Our model points to gold at $2100/oz next year on these 3 assumptions – ANZ

Gold up $1 to $1837

Gold up $1 to $1837

ANZ Research discusses its outlook for gold over the coming year.

Our gold valuation model suggests gold should trade around USD2,100/oz next year, assuming:

  • US inflation rises to 1.7%,
  • USD index falls to 90
  • yields on 30y bonds hold steady around 1.6%

“That said, we acknowledge headwinds in the short term. The continued strength in equity markets is likely to see further investor rotation out of gold-backed ETFs and into equities (predominately traditional growth sectors). We have subsequently cut our 0-3m target to USD1900/oz. However, we maintain our 12m target of USD2,100/oz,” ANZ adds.