity crunch.
  • Times China Holdings Ltd. didn’t pay coupons on two dollar notes before grace periods ended within the past week, it said in a Wednesday night filing with Hong Kong’s stock exchange. An event of default occurs if the company fails to pay interest within 30 days of the due date, according to a circular for one of Times China’s dollar bonds.
china property 04 August 2022

This comes despite a huge ramp-up of support for sector. Recent announcements of support have emphasised further measures will be directed at ‘quality’ firms. Perhaps those not meeting such a definition are being let fail.

Economist who invented the yield curve recession indicator says it different this time

Economist Campbell Harvey wrote his PhD dissertation at the University of Chicago decades ago on the shape of the bond yield curve being linked to the path of US economic activity.

i.e. That US recessions have been preceded by an inverted yield curve

  • hich is when short-term rates exceed those of longer term rates (this is the gist of it)

This time though…

  • “My yield-curve indicator has gone code red, and it’s 8 for 8 in forecasting recessions since 1968 — with no false alarms,”
  • “I have reasons to believe, however, that it is flashing a false signal.”

Harvey outlines his reasoning here at the article.

Harvey was speaking in an interview on Tuesday.

Harvey is a professor at Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business.

inverted yield curve

WSJ Fed ‘whisperer’ on the December minutes’ “uncharacteristically blunt words of warning”

  • Federal Reserve officials offered uncharacteristically blunt words of warning to investors that cautioned against underestimating the central bank’s determination to hold interest rates at higher levels to bring down inflation.
  • many Fed officials are anxious they won’t be able to defeat inflation unless they can slow the economy by tightening financial conditions, such as by raising borrowing costs or lowering stock prices

Why the attention on this guy? As I posted last year:

Back in June Timiraos dropped the bombshell during the Federal Reserve blackout period:

WSJ Fedwatcher Nick Timiraos is just out with a new report previewing the FOMC.

“A string of troubling inflation reports in recent days is likely to lead Federal Reserve officials to consider surprising markets with a larger-than-expected 0.75-percentage-point interest rate increase at their meeting this week,” he writes.

The report is speculation but it taps into the old-style Fed leaks.
That post, as was Timiraos, was spot-on.

Timiraos has thus been crowned the new Hilsenrath (you may remember his role during the Bernanke Fed as a provider of Fed-insider info).

The article in the Wall Street Journal (linked above, gated) is not a bombshell like the leak in June was, but it is instructive. The rate hike cycle is not over and looks to me that it’ll go beyond what many are expecting. I’d love to be wrong on this.

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