ECB raises 2021 and 2022 GDP forecasts

The latest GDP forecasts

  • 2021 GDP +4.6% vs +4.0% prior
  • 2022 GDP +4.7% vs +4.1% prior
  • 2023 GDP +2.1% vs +2.1% prior
The consensus estimates are
  • 2021 +4.2%
  • 2022 +4.1%
  • 2023 +2.0%
These are some rosy numbers and that’s good for the euro — at least in as much as you can trust a central bank forecast. Notably, they aren’t forecasting any rate hikes and still see CPI below target through the horizon.

ECB forecasts