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10 Bad Habits of Trader

  1. They  trade too much. The edge that small traders have over institutions, is that they can pick trades carefully and only trade the best trends and entries. The less they trade, the more money they make, because being picky gives traders an edge.
  2. Unprofitable traders tend to be trend fighters, always wanting to try to call tops and bottoms. They eventually will be right, but their account will likely be too small by then to really profit from the reversal. Money is made by going with the flow of the river, not paddling upstream against it.
  3. Taking small profits quickly and letting losing trades run in the hopes of a bounce back, is a sure path to failure. Profitable traders understand their risk/reward ratio; big wins and small losses. Being quick to take profits while allowing losses to grow, is a sure way to blow up your trading account.
  4. Wanting to be right more than wanting to make money will be a very expensive lesson. A trader who doesn’t  want to take losses will most certainly balk at reversing his position because it signifies personal failure. A profitable trader is not afraid to get on the right side of the market to start making money.
  5. Unprofitable traders trade too big, and risk too much to make too little. The biggest key to profitability is to avoid big losses. Your wins can be as big as you like, but the losses must be limited.
  6. Unprofitable traders watch BLUE CHANNELS for trading ideas.
  7. Unprofitable traders want stock picks, while profitable traders want to develop trading plans and systems.
  8. Unprofitable traders think trading is about being right. Profitable traders know that profitability is about admitting you are wrong quickly, and being right as long as possible.
  9. Unprofitable traders don’t do their homework because they think there is a quick and easy route to trading success.
  10. Unprofitable traders #1 question is how much they can make if they are right, while the profitable traders #1 concern is how much they can lose if wrong.

German Economics Minister Confirms Fed Manipulates The FX Market

The German Economics Minister Rainer Bruederle has just confirmed precisely what many have known and said for years, namely that the US Federal Reserve is active in the secondary markets, in this particular case in FX. While not so much of a secret for some of the fringe players such as a the SNB, BOE and BOJ, the Fed has never had a formal statement on currency intervention, as, of course, it would have been seen as a sign of weakness (and allegedly could be considered an unconstitutional activity). And why would anybody dream of manipulating the world’s strongest currency. Of course, if Bernanke manipulates currencies, as has now been confirmed, it is more than clear that he directly buys and sells stocks in the secondary market, and/or Treasuries in the primary. We wonder what other juicy disclosure Bernanke’s trans-Atlantic CB colleagues will announce once they are cornered about their recent market manipulative conduct.

From Dow Jones:

The U.S. Federal Reserve is also active in currency markets, German Economics Minister Rainer Bruederle said Friday.

His comments come on the heels of remarks made by his Swiss counterpart who said that the Swiss National Bank purchased euros to buttress the single currency.

“It is a regular procedure of central banks,” to intervene in currency markets, Bruederle said. “It is not a secret,” that central banks have a foreign exchange rate target, he added.

Bruederle said “eruptive” movements have to be avoided. He previously said that China holds 25 percent of its foreign exchange reserves in euros.

 

Emotions as Information for Traders

Start with a premise: Suppose you were empathic and could experience the emotions of the trading crowd.

You could feel their fear.
You could sense their greed.
What they felt, you felt.
If that premise were true, then emotion would not be something you would fight, ignore, or minimize.
Nor would emotion be something you’d blindly follow.
For the empath, emotion would be information: valuable information. It would be an indicator no less than market price or volume.
How would it change your trading to view every trading emotion as information to be scrutinized? How would it change your experience of your trading? 
Amazing what a difference a premise can make.

10 Ways to Move From Peril to Profits

  1. The first question to ask in any option trade is how much of my capital could I lose in the worst case scenario not how much can I make.
  2. Long options are tools that can be used to create asymmetric trades with a built in downside and unlimited upside.
  3. Short options should only be sold when the probabilities are deeply in your favor that they will expire worthless, also a small hedge can pay for itself in the long run.
  4. Understand that in long options you have to overcome the time priced into the premium to be profitable even if you are right on the direction of the move.
  5. Long  weekly deep-in-the-money options can be used like stock with much less out lay of capital.
  6. The reason that deeper in the money options have so little time and volatility priced in is becasue you are ensuring someones profits in that stock. That is where the risk is:intrinsic value, and that risk is on the buyer.
  7. When you buy out-of-the-money options understand that you must be right about direction, time period of move, and amount of move to make money. Also understand this is already priced in.
  8. When trading a high volatility event that price move will be priced into the option, after the event the option price will remove that volatility value and the option value will collapse. You can only make money through those events with options if the increase in intrinsic value increases enough to replace the vega value that comes out.
  9. Only trade in options with high volume so you do not lose a large amount of money on the bid/ask spread when entering and exiting trades.
  10. When used correctly options can be tools for managing risk, used incorrectly they can blow up your account. I suggest never risking more than 1% of your trading capital on any one option trade.

Trading in the Footsteps of Sherlock Holmes- Book Review

Some books are too clever by half. Anthony Trongone’s Trading in the Footsteps of Sherlock Holmes: Balancing Probabilities for Successful Investing (W & A Publishing/Traders Press, 2010) is one of them. The idea—to encourage traders to adopt an analytical mindset and achieve emotional discipline by relying heavily on quotations from Sherlock Holmes novels and stories—sounded promising, even fun. And fun is a rare commodity in trading books. Although the book started off well, as it progressed Holmes became a less and less useful coach and analogies from detecting to trading became increasingly strained. It’s hard, for instance, to invoke Holmes in a discussion of order types.

But why waste a post emphasizing the negative when there are so many passages that will undoubtedly delight traders who are fans of Sherlock Holmes? Herewith a very limited sampling. (more…)