US President Biden says US military would defend Taiwan in the event of invasion by China

US President Biden is speaking in an interview on US TV, 60 minutes.

  • We are going to get control of inflation
  • I am more optimistic than I have been in a long time
  • Ukraine is not losing the war, is making gains in certain areaws
  • US forces would defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion


The defence of Taiwan comment is sure to raise eyebrows and I suspect the White House will issue some sort of retraction or clarification or muddying of the waters.


ANZ believe the Fed will raise interest rates by 75bp this week, bringing the benchmark rate to 5%.

Via an ANZ note on their Federal Reserve expectations, this their main points:

• Underlying inflation is not showing any signs of abating. Moreover, the spread of inflation throughout the services sector points to “sticky” prices, implying inflation will take time to moderate.

The Fed is intensifying efforts to get inflation down and will remain resolute in its commitment to do so. We expect that the FOMC will hike by 75bp at its meeting this week, and Chair Powell will reiterate that more is needed.

• Based on current and expected price trends we now forecast a terminal fed funds range of 4.75-5.00% to be reached by Q2 2023, which is 100bp higher and almost six months later than we previously projected.

• Fed forecasts need to reflect a sustained period of restrictive policy leading to a lengthy spell of sub-trend growth. This will entail a steeper and higher dot plot, downgrades to growth and a higher unemployment rate.

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