Identify the Universe
Rank all potential markets by a smoothed rate of change
Smoothed ROC = Average of [ ROC(Close, 2-day), ROC(Close, 5-day), ROC(Close, 7-day) ]
Use the IBD50 and rank the stocks within this group by the smoothed ROC.
Also look at 52-week new highs and new lows, and all-time new highs and new lows
Look to buy the strongest markets and sell the weakest markets, with the hope that they will continue to trend.
Look for a Trend Breakout
Buy the X day high and sell the Y day low (e.g. for the turtles, X = 20, Y = 10)
MACD (not the histogram) must be above zero and increasing.
Short the X day low and cover the Y day high.
MACD must be below zero and decreasing.
Risk Management Rules
Risk per trade
Risk no more than 0.75% to 1.25% of your core equity in one trade (equity of all closed positions and cash positions, excluding open trade equity)
Risk per sector
No more than 5% of total account size in any sector.
Open trade risk
The more open trade risk, the more potential for increased drawdowns. Your biggest drawdowns will probably be after one of your biggest run ups.
Total open trade equity / Core equity <= 20%
Margin to equity
Higher the margin to equity, the more positions and more risk
Margin / equity <= 15%
Dollar risk per contract
No more than $2,500 risk per contract regardless of account size
Markets in each direction
No more than 10 markets on the long side; and
No more than 10 markets on the short side
Don’t short a stock below $20
Don’t buy a stock under $10
Look to go long S&P 500 when it is above 200-day EMA
Look to go short S&P 500 when it is below 200-day EMA
Long: Y-period low
Short: Y-period high
39-period ATR trailing stop